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Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by blahblah »

math! wrote: 26 Nov 2019, 19:40
blahblah wrote: 26 Nov 2019, 09:44 A hit is for more than 1 GW, like dogs and Xmas....

So yes.
You will always say yes :lol:
Nah, I've got fussy with old age 😎

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by Turd Ferguson »

Lundstram with 13 shots over their last three games. Is he playing in a more advanced role from anyone’s eye test? I’ve viewed him as a rotator but if he’s getting multiple shots a game then I may just treat him as my D3.

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by SirMattBugsby »

Turd Ferguson wrote:Lundstram with 13 shots over their last three games. Is he playing in a more advanced role from anyone’s eye test? I’ve viewed him as a rotator but if he’s getting multiple shots a game then I may just treat him as my D3.
Just play him. He arrives in the box when one of the forwards moves wide. Essentially their third striker.

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by Smurphy Paw »

Lundstram(wol) is on my bench this week too, but I’d rather he played.
Who would you drop though? Mount(WHU)? Tielemans(EVE)? That’s the choice

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by Oxford NZ »

Smurphy's Paw wrote: 26 Nov 2019, 23:46 Lundstram(wol) is on my bench this week too, but I’d rather he played.
Who would you drop though? Mount(WHU)? Tielemans(EVE)? That’s the choice
You have a fine looking potential bench boost squad for this week :mrgreen:

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by Smurphy Paw »

Oxford NZ wrote: 26 Nov 2019, 23:49
Smurphy's Paw wrote: 26 Nov 2019, 23:46 Lundstram(wol) is on my bench this week too, but I’d rather he played.
Who would you drop though? Mount(WHU)? Tielemans(EVE)? That’s the choice
You have a fine looking potential bench boost squad for this week :mrgreen:
I have a good first twelve
Digne away to Leicester and Hayden at Man City let the bench boosting side down though!

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by baganboy »

^^ SP you are well set for the festive rotation though. 15 regular-playing players, is perfect!

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by ajcairns »

Turd Ferguson wrote: 26 Nov 2019, 23:03 Lundstram with 13 shots over their last three games. Is he playing in a more advanced role from anyone’s eye test? I’ve viewed him as a rotator but if he’s getting multiple shots a game then I may just treat him as my D3.
Looking at his heatmaps it doesn't look like it's changed significantly in recent matches.

Looks more like a wide right sided midfielder than I envisaged too. Thought it would show him much more central. Cant actually find a heatmap from a Sheff Utd player that is central!

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by Turd Ferguson »

ajcairns wrote: 27 Nov 2019, 12:21
Turd Ferguson wrote: 26 Nov 2019, 23:03 Lundstram with 13 shots over their last three games. Is he playing in a more advanced role from anyone’s eye test? I’ve viewed him as a rotator but if he’s getting multiple shots a game then I may just treat him as my D3.
Looking at his heatmaps it doesn't look like it's changed significantly in recent matches.

Looks more like a wide right sided midfielder than I envisaged too. Thought it would show him much more central. Cant actually find a heatmap from a Sheff Utd player that is central!
Cheers. It's a tough one for me because I think Sheffield will have staying power in the Prem, but I also think they've overperformed. I'd peg them for another 6 or 7 clean sheets the rest of the way.

I ran a regression on a few season's worth of data between goals allowed and clean sheets. The y-intercept was about 24, and you get -.25 clean sheets for every goal allowed thereafter. So if you allow 20 goals you'd expect about 19 clean sheets. If you allow 40 goals, 14 clean sheets. 60 goals, only 9 clean sheets.

Based on Sheffield's goals allowed thus far, they're on pace for 35 goals against, which is good for about 15 clean sheets historically. However, their xGA is over 17, which implies about 50 goals allowed and 11 clean sheets for the season.

Lundstram needs those attacking returns to be a true starter, in which case you can ditch a premium defender and pump more money into attack. I reckon it's a squad structure decision I'll put off until GW18 when Liverpool blank and Leicester's good run ends. We can certainly start him for the next 6 fixtures.

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by Smurphy Paw »

baganboy wrote: 27 Nov 2019, 09:41 ^^ SP you are well set for the festive rotation though. 15 regular-playing players, is perfect!
14
And a broken Tammy!

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by Oxford NZ »

^^ Same here. Hopping Tammy is only bruised and will make an appearance at West Ham. Bench boost deployed :shock: I should have waited until closer to the deadline.

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by dino1980 »

Oxford NZ wrote: 28 Nov 2019, 00:33 ^^ Same here. Hopping Tammy is only bruised and will make an appearance at West Ham. Bench boost deployed :shock: I should have waited until closer to the deadline.
I think you can cancel the BB chip, at least you could in previous seasons.

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by Oxford NZ »

dino1980 wrote: 28 Nov 2019, 01:34
Oxford NZ wrote: 28 Nov 2019, 00:33 ^^ Same here. Hopping Tammy is only bruised and will make an appearance at West Ham. Bench boost deployed :shock: I should have waited until closer to the deadline.
I think you can cancel the BB chip, at least you could in previous seasons.
Thanks dino . Yes it seems it can be cancelled. I took a -4 to play it though when I changed Pieters to Taylor and to get Gazzaniga to replace my non playing goalkeeper. I do have Gazzaniga to cover Pope for the City match and the hit to get Taylor should be paid off with his first clean sheet :) My squad has such good fixtures this week it would be a shame to waste it :mrgreen: I must remember no more hits unless blah says it is OK :oops:

Edit to add hits do not count in 5AS and the first game week in each round of the divisional championships.

Shameless plug for the Divisional championships Round 3 kicks off at the GW14 deadline if any new players want to be added just post on the Divisional championship thread or PM me with your FPL id number :) The Sunday league is up to 9 players and 119 in total.

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by blahblah »

Oh baby, baby......

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by baganboy »

Oxford NZ wrote: 28 Nov 2019, 02:51 Shameless plug for the Divisional championships Round 3 kicks off at the GW14 deadline if any new players want to be added just post on the Divisional championship thread or PM me with your FPL id number :) The Sunday league is up to 9 players and 119 in total.
The Divisional Championships and the 5AS are the two Blue Riband events at FISO FPL. Shameless brag on my side - I have qualified to the Championship this sub-season. :D :D :D
Thank you for doing this ONZ

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by Smurphy Paw »

baganboy wrote: 28 Nov 2019, 10:23
Oxford NZ wrote: 28 Nov 2019, 02:51 Shameless plug for the Divisional championships Round 3 kicks off at the GW14 deadline if any new players want to be added just post on the Divisional championship thread or PM me with your FPL id number :) The Sunday league is up to 9 players and 119 in total.
The Divisional Championships and the 5AS are the two Blue Riband events at FISO FPL. Shameless brag on my side - I have qualified to the Championship this sub-season. :D :D :D
Thank you for doing this ONZ
No surprise to see you tip-toeing back up the leagues now you’re playing again. Nice one

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by math! »

It has gone rather quiet in here, especially with two GWs so close together.

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by blahblah »

math! wrote: 02 Dec 2019, 19:07 It has gone rather quiet in here, especially with two GWs so close together.
I guess there is a lot of Rolling going on, as opposed to Shaking...

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by baganboy »

Smurphy's Paw wrote: 30 Nov 2019, 13:05 No surprise to see you tip-toeing back up the leagues now you’re playing again. Nice one
Ha. Thank you - just dumb luck :D
You yourself are not too far behind. Within range for a 10k year end rank certainly, as most of us are....

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by Pirlo's Beard »

math! wrote: 02 Dec 2019, 19:07 It has gone rather quiet in here, especially with two GWs so close together.
Yes, I think the STC has been suffering recently from a distinct lack of Stem. Not to mention Mav too, although he seems to have thrown in the towel, unfortunately.

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by Sammy the Crab »

Banking this week I think and will need to do something about Mount soon.

Right to bench him this week?

Pope (MCI)
Alexander-Arnold (EVE), Tomori (AST), Soyuncu (WAT), Lundstram (NEW)
De Bruyne (bur), Mane (EVE), Son (mun), Maddison (WAT)
Vardy (WAT), Abraham (AST)

Subs: Mount (AST), Rico (cry), Greenwood (TOT)

He'll probably come in for Tammy anyway.

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by dino1980 »

I'd play him ahead of Tomori, I actually have both of those on my bench this week with Mount S1 and Tomori S2.

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by math! »

dino1980 wrote:I'd play him ahead of Tomori, I actually have both of those on my bench this week with Mount S1 and Tomori S2.
I have done the same.

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by jacksosi »

Playing Mount
Tomori S1

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by Sammy the Crab »

OK have done the same.

Do many people still have the wildcard left? Wondering if its worth banking transfers when I might use it at any time.

I could shift Pope this week for example.

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by MHiggi »

Sammy the Crab wrote:Banking this week I think and will need to do something about Mount soon.

Right to bench him this week?

Pope (MCI)
Alexander-Arnold (EVE), Tomori (AST), Soyuncu (WAT), Lundstram (NEW)
De Bruyne (bur), Mane (EVE), Son (mun), Maddison (WAT)
Vardy (WAT), Abraham (AST)

Subs: Mount (AST), Rico (cry), Greenwood (TOT)

He'll probably come in for Tammy anyway.
Interesting, we have almost the exact same squad but my Pulisic and Connolly to your Mount and Greenwood.

I’m resisting the urge to make a transfer this week and will most likely bench Tomori from my Chelsea trio.

With that being the case, I might do Tomori -> Kelly at some point to save some pennies.

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by Sammy the Crab »

Just having a read of the forum (I've not been involved this year at all!) and now quite tempted by Mount to Zaha or Pope to Henderson.

Damn, didn't realise the deadline was 7:30! Thought I had another 5 mins!

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by Smurphy Paw »

MHiggi wrote: 03 Dec 2019, 18:31
Sammy the Crab wrote:Banking this week I think and will need to do something about Mount soon.

Right to bench him this week?

Pope (MCI)
Alexander-Arnold (EVE), Tomori (AST), Soyuncu (WAT), Lundstram (NEW)
De Bruyne (bur), Mane (EVE), Son (mun), Maddison (WAT)
Vardy (WAT), Abraham (AST)

Subs: Mount (AST), Rico (cry), Greenwood (TOT)

He'll probably come in for Tammy anyway.
Interesting, we have almost the exact same squad but my Pulisic and Connolly to your Mount and Greenwood.

I’m resisting the urge to make a transfer this week and will most likely bench Tomori from my Chelsea trio.

With that being the case, I might do Tomori -> Kelly at some point to save some pennies.
I’ve been wondering about Kelly. He seems to be in and out of the team though. For how long is he likely to be a starter? I need GW18 cover more than, say, £0.2m to Rico

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by MHiggi »

Sammy the Crab wrote: 03 Dec 2019, 18:39Damn, didn't realise the deadline was 7:30! Thought I had another 5 mins!
I missed it as well, so Abraham will start on my bench. Two FTs for the weekend though!

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Re: Specious Theoretic Chatter (The free-for-all shared-RMT thread 19/20)

Post by math! »

Smurphy's Paw wrote:
MHiggi wrote: 03 Dec 2019, 18:31
Sammy the Crab wrote:Banking this week I think and will need to do something about Mount soon.

Right to bench him this week?

Pope (MCI)
Alexander-Arnold (EVE), Tomori (AST), Soyuncu (WAT), Lundstram (NEW)
De Bruyne (bur), Mane (EVE), Son (mun), Maddison (WAT)
Vardy (WAT), Abraham (AST)

Subs: Mount (AST), Rico (cry), Greenwood (TOT)

He'll probably come in for Tammy anyway.
Interesting, we have almost the exact same squad but my Pulisic and Connolly to your Mount and Greenwood.

I’m resisting the urge to make a transfer this week and will most likely bench Tomori from my Chelsea trio.

With that being the case, I might do Tomori -> Kelly at some point to save some pennies.
I’ve been wondering about Kelly. He seems to be in and out of the team though. For how long is he likely to be a starter? I need GW18 cover more than, say, £0.2m to Rico
Kelly is apparently at RB today. Seems he has played in all 4 defensive positions this season.

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