Betting Log [Division]
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Betting Log [Division]
€200 to €10,000 Betting Log
Thread betting guidelines
Football bets only.
I will assign an estimated win percentage for each bet.
I will choose the best price from a range of bookmakers: Bet365 | BetFred | BetVictor | Paddy Power | Stan James | Ladbrokes | Coral | William Hill
Each bet stake will be for 5%, 10% or 15% of the current bank amount.
*Should the betting log be completed successfully I will donate €500 of the winnings to Concern Worldwide - a charity that works with the world’s poorest people to transform their lives.
I will kick the betting log off with the game of the week, Liverpool v Arsenal, which could have a big bearing on the Champions League places in the English Premier League.
Starting Balance: €200
English Premier League
Liverpool v Arsenal
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.67 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 74.4%
Stake €20
Thread betting guidelines
Football bets only.
I will assign an estimated win percentage for each bet.
I will choose the best price from a range of bookmakers: Bet365 | BetFred | BetVictor | Paddy Power | Stan James | Ladbrokes | Coral | William Hill
Each bet stake will be for 5%, 10% or 15% of the current bank amount.
*Should the betting log be completed successfully I will donate €500 of the winnings to Concern Worldwide - a charity that works with the world’s poorest people to transform their lives.
I will kick the betting log off with the game of the week, Liverpool v Arsenal, which could have a big bearing on the Champions League places in the English Premier League.
Starting Balance: €200
English Premier League
Liverpool v Arsenal
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.67 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 74.4%
Stake €20
- Brightwater
- Grumpy Old Man
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Re: Betting Log [Division]
How do you work out the estimate? How accurate are your estimates?Division wrote: ...I will assign an estimated win percentage for each bet...
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- FISO Knight
- Posts: 11136
- Joined: 13 Oct 2005, 18:32
Re: Betting Log [Division]
We will see over the next few months.Brightwater wrote:How accurate are your estimates?
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- Dumbledore
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Re: Betting Log [Division]
Even at a maximum 15% bet, at odds of 1.67 it will take 42 successful bets to reach your target - and that's assuming no losers.
Good luck!
Good luck!
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
Liverpool 3-1 Arsenal
Balance: €213
Balance: €213
- blahblah
- FISO Viscount
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Re: Betting Log [Division]
Is this take 2?
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
Champions League
Napoli v Real Madrid
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.7 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 67.5%
Stake €21
Napoli v Real Madrid
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.7 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 67.5%
Stake €21
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
Napoli 1-3 Real Madrid
Balance: €228
Balance: €228
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
English Premier League
Bournemouth v West Ham
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.6 William Hill
Estimated Win Percentage: 70.6%
Stake €23
Bournemouth v West Ham
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.6 William Hill
Estimated Win Percentage: 70.6%
Stake €23
- jimwinn
- Grumpy Old Man
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Re: Betting Log [Division]
Interesting long term venture
How do you work out the %
How do you work out the %
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
Its my personal opinion with a bit of help from a spreadsheet I made to quantify my opinion for a range of markets that are goals based.
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
Bournemouth 3-2 West Ham
Balance: €242
Balance: €242
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
English FA Cup
Chelsea v Manchester Utd
Bet: Chelsea To Win @ 1.8 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 63.7%
Stake €24
Champions League
Monaco v Manchester City
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.1 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 60.2%
Stake €36
Chelsea v Manchester Utd
Bet: Chelsea To Win @ 1.8 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 63.7%
Stake €24
Champions League
Monaco v Manchester City
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.1 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 60.2%
Stake €36
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
Chelsea 1-0 Man Utd
Monaco 3-1 Man City
Balance: €301
Monaco 3-1 Man City
Balance: €301
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
English Premier League
Bournemouth v Swansea
Bet: Bournemouth To Score 2 Or More Goals @ 1.9 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 63%
Stake €30
Bournemouth v Swansea
Bet: Bournemouth To Score 2 Or More Goals @ 1.9 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 63%
Stake €30
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
Bournemouth 2-0 Swansea
Balance: €328
Balance: €328
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
World Cup Qualifier
Peru v Uruguay
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.25 William Hill
Estimated Win Percentage: 53%
Stake €32
Peru v Uruguay
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.25 William Hill
Estimated Win Percentage: 53%
Stake €32
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
Peru 2-1 Uruguay
Balance: €368
Balance: €368
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
English Premier League
Crystal Palace v Arsenal
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
Stake €36
Crystal Palace v Arsenal
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
Stake €36
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
English Premier League
Everton v Leicester
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.62 Bet Victor
Estimated Win Percentage: 68%
Stake €36
Everton v Leicester
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.62 Bet Victor
Estimated Win Percentage: 68%
Stake €36
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
Champions League
Borussia Dortmund v Monaco
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.7 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 67%
Stake €36
Borussia Dortmund v Monaco
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.7 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 67%
Stake €36
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
Everton 4-2 Leicester (Bet Won)
Crystal Palace 3-0 Arsenal (Bet Lost) #WengerOut
Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Monaco (Bet Won)
Balance: €379
Crystal Palace 3-0 Arsenal (Bet Lost) #WengerOut
Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Monaco (Bet Won)
Balance: €379
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
English Premier League
Tottenham v Bournemouth
Bet: Tottenham To Win & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 65%
Stake €38
English Premier League
Man Utd v Chelsea
Bet: Chelsea To Win - Draw No Bet @ 2.05 Bet Victor
Estimated Win Percentage: 56% (ex. push)
Stake €38
Champions League
Monaco v Borussia Dortmund
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 73%
Stake €38
Tottenham v Bournemouth
Bet: Tottenham To Win & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 65%
Stake €38
English Premier League
Man Utd v Chelsea
Bet: Chelsea To Win - Draw No Bet @ 2.05 Bet Victor
Estimated Win Percentage: 56% (ex. push)
Stake €38
Champions League
Monaco v Borussia Dortmund
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 73%
Stake €38
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
Tottenham 4-0 Bournemouth (Bet Won)
Man Utd 2-0 Chelsea (Bet Lost)
Monaco 3-1 Borussia Dortmund (Bet Won)
Balance: €387
Man Utd 2-0 Chelsea (Bet Lost)
Monaco 3-1 Borussia Dortmund (Bet Won)
Balance: €387
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
English Premier League
West Ham v Everton
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
Stake €38
West Ham v Everton
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
Stake €38
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
West Ham 0-0 Everton (Bet Lost)
Balance: €349
Balance: €349
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
English Premier League
Liverpool v Crystal Palace
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.8 Bet365
Estimated Win Percentage: 61%
Stake €34
Liverpool v Crystal Palace
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.8 Bet365
Estimated Win Percentage: 61%
Stake €34
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
Liverpool 1-2 Crystal Palace (Bet Won)
Balance: €379
Spanish La Liga
Real Madrid v Barcelona
Bet: Real Madrid To Win or Draw & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.0 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
Stake €56
Balance: €379
Spanish La Liga
Real Madrid v Barcelona
Bet: Real Madrid To Win or Draw & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.0 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
Stake €56
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
Real Madrid 2-3 Barcelona (Bet Lost)
Balance: €323
English Premier League
Crystal Palace v Tottenham
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.67 Bet365
Estimated Win Percentage: 65%
Stake €32
Balance: €323
English Premier League
Crystal Palace v Tottenham
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.67 Bet365
Estimated Win Percentage: 65%
Stake €32
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- Treebeard
- Posts: 109
- Joined: 02 Aug 2016, 08:36
- FS Record: 1267
Re: Betting Log [Division]
Crystal Palace 0-1 Tottenham (Bet Lost)
Balance: €291
Champions League
Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid
Bet: Exactly 2 or 3 Goals @ 2.05 Bet Victor
Estimated Win Percentage: 57%
Stake €29
Balance: €291
Champions League
Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid
Bet: Exactly 2 or 3 Goals @ 2.05 Bet Victor
Estimated Win Percentage: 57%
Stake €29
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