FISO Goals is the EPL Predictions game for FISO Forum Members. Below predict the EPL scores for GW33 using a statistical model. FISO was founded over 25 years ago in 2000 and is the longest-running UK fantasy sports online community – Independent, community-driven fantasy football analysis since before FPL existed!
Double Gameweek 33 is here — and it’s one of the most important and unpredictable weeks of the season.
With six teams playing twice (Man City, Chelsea, Brighton, Leeds, Bournemouth and Burnley), the usual prediction model shifts slightly. Fixture volume, rotation risk and fatigue all come into play, meaning this is a week where variance increases and upside matters more than ever.
👉 You can read our previous set of predictions here: FISO EPL GW31 Predictions
DGW33 Context & Key Trends
Looking at the last two gameweeks (GW31–32) alongside the form tables:
- Bournemouth are emerging as one of the form teams — strong away record and a win at Arsenal backs that up
- Brighton continue to post strong attacking numbers (notably vs Liverpool), suggesting more goals are coming
- Everton have significantly overperformed xG — results may regress
- Tottenham sit bottom of both home and recent form metrics — a clear avoid signal
- Man City remain top of the last-10 form table and are still the most reliable team in the league
The key takeaway is simple: trust underlying performance, but allow for DGW volatility.
How We’ve Built These Predictions
We’ve applied our standard FISO model (form, venue, attack/defence, xG signals and context weighting) with some small adjustments this week for the extra fixtures.
DGW33 Score Predictions
Saturday 18 April
Brentford 2–1 Fulham
Brentford’s home form edge and Fulham’s weak away numbers tilt this.
Leeds 2–0 Wolves
Leeds benefit from the double and Wolves’ limited attacking output.
Newcastle 1–2 Bournemouth
Bournemouth’s away form and recent big-result profile stands out.
Tottenham 1–2 Brighton
Spurs’ poor form continues; Brighton’s attacking data too strong to ignore.
Chelsea 1–1 Man Utd
Two inconsistent sides — draw looks most likely.
Sunday 19 April
Aston Villa 2–1 Sunderland
Villa solid enough at home against a weaker defensive side.
Everton 1–2 Liverpool
Everton’s recent results look unsustainable; Liverpool can edge the derby.
Nottingham Forest 1–0 Burnley
Forest’s home structure vs Burnley’s limited attack.
Man City 1–1 Arsenal
Top-of-the-table clash — tight, tactical, low margin.
Monday 20 April
Crystal Palace 1–1 West Ham
Very even profiles — draw fits both sides’ trends.
Tuesday 21 April
Brighton 2–1 Chelsea
Brighton’s attacking consistency should pay off here.
Wednesday 22 April
Bournemouth 2–2 Leeds
Two DGW sides → open, high-event game.
Burnley 0–3 Man City
Clear mismatch, especially with City chasing the title.
FISO Predictions Table
| Fixture | Score | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford vs Fulham | 2–1 | Medium |
| Leeds vs Wolves | 2–0 | High |
| Newcastle vs Bournemouth | 1–2 | Medium |
| Tottenham vs Brighton | 1–2 | Medium |
| Chelsea vs Man Utd | 1–1 | Low |
| Aston Villa vs Sunderland | 2–1 | Medium |
| Everton vs Liverpool | 1–2 | Medium |
| Nott’m Forest vs Burnley | 1–0 | Medium |
| Man City vs Arsenal | 1–1 | Low |
| Crystal Palace vs West Ham | 1–1 | Low |
| Brighton vs Chelsea | 2–1 | Medium |
| Bournemouth vs Leeds | 2–2 | Medium |
| Burnley vs Man City | 0–3 | High |
Final Thoughts
DGW33 is a week where you can expect swings, surprises, and big scorelines — especially involving the double gameweek sides.
👉 Check back on FISO after the matches for our review and GW34 preview