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noelix's RMT/blog thread

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noelix
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noelix's RMT/blog thread

Post by noelix » 15 Oct 2019, 16:11

I like looking at other people's teams, so I thought I might as well throw mine out there for others to peruse. To be honest this is my first year really paying full attention to my FPL team (researching stats, looking at third-party sites for price moves, etc.). I did manage a 160k finish three years ago but I don't by any stretch of the imagination claim to be someone in a position to hand out advice to others. As much as anything, this is a place for me to "think out loud" with regard to my own decisions. Since I'm starting this mid-season, here's a little recap, which I hope won't make for an overly massive post.

This was my team for GW1 (ID 144006)
GW1.JPG

80 points is never anything to be sniffed at, but given there were a lot of high-profile big scorers, it was only worth a GW rank just outside the top million. If I'd captained Sterling over Salah I'd have been better off, but sadly poor captain choices has been a recurring theme for me this season.

That could be seen in GW2, where I kept the same team, changed captain to Salah who blanked, and got a total of 41 points (GW rank 2.8m) - was basically saved by 11 from Digne.

GW3 I brought in Mount and Pukki for Fraser and Deulofeu, both of whom provided immediate returns, which was satisfying. But this week I captained Sterling on 8 rather than Salah on 15 and got 63 all out (GW rank 531k).

GW4 I brought in Haller for King - again an immediate goal for my transfer in, but again the wrong S as captain, total score 55 (GW rank 3.5m).

GW5 I (surprise, surprise) captained Sterling for a blank when Salah scored and had Guilbert stuck on the bench for his CS, but Mount and Pukki returned again to help a total score of below-average 47 (GW rank 4.4m).

That coupled with an injury crisis was enough for me to trigger my WC, which I used for an almost complete overhaul to this:
GW6.JPG
That immediately paid off, with a return of 81 points (GW rank 158k). This was the week where a lot of people got 34 points from a KdB VC with Sterling dropped, but I got an ultimately slightly disappointing 18 from Aguero.

GW7 I used my remaining funds to change Pukki to Abraham, who I immediately handed the armband, virtually guaranteeing a blank. 46 points (GW rank 4.7m) brought me straight back down to earth.

For GW8 I transferred out the suspended Hayden for Saka at the same value, and my score of 41 was surprisingly above average (GW rank 2.1m).

So, having transferred in Ricardo for Digne during the IB, my team currently looks like this:
GW9 current.JPG
Edit: Forgot to mention: my current overall rank is now 351k, with 454 points.

Unusually for me, I already have in mind my (currently intended) next few moves. I'm thinking of going from Son to Mahrez next week, then using that cash for McNeil to Mount (or CHO depending on how those two are looking in the next couple of weeks) the week after, then banking an FT and downgrading either Aguero or Auba to Vardy and upgrading Mahrez to whichever premium mid is most affordable or attractive (Mane, Sterling or Salah). Of course, injuries and changes in form will probably scupper all those well-laid plans in due course!

So anyway, that's my season so far. Any thoughts are welcomed, although I do of course reserve the right to ignore any and every suggestion! :wink:
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Re: noelix's RMT/blog thread

Post by noelix » 22 Oct 2019, 10:34

Well it was one of those gameweeks for pretty much everyone, but even so I didn't manage to make the average score which is disappointing. My starting 11 got 29 points. My 3 subs got about half of that (14) between them. Unfortunately only the lowest scoring among them (Cantwell) came on (for Aguero), giving me a GW total of 32, my first sub-40 GW of the season, and a 125k red arrow (GW rank 4.9m, OR rank 477k). Going to see how City line up tonight before I decide what to do next, but think I will stick to my existing plan of moving Son out for a second City midfielder alongside KdB. Mahrez and Dilva the prime candidates, decision may also partly depend on what ban Bilva gets.

GW9 horror show below:
GW9.JPG
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Last edited by noelix on 22 Oct 2019, 17:54, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: noelix's RMT/blog thread

Post by raoul » 22 Oct 2019, 11:01

firstly, I would not get too upset about progress so far. This has not been an easy to play season so far, given that almost everything you would expect to happen has not. The league table looks pretty predictable in many ways, but the individual players … well that is another story. Like you, I (and many others) have had a nightmare with captain choices, and should probably just put the armband on one player and leave it there all season.

We are far enough into the season (I think) to pick 11 players you can see scoring consistently over a period, one cheap solid bench player (or two if a cheap enough option exists) and be done with it, using transfers to go with longish term fixture runs (and pray that unlike other things, they come somewhere near to predictable).

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Re: noelix's RMT/blog thread

Post by raoul » 22 Oct 2019, 11:18

one more thought, re your team specifically.

A leading player on here has a team of 3 MC, 3 CHE, 2 LIV as a core 8. Sterling, KdB, Otamendi, Mount, Abraham, Tomori, Salah, Robertson … no massive shockers in there are there? Personally I question Tomori (or any Chelsea defender unless they are going to get forward a lot), and perhaps Otamendi's place is doubtful going forward (probably safe for a little while), but I am being picky. Good safe strong core (the other 3 starters are Pukki, Wilson, Pope btw).

I think you veer a bit too much from the safe core. If Son was a punt given the Watford fixture then ok, but having Sako and Cantwell in addition seems a bit too risky to me.

(and the above player struck gold this week, with Ota and Salah replaced by subs called Lundstram and Rico and their 14 pts...)

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Re: noelix's RMT/blog thread

Post by noelix » 22 Oct 2019, 11:30

Yeah fair points raoul, thanks. I probably did go a bit too "wild" with my WC only including 1 LIV and 2 MCI. I'm not a fan of taking hits when I can avoid it and I still quite like my team overall, but will probably look to even my squad out a bit towards more of the "solid core" you suggest gradually over the next few weeks.

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Re: noelix's RMT/blog thread

Post by raoul » 22 Oct 2019, 12:12

If I had a WC this week, I would probably go with:

Henderson
Lundstram, TAA, Robertson, Pereira
KdB, Sterling, Mahrez, Mount
Vardy, Abraham

A bit out there in terms of the 3 MC mids but as long as Sub 1 is playing every week I would not see it as too off the beaten track.

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Re: noelix's RMT/blog thread

Post by noelix » 22 Oct 2019, 12:24

Yep I currently have five of those and three more are among those I've mentioned for potentially bringing in over the next few GWs, so we are definitely thinking along similar lines!

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Re: noelix's RMT/blog thread

Post by noelix » 28 Oct 2019, 10:51

Well I was one of those who made the captain megafail of Aguero this week. Was planning to swap him for Vardy in a couple of weeks but regardless of what happens in the cup, now that the "Aguero starts at home" idea is gone I just don't trust Pep to start him vs Southampton, so I made the switch before the respective price rises and falls on Saturday night. Gives me 5 mil in the bank, and I'm considering a -4 to bring Mount in to midfield for Cantwell/Saka and go 3-4-3 this week. None of them are close to a price move at the mo, so will give it some more thought.
47 points (GW rank 3.7m) means a 210k red arrow to 688k. Could actually have been a lot worse given the captaincy choice and the fact my only Leicester player is Ricardo. Next week will be better (*rolls eyes*)
GW10.JPG
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Re: noelix's RMT/blog thread

Post by noelix » 04 Nov 2019, 11:24

A good gameweek for me for the first time in a while. Won't complain about the captain fail this time as the performances of the City assets hurt pretty much everyone this GW and it looked like a very obvious choice in theory. Diego Rico scored the same as my entire midfield (including captain KdB) which is pretty weird, and that mammoth Lundstram score was a huge help. Transfer in Vardy matched the score of Aguero, who he replaced, so I can live with that. All in all it was 74 points (GW rank 875k) and a 250k green arrow to OR 437k.
GW11 points.JPG

Not sure what my next move is. I'd like to get in a Wolves asset for their upcoming fixtures, but I don't really want to change any of the my 3 up front, even with Jimenez in form. Their top scorer in midfield is Traore, who is interesting as something of an OOP, but has had three blanks in a row and took a grand total of zero shots on Saturday, despite Wolves racking up 24 in total. D Silva's injury is also a bit of a headache, but if he only misses the Liverpool game and is back after the IB I'm thinking I might just hold onto him. That would mean Cantwell coming in off the bench this GW, and I don't really have faith in him to return anymore, but if it's going to happen, home to Watford is surely a decent opportunity. So at the moment I'm leaning towards rolling my 1 FT and potentially using it to ship out Silva during the IB *if* it's looking like a longer lay-off. Or maybe I should do Auba to Jiminez this week? I wanted to keep Auba to captain against SOU in GW 13, but they've now shown themselves to be far from pushovers with 11 men. And taking Auba out this week avoids me having him vs Pereira as a clash in GW 12. Those ideas could of course all change during this week, especially with European games to come. Hopefully KdB, Tammy, etc. make it through unscathed.
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Re: noelix's RMT/blog thread

Post by noelix » 04 Nov 2019, 12:40

In terms of transfers, does anyone have any thoughts on the following options:
a) Do nothing this week and start Cantwell this GW vs WAT in place of injured D Silva
b) Cantwell to Traore/Moutinho and play them in place of D Silva
c) Aubameyang to Jimenez
d) David Silva to someone, e.g. Maddison
e) Something completely different

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Re: noelix's RMT/blog thread

Post by JanosKojak » 04 Nov 2019, 12:44

I would go with d) if the replacement is someone who you are happy with in the long term.

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Re: noelix's RMT/blog thread

Post by noelix » 04 Nov 2019, 12:48

Thanks Janos. I think what's holding me back from that is it would reduce me to just 1x MCI and 1x LIV. That doesn't look like a bad idea this week when they play each other, but it doesn't feel likely to pay off for very long given how dominant those two teams are ...

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Re: noelix's RMT/blog thread

Post by noelix » 04 Nov 2019, 18:36

Taken another look at upcoming fixtures and I'm really coming round to Maddison in for D Silva. Might go ahead with it tonight as FFFix has Maddison potentially rising tonight. Not that I'm close to missing out in terms of available funds, but might as well save myself the 0.1 if I'm confident it's what I'll do later in the week anyway, and it's not like Leicester have potential injuries in Europe to worry about.
Edit: I suppose I might yet regret it if someone else in my squad gets injured on European duty and becomes a bigger priority to ship out, hmmm ...

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Re: noelix's RMT/blog thread

Post by noelix » 11 Nov 2019, 11:24

72 points this week (GW rank 357k) means a healthy green arrow of 170k up to an OR of 267k. Happy with that going into the IB. Vardy's 24 was my joint-highest captaincy score of the season and my first captaincy success since GW6 (18 for Aguero in the 8-0 when I could have had 34 from KdB, so let's call it a half success :lol:). Makes such a difference when you get it right - the Vardy party was 33% of my total points this GW.
GW12 points.JPG
Injuries permitting, I'm currently planning to roll my FT with an eye on a double transfer pre GW14: potentially Auba -> Jimenez, providing a mammoth bank balance to do Cantwell -> Mane. That will mean benching two out of Guilbert, Rico, Lundstram, McNeil each week though. I realise Liverpool have a blank in GW18, but can someone confirm that the Carabao/Qatar "solution" means they will be playing Watford in GW17?

Assuming I make no transfers, the decision for GW13 is whether to start Abraham at Man City. The other bench candidates are Guilbert (NEW) Rico (WOL), Lundstram (MUN) or McNeil (wat), all four of whom have reasonable fixtures and all four of whom I've lost points from benching in the past … But City actually look pretty porous at the back at the moment and Tammy's away form has been good. Ederson might well be back though, which makes a difference. I've currently got Rico first sub, will see how my thinking develops over the next two weeks!
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Re: noelix's RMT/blog thread

Post by noelix » 04 Dec 2019, 23:37

Got a bit behind with this due to recently becoming a father! But like my boy, FPL doesn't sleep, so here we are in GW 15 already.

GW13 brought 66 points (GW rank 816k) and a 50k green arrow up to 219k:
GW13.JPG



I stuck to my transfer plan and brought in Mane and Jimenez for Saka and Aubameyang, which didn't immediately pay dividends, so GW14 was less successful (56 points and a GW rank of 2.5m), but still saw another green arrow up to 184k OR.
GW14.JPG
I decided to stick with Tammy and used my FT for Pope -> Henderson, meaning I still have a couple of Sheff Utd lads still to play and will thus update fully on GW 15 in due course, but so far it's been reasonable with 64 from 9 players and Rico first sub if Lundstram misses out tomorrow for any reason.
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Re: noelix's RMT/blog thread

Post by Smurphy's Paw » 04 Dec 2019, 23:56

Congratulations

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Re: noelix's RMT/blog thread

Post by dod » 05 Dec 2019, 05:38

Congrats!

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Re: noelix's RMT/blog thread

Post by noelix » 05 Dec 2019, 07:36

C'mon guys, my rank's not that good! :wink: But seriously, thanks! :D

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Re: noelix's RMT/blog thread

Post by Oxford NZ » 05 Dec 2019, 08:16

Congratulations mr and mrs noelix :)
You are building a fine squad.
Good luck and enjoy

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