With FA Cup semi-finals taking centre stage this weekend, Gameweek 34 is a reduced slate – just seven Premier League fixtures. That naturally shifts the dynamic for both FPL managers and result forecasting: fewer matches, more focus on form, and less need to “balance” outcomes to long-run averages.
As always, these predictions follow our core model principles: recent form (last 6/10), home/away splits, xG signals, and fixture context – with a bit of randomness baked in.
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You can also check our earlier GW33 predictions and reasoning on our homepage.
GW34 Score Predictions
| Fixture | Predicted Score | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland vs Nott’m Forest | 1–2 | Medium |
| Fulham vs Aston Villa | 1–2 | Medium |
| Liverpool vs Crystal Palace | 2–0 | High |
| West Ham vs Everton | 1–1 | Medium |
| Wolves vs Tottenham | 1–2 | Medium |
| Arsenal vs Newcastle | 2–1 | Medium–High |
| Man Utd vs Brentford | 2–1 | Medium–High |
Match-by-Match Insights
Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest
We project Nottingham Forest to edge this one. They carry the stronger attacking numbers across recent gameweeks, while Sunderland remain inconsistent defensively. Expect a competitive game, but Forest’s goal threat should tell along with the desire for 1 more win to definitely avoid relegation (although maybe some players will have their eye on Forest’s UEFA Europa Semi v Aston Villa on Thurs 30th April?)
Fulham vs Aston Villa
Aston Villa’s attacking data – particularly from recent xG trends – gives them the edge. Fulham are solid at home but concede enough chances to keep this open. We predict Villa to win a relatively even contest in their quest for a Champions League place (although maybe some players will have their eye on Villa’s UEFA Europa Semi v Nottingham Forest on Thurs 30th April?)
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
Liverpool’s home form remains one of the most reliable indicators in the league. Palace struggle for consistent attacking output, and unless they overperform their underlying numbers, this looks like a controlled home win.
West Ham vs Everton
This has all the hallmarks of a draw. Both sides sit in a similar performance bracket across form, xG, and goal profiles. Neither attack is dominant, so a low-scoring stalemate looks the most likely outcome.
Wolves vs Tottenham
Not a high-quality fixture on current form, but Tottenham still offer more attacking upside than Wolves. Spurs’ defensive issues mean Wolves should get chances, but we still project Tottenham to come out on top.
Arsenal vs Newcastle
Arsenal’s strong recent form – combined with home advantage – makes them favourites. Newcastle remain vulnerable defensively and inconsistent overall. We predict Arsenal to win, though Newcastle should be capable of scoring.
Man Utd vs Brentford
Manchester United’s home record is a major factor here – one of the strongest in the league. Brentford are competitive away from home but concede enough chances for United to capitalise. A narrow home win looks most likely.
GW34 Summary
This reduced gameweek leans slightly toward away wins, driven by favourable matchups for sides like Aston Villa, Nottingham Forest and Tottenham. However, the strongest home teams – Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester United – still anchor the week.
With fewer fixtures, variance increases, so don’t be surprised if one or two results swing unexpectedly – especially in games like West Ham vs Everton or Wolves vs Spurs.
Final Thoughts
GW34 is less about volume and more about precision – both for predictions and FPL planning. Target the strong home sides, respect recent form, and keep an eye on momentum from GW33 performances.
Good luck this week, and as always, keep the discussion going on the FISO forum.