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brencarr
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Re: Graph

Post by brencarr » 03 Dec 2018, 03:47

Week 14 - Red.
North London & Liverpool are both red after Super Sunday derby day saw the Gunners win 4-2 and Jordan Pickford have a bit of a nightmare as Liverpool scored in the 96th minute .... Jurgen Klopp playing a cameo in midfield in that game :shock:
Aubameyang scored 2 in the Arsenal game to win the race to 10 league goals this season. Man City managed a regulation 3-1 win v. Bournemouth, another goal for Sterling in that game means he's the first player in Premier League history to score in his first 6 appearances against a single opponent, and also the first player over the 100-point mark in TFF this season.

Continuing the red theme for this week, there were also 3 red cards around the grounds .... Capoue (Watford); Mounie (Huddersfield); Vertonghen (Spurs).

A quick look back at week 14 from last season (we must learn from history) sees Wayne Rooney scoring a hat-trick for Everton and 3 new managerial appointments .... Big Sam (Everton); David Moyes (West Ham) and Alan 'Dancing fool' Pardew (West Brom). It's very tight still at the bottom of the table but I can see managerial changes in our near future. Newcastle lost at home to the Hammers (0-3) to make it their worst start to a season at home since 1953-54, Fulham lost at Stamford Bridge to remain bottom, Burnley lost at Palace and Southampton drew 2-2 with Man United to also remain in the bottom 3. If Southampton are to stay up they really must hold on when leading against these mid-table teams :wink:

6 players scored double-figures in TFF this week, Aubameyang top-scoring with 15. Sterling is the first player over 100 points and is now 15 ahead of 2nd-placed Alonso on 87.

We have a new leader this week ....
Lead position up 60 to 959 points - averaging 68.5 pts/week .... Wanaker fc (Lee Turner)
100th up 48 to 852
1k up 53
10k up 49

Pretty good scoring so far this season, all of the tracked positions are ahead of the lines from last year and around 2,300 managers are ahead of the 55 points/week average .... but how are we all doing for transfers?
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LenH
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Re: Graph

Post by LenH » 04 Dec 2018, 19:23

I've got a really stupid question for you brencarr. You call it week 14 but tff call it game week 17. I assume they are just literally counting every week since the start of the season irrespective of any games being played where as you just count the weeks with games. Is that the case?

And which should we base our 1 transfer a week overall plan on (40 week = 40 transfers)...lol! ;)

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brencarr
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Re: Graph

Post by brencarr » 07 Dec 2018, 08:28

Week 15 - No clean sheets!
For the first time since November 2010 every team scored in this round of matches - the odds of that happening were 444/1 apparently .... no? Me neither.

'Mind the gaps' .... was also in the running for this week's title as there are some significant gaps appearing. Man City (2-1 at Watford) and Liverpool (3-1 at Burnley) both kept their unbeaten runs going but Chelsea lost (2-1) at Wolves :shock: which means they are now down to 4th. Spurs beat managerless Saints (3-1) to move into 3rd but are 6 points behind Liverpool. Arsenal are 5th with Everton 8 points behind them.

The bottom 7 teams all failed to win which means West Ham (in 13th) pull 5 points clear of Newcastle. 14th and 20th are only separated by 4 points with the bottom 3 (Southampton, Burnley & Fulham) all on 9 points. After predicting the start of the managerial merry-go-round last week I can see more itchy-trigger-fingered chairmen in action before the year is over.

Lucas Perez scored a brace from the bench for the hammers in their 3-1 win, a game in which Fabianski saved his third consecutive Premier League penalty. Leicester drew 1-1 at Fulham, I only mention them because they have the wonderfully-named Çağlar Söyüncü playing in defence; by my reckoning that's a cedilla, a caron and 3 sets of umlauts - impressive name sir.

Now, regular readers (or those who read the earlier posts) will know that, whilst TFF game-weeks run from Tuesday-Monday, I count each set of 10 games as a 'week'; that way I/we can make sense of the average score and hopefully allow for TFF weeks like this one with 20 games, and F.A. Cup weeks etc. I hope that answers LenH's question - but thanks for pointing it out as I hadn't mentioned it yet this year :)

Only 5 players broke into double-figures this week ....
Lucas Perez 11
Fraser, Kane, Mahrez & Wilson all with 10. That 10 from Wilson moves him into 2nd place overall with 95 points .... Can anybody tell me why no matter how many points Callum Wilson gets and whatever his fixtures are he never features in any of my teams? (Spinynorman 4th Dec 2018) :)

Most teams prepared for the Christmas madness this week by having a bit of a rotation-fest, this was reflected in the scores.
Lead position up 22 to 981 points - averaging 65.4 pts/week .... Wanaker fc (Lee Turner)
100th up 37 to 889
1k up 36
10k up 36
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LenH
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Re: Graph

Post by LenH » 07 Dec 2018, 20:03

Thanks brencarr, now makes more sense. And thanks for all the data as well, always interesting and a good read. :)

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brencarr
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Re: Graph

Post by brencarr » 11 Dec 2018, 04:17

Week 16 - Salah hat-trick
Liverpool's 4-0 win at Bournemouth and Man City's 2-0 loss at Chelsea means that Liverpool are the only unbeaten team remaining in the Premier League and are now top by 1 point; they also have an impressive 'goals against' of just 6 after 16 games. That Liverpool game also saw James Milner become only the 13th player to make 500 Premier League appearances. Spurs & Arsenal also won to keep the top 5 clear of the rest.
At the bottom of the table Cardiff beat Southampton and Burnley beat Brighton in games which will do both sides a power of good. Newcastle lost at home v. Wolves to keep the pressure on Rafa.

Much better scoring all-round after the midweek clean-sheet wipe-out, unsurprisingly Mo Salah top-scored with his hat-trick but as he is the most-owned player (63% of teams) none of us should have missed out .... :?:
Raheem Sterling is still the only player with 100+ points so far.

Very even scores for the weekend games ....

Leader up 60 to 1,041 points - averaging 65.1 pts/week .... Wanaker fc (Lee Turner)
100th up 60 to 949
1k up 60
10k up 58
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Re: Graph

Post by brencarr » 17 Dec 2018, 09:51

Week 17 - Braces are back in fashion .... as sported by Jesus, Shaqiri, Mkhitaryran & Ings.
Liverpool & Man city both won 3-1 (Man Utd & Everton respectively). In their win over United, Liverpool had 36 shots, the most the Red Devils have faced in a Premier League match since Opta started recording shot data in 2003-04 .... Pogba watched on from the bench as Fellaini & Matic strutted their stuff :shock:
Spurs grabbed a late winner to beat Burnley 1-0 and Chelsea beat Bournemouth 2-0 with Hazard on the score sheet. Arsenal lost 3-2 at Southampton in the upset of the weekend, that win for Saints dragged them out of the bottom 3. There were no draws this week, which is unusual .... probably.

Eight players broke double figures this week. Jesus (15) topped the list which is only appropriate during the festive season. Sterling is still the only centurion, with Salah, Robertson & Alonso on 98 and Hazard on 97.

No change at the top of the TFF leaderboard, but not great scoring either .... the lack of a Liverpool clean sheet no doubt had some influence.

Leader up 31 to 1,072 points - averaging 63.1 .... Wanaker fc (Lee Turner)
100th up 36
1k up 41
10k up 38

I did also note that the leader is 5 points behind the leader at this point last season, and that here are now fewer than 1,000 teams above the 55 pts/week guideline.
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Canaryfan
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Re: Graph

Post by Canaryfan » 17 Dec 2018, 09:57

brencarr wrote:
17 Dec 2018, 09:51
Chelsea beat Bournemouth 2-0 with Hazard on the score sheet.
Was that as well as winning 2-1 at Brighton? :mrgreen:

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brencarr
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Re: Graph

Post by brencarr » 17 Dec 2018, 11:11

Canaryfan wrote:
17 Dec 2018, 09:57
brencarr wrote:
17 Dec 2018, 09:51
Chelsea beat Bournemouth 2-0 with Hazard on the score sheet.
Was that as well as winning 2-1 at Brighton? :mrgreen:
....good spot .... it's been a long day :)

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brencarr
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Re: Graph

Post by brencarr » 23 Dec 2018, 23:30

Week 18 - Half a Crown at Goodison
It's all about Liverpool this week as they win again (2-0 at Wolves) to extend their lead at the top of the table, thus ensuring they are top at Christmas - In eight of the past 10 seasons, the leaders on 25 December have gone on to win the Premier League title .... the 2 times the team didn't go on to win were both Liverpool :shock: It also doesn't help that Dejan Lovren is quoted as saying they could now go through the whole season unbeaten!
On the other hand - Liverpool have won 25 league matches in 2018 - their most in a calendar year since 1990, when they also won 25 .... only two teams, Chelsea in 2005-06 (49) and Manchester City in 2017-18 (52), have had more points after 18 Premier League games in a season than Liverpool do (48).

Man City lost :cry: .... at home :o .... to Palace :shock: In that 3-2 win for Palace, Kyle Walker had an absolute 'mare and Andros Townsend scored an absolute stunner of a 30-yard volley which was still accelerating when it hit the net. Chelsea were another top-5 team to lose at home as they went down 1-0 to Leicester. Spurs took full advantage of those two defeats in the game of the round at Everton. Their 6-2 win saw them move 5 points clear of Chelsea and they are now only 2 points behind City, Son Heung-Min was the star of the show.
Another team who won big was Man United (I know!), they won 5-1 at Cardiff .... the first time they have scored 5 in a Premier League game since Sir Alex Ferguson's last game in charge, 5 years ago (5-5 draw at West Brom). I'm not sure which had more effect, the fact that they were playing lowly Cardiff or the fact that Ole Gunnar Solskjaer is now in charge at Old Trafford as Jose Mourinho's third-season-syndrome kicked in again. So long Maureen - I for one, will miss you :)

At the bottom the big winners were Southampton. Mark Hughes' replacement, Ralph Hasenhuttl is known as the 'Klopp of the Alps'. His sides 3-1 win at Huddersfield following on from their 3-2 defeat of Arsenal means he has got off to a great start.

12 players managed double figures this week, Son was top with 18 pts and there were 2 Man United players in there (Pogba & Lingard)!
Top of the season-long list is still Sterling, but only just. He had another quiet week and Salah scored again to close the gap. The Liverpool defence is also not far behind as they are having a wonderful season so far.

34 goals this 'week' which is high, plus 6 teams managed to keep a clean sheet. All of this meant that scores were high across the board ....
Leader up 56 to 1,128 points - averaging 62.7 .... still Wanaker fc (Lee Turner), but only 28 points cover the top 10 teams.
100th up 65 to 1,050
1k up 61
10k up 58
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Re: Graph

Post by brencarr » 28 Dec 2018, 00:29

Week 19 - Half-way there.
Liverpool won again (Newcastle 4-0), and kept a clean sheet again - very impressive. I know we're only half-way through the season but IF they win their next 2 games, Arsenal (h) & Man City (a), then they would be very hard to stop .... if it's not too late already.
Man City lost at Leicester and have lost as many games in the last 4 days as they lost in the whole of last season - and they were ahead in both of them, not a very Merry Christmas at the Etihad. Spurs have got into the festive spirit though, their 5-0 thrashing of Bournemouth means they have scored 11 goals in 3 days .... Son scored 2 again but was overshadowed for man-of-the-match by Kyle Walker-Peters who had 3 x KCs along with his clean sheet. That win means Spurs move above City into 2nd spot.

In another high-scoring game, Everton beat Burnley 5-1 and in so doing became the first English team to score 7,000 top-flight goals. Everton's two Christmas games had an aggregate score of 7-7 :shock:

At the bottom of the table we had the first ever Premier League match between two managers aged over 70. Neil Warnock's Cardiff and Roy Hodgson's Crystal Palace played out a 0-0 draw .... I'm sure there's a joke or two there but I'll pass :)

Huddersfield lost their 5th game in a row and have replaced Fulham at the bottom of the table .... will Wagner make it to New Year as manager?

13 players broke double-figures this week - top scorer was the aforementioned KWP who got 16 points - taking his seasons total to 19 :)
Mo Salah's goal took him to the top of the season-long list

Lots of points for the second consecutive 'week' and we also have a new leader ....
Lead position up 67 to 1,195 points - averaging 62.9 .... Qwertyuiop (Paul Ferguson)
100th up 67 to 1,117
1k up 65
10k up 61
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Re: Graph

Post by brencarr » 31 Dec 2018, 02:11

Week 20 - Firmino hat-trick
Liverpool marched impressively on with a 5-1 drubbing of Arsenal at Anfield, Man City got back to winning ways at Southampton (1-3) to regain 2nd spot after Spurs were shocked at home by Wolves (1-3), who are now up to 7th and are having a great season. Chelsea remain 4th with a 1-0 win at Palace and Man United's resurgence continued with a 4-1 win v. Bournemouth .... Pogba with his second brace of the week.

Strange goings-on at the foot of the table as 3 of the bottom 5 clubs won - Burnley 2-0 (West Ham); Cardiff 1-0 (at Leicester) & Fulham 1-0 at home to hapless Huddersfield. The Terriers are still only 5 points from safety but they have lost their last 7 games.

Paul Pogba was the top points-scorer of the TFF week (2 sets of games) with an impressive 27 points, Salah was second with 20, Firmino 19 and Etheridge 18 - the Cardiff goalkeeper saving his 3rd penalty of the season. Jonas Lössl also saved a pen v. Fulham in one of those oft-repeated situations where a striker sees his name up in lights and overrules team orders and takes the penalty .... and fails to score. Thankfully for Fulham Mitrovic scored a late winner but in his post-match interview mild-mannered Claudio Ranieri said he 'wanted to kill him' .... it may have been a translation thing .... but with the Thames so close to Craven Cottage, any repeat and Aboubakar Kamara could end up sleeping with the fishes :shock:

Looking at the graph you can see the red line (leader) is 40 points behind last years leader in week 20, and the blue line (100th position) is above last years mark (21 points). This means the top 100 is very close - just 74 points covers the lot, with 20 points covering the top 8. Unsurprising then that we have another new leader this week ....

Lead position up 44 to 1,239 points - averaging 62.0 .... Liver Birds A LBA (Stephen Buckley)
100th up 48 to 1,165
1k up 47
10k up 45
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brencarr
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Re: Graph

Post by brencarr » 04 Jan 2019, 00:33

Week 21 - Liverpool finally lose
The final game of the festive period was 1st against 2nd at the Etihad with Man City winning a breathless encounter 2-1 to cut the gap at the top to 4 points. The game had everything, potential red-cards, possible penalties, posts were struck and a Goal Decision System ruling which meant City avoided going behind by 1.12 centimetres - that's about 7/16ths of an inch for us pre-decimal types :shock:

Liverpool may have finally lost a game this season but one run is still going - Spurs have not had a draw yet, they won 3-0 at Cardiff to remain in 3rd spot. Harry Kane's goal in that game means he has now scored against all 28 teams he has faced in the Premier League. Chelsea drew 0-0 at home to Southampton which is a further sign of Saints improvement under new management. Talking of which, with a 2-0 win at Newcastle, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer became only the second Man United manager to win their first 4 league games .... Sir Matt Busby did so in 1946!

Arsenal beat Fulham 4-1 with Aubameyang on the scoresheet again; Wolves followed up their win at Spurs by losing at home to Palace; Deeney scored twice for Watford in a 3-3 draw v Bournemouth (3-3 at HT there); Arnautovic scored twice for West Ham on return in a 2-2 draw with Brighton and Huddersfield lost again and are now 8 points from safety.

Eleven players scored double-figures this week with Troy Deeney top-scoring with 14 points. Aubameyang's 13 & Kane's 10 points moved them above Sterling (5) in to 2nd & 3rd respectively in the season-long standings (on 125); Salah still leads the way on 130.

I had to double-check the scores this week as they were so close to last weeks .... and we have a 'new' leader, welcome back Lee Turner....

Lead position up 44 to 1,283 points - averaging 61.1 .... Wanaker FC (Lee Turner)
100th up 46 to 1,211
1k up 46
10k up 47

As a bonus this week - a little reminder that one shouldn't give up hope if you're languishing well outside the top 1,000. The extra line on the graph is Dead Parrot's winning effort from 2 years ago. It's not an exact comparison as obviously circumstances are different each year but you get an idea how far behind he was - and that anything can happen in the next few months. There now follows 4 glorious days of FA Cup mayhem .... use those transfers wisely.
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Re: Graph

Post by brencarr » 08 Jan 2019, 00:21

Week 22 - FA Cup third round (proper :))
Most Premier League managers went in for some level of squad rotation this weekend, some faired better than others. Spurs and Man City both won 7(seven) - 0, a hat-trick for Llorente in the Spurs game at Tranmere - seven different scorers for City (v Rotherham) which shared some TFF points around, very handy on what was a low-scoring 'week'.

6 (six) Premier League teams can now 'concentrate on the league' .... Bournemouth (1-3 v Brighton), Cardiff (1-0 at Gillingham), Fulham (1-2 v Oldham), Huddersfield (1-0 at Bristol City), Leicester (2-1 at Newport :shock: ) & Liverpool (2-1 at Wolves). Replays for Newcastle & Southampton.

Llorente was the top points-scorer of the round with his hat-trick (and a KC) but as he's owned by 0.1% of players it won't have made too much difference. Sterling's goal & KC moved him back to the top of the season-long points chart with 133.

Low scores for the FA Cup games across the board. We now have just 66 pts between 1st and 100th place, and only 10 pts covers the top 7, so no surprise we have another 'new' leader this week

Lead position up 20 to 1,303 points - averaging 59.2 .... Qwertyuiop (Paul Ferguson)
100th up 26 to 1,237
1k up 25
10k up 22
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Re: Graph

Post by brencarr » 15 Jan 2019, 04:35

Week 23 - The Schürrle pearler
Struggling Fulham scored 3 goals in the opening 23 minutes at Turf Moor - the first was a sensational strike by Andre Schürrle - unfortunately the other 2 were own goals :shock: That's never a good thing, but when you're stuck in the bottom 3 it's a nightmare. Huddersfield managed to get their first point in 9 matches but a 0-0 draw at Cardiff wasn't enough to keep David Wagner his job and he & Huddersfield have 'parted company', in what they describe as a 'truly joint decision' .... the caretaker/new manager has the visit of Man City to look forward to next week! Newcastle lost 2-1 at Chelsea and make up the bottom three. Huddersfield are now 8 points from safety and need something special to happen judging by their next few fixtures.

At the top, leaders Liverpool won 1-0 at Brighton (Salah - of course) and Man City kept the gap to 4 points by beating Wolves 3-0. They were both potentially tricky fixtures but City got a helping hand when Boly was sent off after 19 minutes. OGS's Man United are still flying high - DDG was the hero at Wembley with 11 saves to keep Spurs out. Pogba & Rashford combined for the latter to score in his 3rd consecutive Premier League game. United are now level on points with Arsenal (6th & 5th) who lost at West Ham, £2.4m defender Declan Rice with the goal. In that game there was a farewell wave from Marco Arnautovic who thinks he is off to fulfil every boys childhood dream and play for Shanghai SIPG :roll: .... maybe the reported £200k per week for 4 years helped a little.

In other news - Lionel Messi scored his 400th La Liga goal this week .... in his 435th league game!

Only 6 players broke double figures this week and they're not the usual suspects .... top scorers with 12 were Gabriel Jesus (2 goals) & the aforementioned Declan Rice; 11 for Kurt Zouma and 10 points each for Shane Long, Lucas Digne & Aymeric Laporte. I don't believe I have any of them in any of my 6 teams :roll: Joint top of the season-long points race are Salah & Sterling on 138 points.

You could still throw a blanket over the top 10 at the head of the TFF ladder and we have a new leader for the 4th week in a row. Take a bow Neil Carrington - his team, FrankieFrog8, was top of the pile when the music stopped this week.

Lead position up 51 to 1,354 points - averaging 58.9 .... FrankieFrog8 (Neil Carrington)
100th up 52 to 1,289
1k up 50
10k up 48

The leader is 50+ points behind last years leader in week 23, the 100th place team is around 18 points ahead of the curve .... it's tight at the top.
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Re: Graph

Post by edmo33 » 15 Jan 2019, 19:08

I wonder if the winning score will be slightly down on the last 2 years, given the 54 point difference at this stage?

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