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GW Odds, projections & press conferences

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GW Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by Mav3rick » 08 Aug 2019, 13:42

GW1 is almost upon us with barely 24 hours to the deadline. Press conferences have started so team news nuggets are beginning to come in. I thought it would be useful to have a thread for all the GW1 news, odds and projections.

Some clean sheet odds expressed as probabilities from https://www.fantasybet.com/

LIV 63%
TOT 58%
MCI 54%
WAT 47%
ARS 38%
BOU 38%
LEI 37%
MUN 37%
BUR 34%
EVE 34%

Top projections (from Fantasy Football Fix - Free version)
ImageImageImageImage

There's lots of team news coming in from pressers too, the FFS Twitter feed is the best place to pick it up from really.

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by Mav3rick » 08 Aug 2019, 13:43

One useful snippet so far from the aforementioned FFS Twitter feed:
Jurgen Klopp on Sadio Mane: "Looks fit. Yesterday was his first session with the team. Yesterday now with the team first time, looks absolutely OK, in good spirits. Yes he's an option, but we will see."
Feel free to post more team news as you find it (remember to credit your source if copying from another site).

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by Finisher1 » 08 Aug 2019, 14:15

Mav3rick wrote:
08 Aug 2019, 13:42
Top projections (from Fantasy Football Fix - Free version)
I think FFFix projections are only available for those who buy a membership, no? Anyway, are those figures in those tables projections for GW1 only?

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by blahblah » 08 Aug 2019, 14:44

Mav3rick wrote:
08 Aug 2019, 13:43
One useful snippet so far from the aforementioned FFS Twitter feed:
Jurgen Klopp on Sadio Mane: "Looks fit. Yesterday was his first session with the team. Yesterday now with the team first time, looks absolutely OK, in good spirits. Yes he's an option, but we will see."
Feel free to post more team news as you find it (remember to credit your source if copying from another site).
Mane is a certainty for 10-20 minutes, imho.

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by Mav3rick » 08 Aug 2019, 14:47

blahblah wrote:
08 Aug 2019, 14:44
Mane is a certainty for 10-20 minutes, imho.
I think you're right and I'm sure that he will play a part. Origi deserves a chance to start this one, no need to rush Mane back in especially with Salah available.

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by dino1980 » 08 Aug 2019, 17:37

Gerard Deulofeu is fit and raring to go for the season opener against Brighton says Gracia. "He is perfect. He had a little problem and it was two weeks ago. He's had time to recover and has been able to train with the team from the beginning of the week. He's ready."

Source: @BenDinnery

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by Mav3rick » 08 Aug 2019, 17:53

Laporte fit for GW1 according to Aguero's mate (apparently):

https://mobile.twitter.com/10josealvare ... 91265?s=21

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by Billy Bongo » 08 Aug 2019, 18:23

Jota just got 3 assists

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by Vsz » 08 Aug 2019, 19:49

These guys have Hart starting ahead of Pope then?

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by Stemania » 08 Aug 2019, 21:37

KDB 3.2 points, Martial less than 3.2, and King with more points than Wilson. Hmmm, they wouldn't like my team. :lol:

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by Mav3rick » 08 Aug 2019, 21:43

Vsz wrote:
08 Aug 2019, 19:49
These guys have Hart starting ahead of Pope then?
Yeah I think you have to make your own adjustments to a certain degree, certainly from game time as I suspect that's based a lot on last season. I don't feel it's fair to post the FFS projections as they're behind their paywall, so the free FFF ones are the best I could find.

FF Geek do a similar projection table, but its over the next 6 games, here's their midfielder one:
https://www.fantasyfootballgeek.co.uk/f ... -rankings/

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by thelimey » 08 Aug 2019, 21:44

I suspect there is a form element to the projections that is carrying on from the end of last season. Hence there are players who finished last season strong but are unlikely to feature this week projected to do well, and players (mostly from abroad) who have no previous form and have no projections.

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by blahblah » 08 Aug 2019, 21:50

Mane's 42 from no more than 5.25 match equivalent (and probably a tad under 5) will be fun to watch.

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by bcfc1903 » 09 Aug 2019, 11:12

2vtitbits from the opening games of the PL.

1. Everton are unbeaten in 8 games at Selhurst Park.

2. Bournemouth have never beaten Sheffield United at home in 7 games.

Total H2h is SU 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 Bournemouth win.

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by admin » 09 Aug 2019, 11:25

Just in case anyone was thinking of bringing Andy Carroll in, Steve Bruce said at his press conference that you won't see him on the pitch for at least the next 2 or 3 weeks due to regaining fitness.

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by math! » 09 Aug 2019, 13:43

Kante is fit but not match fit. Rudiger has been training for a few days.

Lampard says he has no untouchables (though I reckon he has a few i.e. Kepa, Azpilicueta, Jorginho) and every position is up for grabs. He gave this as an answer as to why Luiz left the club.

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by DavidLloydIsAHero » 09 Aug 2019, 13:59

math! wrote:
09 Aug 2019, 13:43
Kante is fit but not match fit. Rudiger has been training for a few days.

Lampard says he has no untouchables (though I reckon he has a few i.e. Kepa, Azpilicueta, Jorginho) and every position is up for grabs. He gave this as an answer as to why Luiz left the club.

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No convinced on Jorginho tbh, Kante and Rudiger will be when both fit but Jorginho could easily miss out to Mount, RLC, Kovacic once Kante is back

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by admin » 09 Aug 2019, 14:57

Per SSN ticker:

Sané out for up to 7 months
Marhez cleared to play
Praet won't start for Leicester on Sunday
OGS talks up Mason Greenwood and confirms Maguire available to start on Sunday
Chelsea checking fitness of Kante after knee injury whilst Rudiger is out and Willian a doubt
Zaha in Palace squad but Tomkins, M Sakho and Schlupp out. Cahill, J McCarthy and Camarasa available for debuts.
Mané could be involved in tonight's match
Norwich without Klose
West Ham without Noble but Wilshere and Fabianski fit
Burnley only have Brady missing
Bournemouth without Brooks, Gosling and L Kelly but Cook and C Daniels available.
Everton have Delph out and Baines a doubt. Manager's plan is to play Iwobi on left side and behind striker but he's worried about only having 3 CDs.
Lacazette ankle being assessed and late decision on Pepe and Elneny who played in ACN.
Spurs without Son, Alli, Foyth, Ben Davies and Sessegnon.

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by bspittles » 09 Aug 2019, 15:09

Cheers Chris, nice summary.

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by admin » 09 Aug 2019, 16:33

P.S. Kieran Tierney was bought by Arsenal even though he has groin injury which is likely to keep him out until mid September.

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by Mav3rick » 09 Aug 2019, 17:48

Ozil and Kolasinac apparently not available this weekend due to further events related to that attempted car jacking :shock:

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by math! » 09 Aug 2019, 17:52

"Further security incidents"

Imagining they went on a Lethal Weapon-esque crusade to catch the bad guys which lead to an explosion in an old warehouse at the docks.

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by Pirlo's Beard » 09 Aug 2019, 18:31

math! wrote:
09 Aug 2019, 17:52
Imagining they went on a Lethal Weapon-esque crusade to catch the bad guys which lead to an explosion in an old warehouse at the docks.
...with Özil claiming he's getting too old for this shit. If we take "this shit" to mean "tracking back and generally looking arsed".

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by blahblah » 09 Aug 2019, 18:32

Pirlo's Beard wrote:
09 Aug 2019, 18:31
math! wrote:
09 Aug 2019, 17:52
Imagining they went on a Lethal Weapon-esque crusade to catch the bad guys which lead to an explosion in an old warehouse at the docks.
...with Özil claiming he's getting too old for this shit. If we take "this shit" to mean "tracking back and generally looking arsed".

I'm sure there is an Arsenal gag in there......

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by math! » 16 Aug 2019, 13:14

Mount - probably won't start every game but will be a big influence.

Hudson-Odoi and Rudiger need conditioning work but Rudiger and Willian are in contention for the weekend, with Willian being the closest to ready.

Reece James injury - potentially 2-3 weeks.

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by Pirlo's Beard » 16 Aug 2019, 13:39

Might need to change the thread title if we're using this for regular updates.

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by ajcairns » 16 Aug 2019, 14:01

better if it were new threads each week?

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by admin » 16 Aug 2019, 14:05

ajcairns wrote:
16 Aug 2019, 14:01
better if it were new threads each week?
Yes if someone gets in early and starts it.

For now I've changed the title by removing one 1.

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Re: GW1 Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by Ironfist » 16 Aug 2019, 14:05

These projections aren't half as accurate as the ones I made some three seasons past for FISOers GW scores...

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Re: GW Odds, projections & press conferences

Post by Billy Bongo » 16 Aug 2019, 17:29

Bookies have sterling better odds to score than Salah

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