Gameweek 9 was a second consecutive disaster week in the FPL world, with an average of 37 points after gameweek 8 averaged just 36 points. The main reason for this has been the mass blanking of popular players. If you don’t know what we’re talking about, just have a look at the table below showing our picks for gameweek 9. A lot of managers also had no captain or vice captain playing at all with Salah and Aguero both getting no gametime whatsoever! Top scores were recorded by Chelsea’s Marcos Alonso (14 FPL points), Aston Villa’s Jack Grealish (13 points) and Watford’s Daryl Janmaat (12 points). Of these three, the Aston Villa midfielder boasts the highest current ownership percentage: 4.6%. As a matter of fact, of gameweek 9’s Team of the Week, David Silva was the most-owned player (11.2%) and no less than six players are currently owned by 1% of FPL managers or less. It’s probably better to just move on to our picks for gameweek 10.
Finally, don’t forget that the deadline for gameweek 10 is set at 19h00 (GMT+0 / BST) today Friday, October 25th. Have a look at our Predicted Lineups article for Gameweek 10 to give you an idea of who is playing.
How did our picks for the previous gameweek fare?
|Premium||Harry Kane||Watford (home)||2|
|Premium||P-E Aubameyang||Sheffield (away)||2|
|Non-premium||James Maddison||Burnley (home)||2|
|Non-premium||Tammy Abraham||Newcastle (home)||2|
|Differential||Joshua King||Norwich (home)||1|
|Captain||Harry Kane||Watford (home)||4|
The last time we recommended two premium assets from the same team, Man City were punished by Norwich when the Canaries booked a more than surprising 3-2 home win back in gameweek 5. We probably swore to never go all in on Pep’s men again after that, but here we are… This weekend, Aston Villa are rolling up to the Etihad for their fifth away game of the 2018-19 campaign. In the previous four, the Villains conceded 8 goals, while City have scored no less than 14 goals in front of their own fans in four games. In other words, it looks like another opportunity for a goal bonanza during coming Saturday’s first game.
After his mid-week hat-trick against Italian side Atalanta Bergamo in the Champions League, where he scored 3 goals in a span of just 11 minutes (on top of his assist for Aguero in the first half), Raheem Sterling (£12.1m) is back amongst our premium picks. The English dribbler has been a bit patchy in terms of the Premier League, but he seems one of Guardiola’s more nailed-on assets and honestly, why would he not be able to replicate his European exploits against newly-promoted Villa this weekend?
Considering the juiciness of the City vs Villa fixture, we have adapted the format of our premium picks segment a bit for gameweek 10. Instead of recommending two premium assets, which would be Sterling plus another, we’re going to recommend three, simply because a big score could be on the cards. If you don’t own Sterling or don’t feel confident enough to bring him in for this one, striker Kun Aguero (£12.2m) is an equally good option. The Argentinian was benched away to Crystal Palace last weekend, but completed the 90 minutes against Atalanta on Tuesday, scoring two goals in the process. It seems unlikely Pep will keep him out of the starting line-up at home against Villa, especially considering the fact that the last time he didn’t start a home game for City for another reason than injury was all the way back in gameweek 22 of last season. He thrives at home, as his 4 goals and 2 assists in four illustrate, and the upcoming game against Villa feels like the perfect opportunity for him to improve his tallies.
Finally, there is assist maestro Kevin de Bruyne (£10.1m). The Belgian midfielder has been one of City’s best players so far this season, if not the best, and it’s hard to imagine him not being involved in a bunch of chances at the Etihad on Saturday. He is still the highest-scoring player in the official game, courtesy of 2 goals, 9 assists and 10 bonus points from eight games. As far as home games go, he has not yet recorded less (!) than 11 FPL points in any home game this season and is averaging almost 14 points per home game. Given the score, De Bruyne was withdrawn after 67 minutes in the Champions League on Tuesday and looks certain to start against Villa this weekend.
Considering our slightly more extensive premium segment this week, featuring three absolute premium FPL assets in terms of both price and ownership, we’ll focus on a bit more differential players as part of our non-premium recommendations. The first might sound as a bit of a knee-jerk reaction to last weekend’s action, but hear us out. Man United’s Marcus Rashford (£8.4m) is the official game’s ninth highest-scorer striker with 4 goals, 2 assists and 10 bonus points to his name for a total of 47 points. That’s an average of just over 5 points per game, which obviously could be better, especially for Manchester United’s starting striker (though Martial took the number nine role before his injury and returned last night in the Europa League with a penalty goal), but it’s not dramatic either. United are very hard to trust this season and we don’t think that any other asset should be trusted for the moment, but last weekend’s draw against Liverpool will have given the Reds fans some hope for better times. In gameweek 10, United are visiting Norwich, who currently boast the worst defensive records in home games of all Premier League clubs (11 goals conceded in 4 games). Be aware though, because in four away games, United have only scored 2 goals so far. Like we said, this is a bit of a punt, but we believe there is a good chance both United and Rashford will work on their goalscoring stats this weekend.
Our second non-premium pick is also quite a differential: West Ham United’s Ryan Fredericks (£4.5m). The Hammers have kept three clean in nine games so far this season, two of which came in home games (in GW4 and GW6 against Norwich and Man United respectively), which really isn’t bad. On top of that, Fredericks recorded his first attacking return in gameweek 8 with an assist for Seb Haller against Leicester. He’s a frequent presence in the opposition’s area, his 21 touches in the opposition area rank top in the entire league and the expectation is that Saturday’s opponents Sheffield will allow him to play higher up the pitch. In the last five gameweeks, the Blades have only scored 3 goals and their 27 attempts on goal in away games rank bottom of the league. In other words, they lack punch away from home and Fredericks could benefit from it in a big way.
A differential pick or two
Our non-premium picks for gameweek 10 are pretty differential already, with low ownership for Rashford (10.3%) and especially Fredericks (1.3%), and our differential suggestions continue that trend. Our first pick is Burnley’s Chris Wood (£6.2m and 1.4% ownership), who is currently flagged as 75% fit in the official game but expected to be ready to face Chelsea at Turf Moor on Saturday. Since gameweek 6, the New Zealand international has been in terrific form for the Clarets with 4 goals and 12 shots on goal. Of those 4 goals, 3 were headers from crosses and that approach has been one with which Frank Lampard’s men have struggled with defensively this season. It’s true that the Blues are finding themselves in a bit of a purple patch currently with three PL victories in a row and a very valuable 0-1 victory over Ajax in the Champions League on Wednesday, but they have also conceded 14 goals in 9 Premier League games. Three of those goals were headers from set-pieces, while another three came from crosses into their area. It’s a punt and Chelsea are favourites to win this one, but Wood might well bring home the points this weekend.
Our second differential pick for gameweek 10 is also expected to feature in the Burnley-Chelsea game. Callum Hudson-Odoi (£6.0m) is the second-youngest player to record at least one assist in three consecutive Premier League games, after Michael Owen, and the next young academy prospect to flourish under Lampard’s reign. CHO started the 2018-19 with an injury, but since his first playing minutes in gameweek 7 versus Brighton, he has returned in every game (3 assists and 18 FPL points in just 196 minutes of Premier League action). That’s an average of 6 points per game, which is phenomenal for a player with a price tag of just £6.0m and an ownership of less than 3%. Burnley are very sturdy at home (3 goals conceded in 4 games), but Chelsea have already netted 12 in four away games, so it’s going to be an interesting encounter on Saturday. Hudson-Odoi did play 90 minutes against Ajax mid-week, so we recommend you keep an eye on the Chelsea team news in the build-up to the game, but we expect him to start and if he does, he’s a more than worthy differential pick.
Looking at the FPL GW Transfers In/out Stats:
Attackers – Managers are mainly selling Pukki (the Pukki Party is over), Kane & Aguero and buying Vardy, Abraham, Jimenez and Aubameyang. Aguero sellers may have made a mistake though!
Midfielders – Spurs’ Son, MC’s Marhez & Liv’s Salah are the biggest sold and the money instead is being used on buying KDB, D Silva & Hudson-Odoi. Salah could prove sellers wrong on Sunday though.
Defenders – Zinchenko not surprisingly is the most sold (due to competition from Mendy and a knee injury) along with Walker and Otamendi followed by Liverpool’s TAA and Van Dijk. So Man City and Liv make up the most sold 5 defenders this GW. Otamendi might be a mistake after Rodri’s injury! The money is then being spent on SU’s Lundstrum (cheap and playing in midfield), Leicester’s Pereira & Chelsea’s Alonso.
Goalkeepers – Adrian obviously is on his way out with SU’s Henderson, Wolve’s Patricio and Liv’s Alisson the most bought.
As far as we’re concerned, the clearest candidates for the captaincy can be found in the Man City squad as the Cityzens take on Aston Villa at the Etihad. We have already outlined why the likes of Raheem Sterling, Sergio Aguero and Kevin de Bruyne could be in for a haul this weekend, so the question is which arm is the right one to put the armband on. We’d probably go for Sterling after his stellar display against Atalanta mid-week, but De Bruyne and Aguero are equally good options. On top of that, David Silva was kept on the bench on Wednesday and is expected to feature from the start against Villa. Despite being rotated quite often, the Spanish playmaker is the only player in the game to return a haul of 10 FPL points or more on four occasions this season. With 2 goals and 5 assists to his name, he is good albeit differential captaincy choice as well.
The FISO Forum FPL Gameweek 10 Captain Poll has KDB leading the way from Sterling and Aguero with a distant 4th Salah (who could well turn on the style at home to Spurs) then D Silva and C Wilson the only other players to get a vote.
Finally if you like FPL but want to have a go at a weekly FPL type competition for prizes then have a look at FanTeam’s 50,000 euro weekly monster. There are freerolls for new entrants.