Gameweek 35 lands at a pivotal moment in the season, where motivation and fatigue increasingly outweigh raw form.
We now have:
- A tight relegation battle involving sides like West Ham and Spurs
- European semi-finals affecting team selection and intensity (Arsenal in the Champions League; Aston Villa, Nottingham Forest and Crystal Palace in European competitions)
- Clear separation between teams still pushing hard and those drifting
Using our established FISO prediction model (form + venue + xG + context), and building on strong recent returns, here are the GW35 projections — now with FPL picks based on the latest 30-day FPL form data.
FISO Goals is the EPL Predictions game for FISO Forum Members. See our predicted EPL scores for next GW using a statistical model. FISO was founded over 25 years ago in 2000 and is the longest-running UK fantasy sports online community – Independent, community-driven fantasy football analysis since before FPL existed!
You can also check our earlier GW34 predictions and reasoning on our homepage.
GW35 Predictions Table
| Fixture | Score Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds vs Burnley | 2–0 | High |
| Brentford vs West Ham | 1–1 | Medium |
| Newcastle vs Brighton | 1–2 | Medium |
| Wolves vs Sunderland | 1–1 | Medium |
| Arsenal vs Fulham | 1–0 | Medium |
| Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace | 2–1 | Medium |
| Man Utd vs Liverpool | 2–2 | Medium |
| Aston Villa vs Tottenham | 2–1 | Medium |
| Chelsea vs Nott’m Forest | 2–1 | Medium |
| Everton vs Man City | 0–2 | High |
Match-by-Match Analysis + FPL Picks
Leeds vs Burnley
Leeds have the stronger attacking output and far greater motivation, while Burnley’s defensive record remains poor following relegation confirmation.
Prediction: Leeds 2–0 Burnley
FPL Picks: Okafor (£5.5m), Justin (£3.9m)
Brentford vs West Ham
This is shaped by relegation pressure, which often tightens games. Brentford’s draw tendency meets a West Ham side likely to prioritise structure over risk.
Prediction: Brentford 1–1 West Ham
FPL Picks:
- Brentford: Thiago (£7.4m)
- West Ham: Bowen (£7.7m)
Newcastle vs Brighton
Brighton’s superior recent form and attacking consistency give them the edge despite being away.
Prediction: Newcastle 1–2 Brighton
FPL Picks: Osula (£5.4m), Groß (£5.5m)
Wolves vs Sunderland
With Wolves already relegated and Sunderland inconsistent, this projects as a low-quality, low-event fixture.
Prediction: Wolves 1–1 Sunderland
FPL Picks: Mukiele (£4.6m), Le Fée (£4.8m)
Arsenal vs Fulham
Arsenal’s Champions League semi-final second leg just days later suggests a controlled performance rather than a high-scoring one.
Prediction: Arsenal 1–0 Fulham
FPL Picks: Gabriel £7.2m, Raya £6.0m
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace are juggling a European semi-final, which may impact lineup strength and intensity. Bournemouth look well placed at home.
Prediction: Bournemouth 2–1 Crystal Palace
FPL Picks:
- Bournemouth: Scott (£5.1m), Truffert (£4.7m)
- Crystal Palace: Mateta (£7.6m)
Man Utd vs Liverpool
A classic high-variance fixture:
- Man Utd’s elite home form
- Liverpool’s attacking consistency
BTTS looks highly likely.
Prediction: Man Utd 2–2 Liverpool
FPL Picks:
- Man Utd: Fernandes (£10.4m), Casemiro (£5.8m)
- Liverpool: Isak (£10.3m), Wirtz (£8.3m)
Aston Villa vs Tottenham
Spurs’ relegation battle increases urgency, but Villa’s structure and home strength give them the edge, even with European commitments.
Prediction: Aston Villa 2–1 Tottenham
FPL Picks: Watkins (£8.7m), Rogers (£7.4m)
Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest
Forest are also managing a European semi-final (vs Villa), which may affect freshness. Chelsea’s underlying numbers suggest they can edge this.
Prediction: Chelsea 2–1 Nottingham Forest
FPL Picks: Joao Pedro (£7.5m) CHE & for FOR: Gibbs-White (£7.6m), N. Williams (£4.8m)
Everton vs Man City
Man City remain the most reliable side in the league:
- Best away form
- Strong motivation
- Defensive solidity
Prediction: Everton 0–2 Man City
FPL Picks:
- Man City: O’Reilly (£5.1m), Cherki (£6.4m)
GW35 Key Themes
1. Relegation Pressure = Lower Risk Football
Expect tighter matches from teams near the bottom, particularly:
- West Ham
- Spurs
This often reduces goal totals and increases draw probability.
2. European Semi-Finals Are a Major Factor
- Arsenal: Champions League focus
- Aston Villa & Nottingham Forest: Europa involvement
- Crystal Palace: Conference League
This typically leads to:
- Rotation
- Reduced tempo
- Narrower scorelines
3. Form Sides Still Stand Out
- Man City remain elite
- Brighton continue to trend strongly
- Leeds offer value in favourable fixtures
Final Word
At this stage of the season, the edge comes from correctly weighting context over averages:
- Who still has something to play for
- Who is managing energy for Europe
- Who is simply running out of quality
GW35 shapes up as a week of:
- Controlled wins rather than big margins
- Draws in pressure-heavy fixtures
- Selective away wins from elite sides
Expect fewer surprises in structure — but plenty in execution as pressure ramps up across both ends of the table.
Good luck this week, and as always, keep the discussion going on the FISO forum.
