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GW34 Captain Poll

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Which captain for GW34?

Ryan (BOU, CAR)
6
4%
Duffy (BOU, CAR)
45
33%
Dunk (BOU, CAR)
1
1%
Murray (BOU, CAR)
10
7%
Vardy (NEW)
8
6%
Son (HUD)
37
27%
Eriksen (HUD)
6
4%
Alli (HUD)
0
No votes
Pogba (WHU)
1
1%
Jimenez (sou)
1
1%
Aguero (pal)
8
6%
Sterling (pal)
2
1%
Salah (CHE)
2
1%
Mane (CHE)
0
No votes
Firmino (CHE)
0
No votes
Hazard (liv)
0
No votes
Aubameyang (wat)
1
1%
Lacazette (wat)
1
1%
Niasse (bur, bri)
1
1%
Other (please state)
6
4%
 
Total votes: 136

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Turd Ferguson
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by Turd Ferguson » 11 Apr 2019, 00:31

I was looking for news on Son's injury and saw this post-game interview.



Obviously if he's injured he's not going to advertise it but there wasn't any concern on his face when asked about players stepping up. He was rocking back and forth on his feet without any sign of discomfort. He seems good to go to me.

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BobMem
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by BobMem » 11 Apr 2019, 09:15

Not a chance I was going to captain Duffy...


...until I read this.

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Bixer
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by Bixer » 11 Apr 2019, 12:24

Seems like madness, but with Kane's injury and Spurs potentially rotating a bit this weekend, I just can't see past Duffy.

Notned
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by Notned » 11 Apr 2019, 12:46

No standout option this week, so think I may chance it on Murray. Probably Vardy vice.

Would actually be tempted to captain Auba if guaranteed to start, despite Arsenal's away form.

finkelele
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by finkelele » 11 Apr 2019, 14:01

I haven't given Duffy any thought until I read this thread... I have always hade Vardy captained... Duffy (v). Feels to risky.

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Vsz
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by Vsz » 11 Apr 2019, 14:12

Think I'm going for Duffy (C), Vardy (assuming I keep him on WC) (V).

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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by abjectplop » 11 Apr 2019, 16:24

Step forward Fernando Llorente

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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by Hotstepper » 11 Apr 2019, 17:11

Lukaku

johnjoe107
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by johnjoe107 » 11 Apr 2019, 19:19

Can't believe people are actually considering Duffy. I know he has the extra game but Brighton are on a terrible run at the moment and have only kept 1 clean sheet in their last 10 games.

Lukaku or Vardy for me.


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thekitkatshuffler
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by thekitkatshuffler » 11 Apr 2019, 21:59

johnjoe107 wrote:
11 Apr 2019, 19:19
Can't believe people are actually considering Duffy. I know he has the extra game but Brighton are on a terrible run at the moment and have only kept 1 clean sheet in their last 10 games.
2 clean sheets in their last 10 and 3 in their last 12.

Plus none of those 12 were at home against a Bournemouth side who are awful away from home (and currently on the beach) and Cardiff. Not to mention that Duffy has 5 goals, 2 assist and a crazy number of touches in the opposition box for a defender.

I haven't got him captained at the moment, but I'm certainly tempted.

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Pirlo's Beard
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by Pirlo's Beard » 11 Apr 2019, 22:12

thekitkatshuffler wrote:
11 Apr 2019, 21:59
Not to mention that Duffy has 5 goals, 2 assist and a crazy number of touches in the opposition box for a defender.
Yep, Brighton's whole gameplan basically revolves around finding the head of Duffy from set pieces.

Ireland's too, come to think of it. :oops:

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eastcentral1
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by eastcentral1 » 11 Apr 2019, 22:16

Probably Son or Eriksen, depending on press conferences

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Drew_Peacock
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by Drew_Peacock » 12 Apr 2019, 07:16

I’m keeping Vardy with my WC in play specifically to captain him this week.

He swaps out for Deeney next week

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ROCKFISHDG
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by ROCKFISHDG » 12 Apr 2019, 08:33

Knockaert (c) Vardy (vc)

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Plopsack
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by Plopsack » 12 Apr 2019, 08:51

Shall I be brave enough and TC Duffy?

Crooker
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by Crooker » 12 Apr 2019, 10:18

Plopsack wrote:
12 Apr 2019, 08:51
Shall I be brave enough and TC Duffy?
do it

Resonare
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by Resonare » 12 Apr 2019, 10:40

Son (c), Eriksen (vc) or reversed.

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Stevieste
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by Stevieste » 12 Apr 2019, 10:55

Ive come to the conclusion that not only will i be the only 1 to captain Niasse this week, but im prob the only one to have in him in there team also 🤣

I wonder why im losing ground in my mini league as well 🤦🏼‍♂️

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swadd1er
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by swadd1er » 12 Apr 2019, 15:35

Over to you Duffy

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Lucky
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by Lucky » 12 Apr 2019, 16:45

no clue!

But I follow the Duffy (c) bandwaggon, Lukaku (vc)

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Smurphy's Paw
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by Smurphy's Paw » 12 Apr 2019, 17:03

Duffy/Son here

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Stemania
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by Stemania » 12 Apr 2019, 17:08

I don't love it, but I think it's Duffy here too (Son vc). Best of a bad bunch.

Fun tweet from @FPLEditor this morning:
Duffy’s back-to-back gameweek combos this year:

8, 9, 3, 13, 16, 4, 5, 12, 13, 7, 2, 11, 8, 8, 14, 10, 3, 0, 5, 13, 8, 10, 11, 4, 3

If we say any score under 5 is a failure, this only occurred 28% of the time

While his average back-to-back gameweek score this year is 8pts

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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by blahblah » 12 Apr 2019, 17:24

Notned wrote:
11 Apr 2019, 12:46
No standout option this week, so think I may chance it on Murray.
I was going to ask how daft\mad etc doing this was :?

:lol: :lol: :lol:

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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by PSA » 12 Apr 2019, 17:34

100 points behind in mini league.
It's either Duffy or Erikson or Kun.

I really am torn. Erikson at home to HUD just shouts potential points (if Kane was about) or will he be more advanced with him not about.

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eastcentral1
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by eastcentral1 » 12 Apr 2019, 18:35

Yeah I'm surprised Eriksen so under the radar. Think I'll take a punt.

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Turd Ferguson
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by Turd Ferguson » 12 Apr 2019, 18:38

I was on Son all week, but the attention to Duffy made me do some back of the napkin math.

Here are my scenarios with likelihoods, and expected points. The expected points roughly include clean sheet points, cards, and bonus points.

Son:

Starts, 1 goal: expected points = 8, 40%
Starts, multiple returns: xP = 16, 20%
Starts, blanks: xP = 2, 30%
Doesn't start: xP = 1, 10%

.4 * 8 + .2 * 16 + .3 * 2 + .1 * 1 = 7.1

For Duffy, both games are very similar, so I'm just going to double his expected points from one game. I give him a 36% chance of a clean sheet in each game and a 6% chance of a goal in each game (implying one goal every 17 game or so).

Duffy:
Starts, clean sheet: xP = 7, 33%
Starts, CS and goal: xP = 14, 3%
Starts, No CS: xP = 1, 61%
Starts, No CS and goal: xP = 8, 3%

.33 * 7 + .03 * 15 + .61 * 1 + .03 * 8 = 3.61 * 2 games = 7.22

In other words, Duffy just about shades it. Given the weakness of his opposition and the fact both games are at home, my odds for his clean sheets and goals might be underestimated.

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Turd Ferguson
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by Turd Ferguson » 12 Apr 2019, 18:45

I've convinced myself. I can't quite believe it but I'm captaining a Brighton defender.

garypallister
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by garypallister » 12 Apr 2019, 18:48

100% Duffy TC

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Stemania
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by Stemania » 12 Apr 2019, 18:50

Worth noting Duffy's record of 5 goals in 29 PL starts this season is significantly better than 1 in 17.

I can't believe it either, but it's a magnificent thing. I'm rooting for him to be the most captained! :lol:

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Turd Ferguson
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Re: GW34 Captain Poll

Post by Turd Ferguson » 12 Apr 2019, 19:01

Stemania wrote:
12 Apr 2019, 18:50
Worth noting Duffy's record of 5 goals in 29 PL starts this season is significantly better than 1 in 17.

I can't believe it either, but it's a magnificent thing. I'm rooting for him to be the most captained! :lol:
Yeah, I'm not blown away by his xG numbers in recent weeks, but he does have 5 goals for the season. Set piece targets are tough to judge by xG. They go weeks without a good chance and then one day they get a free header from 6 yards out.

Begovic really struggled against Burnley's muscle in the box, so here's hoping for more of the same. The bookmakers have Duffy's odds of a goal this week at 20+%, and I think that's probably closer to accurate than my ~12%.

I'm actually pretty confident it's the right decision having thought it through. Good luck everyone.

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