After a lively GW24 with high-scoring home wins for Arsenal and Liverpool, and another chaotic Spurs fixture, GW25 presents a mixed slate of form clashes, derby tension and contrasting away profiles.
Arsenal continue to set the pace and face Sunderland at home, while the standout fixture of the round sees Liverpool host Manchester City in what could be pivotal in the title race. Everton’s strong away form faces Fulham, and Wolves host Chelsea in a fixture that pits a blunt attack against a defence that struggles to keep clean sheets. Leeds vs Forest and Brighton vs Palace look like classic mid-table grinders, while Newcastle vs Brentford is a tight matchup between two sides whose form tables suggest fine margins.
The algorithm-based score predictions for GW25 below are based on a) the current overall EPL Leaderboard, b) Recent form (last 6 matches) c) Away Form performances (to factor in the clubs that perform better away from home) and d) Results and XGs from recent GWs. FISO Goals is the EPL Predictions game for FISO Forum Members
🔮 Match-by-match predictions
Leeds vs Nottingham Forest – 1–1
Both sides struggle for consistency. Forest’s away form is improving, Leeds draw often at Elland Road. Tight, low margin game.
Man Utd vs Tottenham – 2–2
Two sides with high BTTS profiles. Spurs rarely shut up shop, United concede at home more than elite sides. Chaos expected.
Arsenal vs Sunderland – 3–0
Arsenal’s attack vs Sunderland’s fragile away defence. Sunderland’s low away xG suggests limited threat.
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa – 1–2
Villa due attacking regression after xG underperformance last week. Bournemouth competitive but leaky.
Burnley vs West Ham – 1–1
Two low-confidence sides. Burnley don’t lose heavily at home but struggle to win. West Ham draw-prone away.
Fulham vs Everton – 1–1
Everton strong away defensively, Fulham consistent at home. Smells like a draw.
Wolves vs Chelsea – 0–2
Wolves struggle for goals, Chelsea’s away xG steady. Chelsea to control.
Newcastle vs Brentford – 2–1
Newcastle strong at home; Brentford away volatile. Narrow home win.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace – 1–1
Derby-ish feel, both sides heavy draw profiles. Likely cagey.
Liverpool vs Man City – 2–2
Big game, both with elite xG creation but defensive vulnerabilities away. Entertaining draw.
📊 GW25 Predictions Table
| Fixture | Score Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds vs Nottm Forest | 1–1 | Medium |
| Man Utd vs Tottenham | 2–2 | Medium |
| Arsenal vs Sunderland | 3–0 | High |
| Bournemouth vs Aston Villa | 1–2 | Medium |
| Burnley vs West Ham | 1–1 | Low |
| Fulham vs Everton | 1–1 | Medium |
| Wolves vs Chelsea | 0–2 | High |
| Newcastle vs Brentford | 2–1 | Medium |
| Brighton vs Crystal Palace | 1–1 | Medium |
| Liverpool vs Man City | 2–2 | Medium |