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theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

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murf
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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by murf »

Wasn't that 275-285?

(Call it 283)

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by friendlinzh »

I'm such a median

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by theo29 »

the weekend programme produces 25 goals from 10 games. Total now 115 with 53 games to come. murf will do the maths, but penalty shoot-outs would be useful !

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by murf »

theo29 wrote: murf will do the maths
(x^6*(yz-(a+b))/n = 183

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by Canaryfan »

Think your formula needs tweaking murf - surely the answer is 283?

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by murf »

Canaryfan wrote:Think your formula needs tweaking murf - surely the answer is 283?
Image Forgot to add the number I first thought of

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by theo29 »

10 goals on Monday. 125 at the halfway point. 50 games to play.

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by murf »

theo29 wrote: 08 Jul 2020, 09:05 10 goals on Monday. 125 at the halfway point. 50 games to play.
If this was the halfway point then we would be on target for 250 goals.

BUT we have only played 49 games out of 99 not 49.5. Taking that into account (and the usual forecast FA Cup penalty shoot out shenanigans) the adjusted target becomes 283 goals.

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by Johnners »

theo29 wrote: 08 Jul 2020, 09:05 10 goals on Monday. 125 at the halfway point. 50 games to play.
At the risk of throwing murf's scientific equation out of kilter, not to mention making myself look like a complete and utter pedant, there've been 126 goals to date.

I know you don't do rules though, so there may be some other 'theo-ry' behind your calculations that I'm not aware of! :wink:

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by theo29 »

well spotted Johnners, I forgot the Spurs goal on Monday night. Yesterday 11 goals brings the total to 137 with 43 left to play. A few 5 and 6 games needed soon.

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by murf »

Blah 400
Robot 317
gourami 314
sportsmeister 299
morganb 292
thebillfella 286
murf 283
Spinynorman 280
Johnners 279
Darbyand 275
theo29. 269
canaryfan 265
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murf wrote: 23 Jun 2020, 10:4828/12 = 2.333 goals/game
2.333 * 99 = 231
then
2.24 * 99 = 222
then
90/36 = 2.5
2.5*99 = 247.5
(post above is incorrect, there are 46 to play)

NOW
137/53 = 2.585
2.585*99 = 256

Factor in the upward trend and some possible penalty shoot out fun and call it, what, 283??

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by theo29 »

daily average drops below 2. Only Man U wearing shooting boots with 1 a penalty. Running total 142 with 43 games left. Wait until Tuesday murf with your latest 283 forecast !

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by murf »

With 142 we are just over halfway (by a half - 142 as opposed to 141.5) to the crystal ball's resolute, unmoving prediction of 283.

You can see why if you look a little closer as we are just over halfway (by a half) with fixtures too in both Cup (4 as opposed to 3.5) and League (5 sets as opposed to 4.5).

The stars are aligning. Fate is inexorable.

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by morganb »

murf wrote: 10 Jul 2020, 11:08 With 142 we are just over halfway (by a half - 142 as opposed to 141.5) to the crystal ball's resolute, unmoving prediction of 283.

You can see why if you look a little closer as we are just over halfway (by a half) with fixtures too in both Cup (4 as opposed to 3.5) and League (5 sets as opposed to 4.5).

The stars are aligning. Fate is inexorable.
Just noticed that if you add 2, 8 and 3 you get 13 and this is famously an unlucky number so don't count your goals until they are scored.

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by theo29 »

Seventeen on Saturday ! The picture changes somewhat. Now 159 with 38 to come one of which is Vardy at the seaside perhaps with a goal or two !

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by murf »

Blah 400
Robot 317
gourami 314
sportsmeister 299
morganb 292
thebillfella 286
murf 283
Spinynorman 280
Johnners 279
Darbyand 275
theo29. 269
canaryfan 265
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murf wrote: 23 Jun 2020, 10:4828/12 = 2.333 goals/game
2.333 * 99 = 231
then
2.24 * 99 = 222
then
90/36 = 2.5
2.5*99 = 247.5
then
137/53 = 2.585
2.585*99 = 256
NOW
159/61 = 2.601
2.585*99 = 258

Continuing upward trend and still some possible penalty shoot out fun so we still call it, what, 283??

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by blahblah »

I think you are about 40 too low 😂

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by murf »

blahblah wrote: 12 Jul 2020, 11:10 I think you are about 40 too low 😂
I have seen penalty shoot outs have megashenanigans and go to about 14-13 but I think you are being a tad optimistic

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by Darbyand »

It's been on the cards for some time but blah has finally lost it 😜

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by blahblah »

Lost what? 🐣🐣🐣

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by Darbyand »

Your calculator.

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by blahblah »

Is that one of those new fangled electrical abacus things?

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by theo29 »

13 on Sunday and Man U set to perform this evening. Total now 172 from 65 games. 34 yet to play.

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by Darbyand »

262 if the current average prevails though it seems to be creeping up as a few teams kick on and some others hit the beach.

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by murf »

Darbyand wrote: 13 Jul 2020, 10:55262 if the current average prevails though it seems to be creeping up as a few teams kick on and some others hit the beach.
murf wrote:Continuing upward trend and still some possible penalty shoot out fun so we still call it, what, 283??

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by theo29 »

4 at Old Trafford makes it 176 with 33 yet to play.Sticking with 283 murf ?

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by murf »

9 goals in 3 games. Creeping up still.

The complex mathematical modelling and crystal ball gazing remain united in an unholy alliance on this. 283. It is written.

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by Canaryfan »

You do realise murf that if the final total is 283 you'll probably be burnt at the stake (or at least have a turn on a ducking stool) for being a witch :mrgreen:

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by murf »

Canaryfan wrote:You do realise murf that if the final total is 283 you'll probably be burnt at the stake (or at least have a turn on a ducking stool) for being a witch :mrgreen:
3 more tonight. You just know how this is going to turn out....

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Re: theo29's TFF £25 rest of the season FISO goalcast

Post by theo29 »

going into Thursday 16th. 189 on the board with 28 to come. Unless there is a pen shoot-out over the weekend it will be unlikely that murf will get wet or singed, delightful as that would be for the Canary Man !

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