FPL GW27 Preview: Fixture Swings, Captaincy Calls & Chip Planning

As Gameweek 27 arrives, many FPL managers are already thinking a few moves ahead. The dominant chip strategy emerging across the community is to Wildcard in GW32, once Double Gameweek 33 and Blank Gameweek 34 are fully confirmed, followed by a Bench Boost in GW33 and Free Hit in GW34.

That means GW27–GW31 is a crucial mini-window to attack fixture runs, build team value, and stock up on players you’ll want to carry into that late-season chip play. This preview focuses on the clubs with the most favourable runs:

  • Best on paper GW27 fixture: Chelsea (home to Burnley)
  • Best looking fixture runs:
    • Bournemouth
    • Brentford
    • Liverpool
    • Manchester City
    • Aston Villa

Our algorithm-based score predictions based on form & recent XGs for GW27 are here. Don’t forget, the deadline for Gameweek 27 is set at 13:30pm (UK time) Saturday, 21st February 2026. The free to play FPL or pay to play season/weekend/daily games like FanTeam are ideal ways of following the Premier League action.

Chelsea (v Burnley, H) – Standout GW27 Fixture

Chelsea have the plum fixture of the Gameweek at home to Burnley and Chelsea attackers will show in the captaincy voting. This is the kind of matchup where FPL managers can reasonably target both goals and a clean sheet, making double-ups very viable. Chelsea however have two tough fixtures in GW28 (Away to Arsenal) and GW29 (Away to AV) so don’t get carried away bringing in Chelsea players.

Players to consider:

  • Cole Palmer – Chelsea’s talisman this season and probably the most popular GW27 captaincy option. Penalties and set pieces make him the standout.
  • João Pedro – Leading the line in the predicted XI and offering explosive potential against one of the league’s weakest defences.
  • Pedro Neto – Direct, high-volume chance creator who thrives against deep blocks and vulnerable full-backs.
  • Enzo – A steady pick who has quietly become more involved in the final third, with assist potential in dominant home fixtures.
  • Reece James – Likely starting (unlike Cucurella who is out with a hamstring injury), he offers one of the highest ceilings among defenders thanks to attacking threat and strong clean sheet odds.

FPL impact:
Chelsea are one of the clearest teams to invest in for GW27. Palmer is a legitimate captaincy candidate, while João Pedro and Neto offer strong upside for those looking to attack Burnley’s defensive weaknesses.


Liverpool (v Nottingham Forest, A)

Liverpool travel to Forest in a fixture that looks favourable on paper and fits neatly into a broader green run. With a week’s rest at last, Liverpool will go strong, with multiple FPL-relevant attackers likely to start.

Players to consider:

  • Mohamed Salah – Not going to be the top captaincy pick this week, but still an elite option with explosive away potential and strong underlying numbers.
  • Florian Wirtz – Continues to offer value as Liverpool’s creative hub, with both goal and assist threat.
  • Ekitike – A high-ceiling forward pick who benefits from Liverpool’s volume of chances, especially in away games against lower-table sides.
  • Cody Gakpo – Versatile attacker who can return from multiple positions across the front line.
  • Virgil van Dijk – Set-piece threat plus clean sheet potential, useful for managers wanting a safer Liverpool route.

FPL impact:
Liverpool attackers remain premium FPL assets during this fixture run. Salah would have been the obvious headline pick last season but less so this, while Wirtz and Ekitike offer attractive alternatives for managers looking to diversify.


Manchester City (v Newcastle, H)

City host Newcastle in what is a trickier fixture than some of the others highlighted, but still one where Pep’s side are expected to dominate possession and chances after a week’s rest unlike Newcastle who had a long journey midweek to Azerbaijan for a very satisfying 6-1 away win. The captaincy poll reflects continued trust in City’s main goal threat.

Players to consider:

  • Erling Haaland – Still likely among the top three captaincy options for GW27. Even in tougher fixtures, he remains capable of hauling.
  • Phil Foden – often central to their chance creation.
  • Semenyo – bang on form after signing from Bournemouth, offering differential appeal if he starts as expected wide in an attacking role.
  • Bernardo Silva – A consistent minutes option who benefits from City’s dominance in home fixtures.
  • Rodri – Less explosive but often involved in bonus and occasional attacking returns, offering stability in tougher matchups.

FPL impact:
Haaland remains a viable captaincy alternative for those swerving Chelsea assets. Foden and Semenyo offer other routes to potential points.


Aston Villa (v Leeds, H)

Villa’s home fixture against Leeds forms part of a strong short-term run and is exactly the type of game FPL managers like to target. Villa after a top 4 finish suggests a front-foot approach with plenty of attacking intent.

Players to consider:

  • Ollie Watkins – The focal point of Villa’s attack and a consistent FPL scorer against weaker defences.
  • Rogers – Continues to offer strong value as a mid-priced attacking midfielder with goal involvement.
  • Buendía – Creative hub who can pick up assists in matches where Villa dominate territory.
  • Matty Cash – Offers attacking upside from right-back alongside decent clean sheet potential.
  • Douglas Luiz – A reliable minutes pick with set-piece involvement and occasional goal threat.

FPL impact:
Watkins is the standout Villa asset for GW27, with Rogers an excellent midfield option for managers targeting Villa’s fixture run.


Brentford (v Brighton, H)

Brentford’s home match against Brighton sits within a broader green patch, and they’ll look to exploit Brighton’s defensive vulnerabilities with pace and directness.

Players to consider:

  • Kevin Schade – A high-impact wide attacker returning from suspension with strong goal threat when Brentford transition quickly.
  • Thiago – The budget forward option who benefits from Brentford’s service in home fixtures.
  • Mikkel Damsgaard – Creative midfielder who can pick up assists when Brentford are on the front foot.
  • Christian Nørgaard – Not explosive, but a steady pick who can chip in with the odd return and bonus.
  • Kristoffer Ajer – Offers aerial threat from set pieces plus reasonable clean sheet potential at home.

FPL impact:
Schade is the standout attacking pick for Brentford, with Thiago offering a cheaper route into their frontline for managers needing budget flexibility.


Bournemouth (v West Ham, A)

Bournemouth’s away trip to West Ham is part of a favourable run and presents opportunities for counter-attacking returns. Their XI points towards pace and direct runners being central to their threat.

Players to consider:

  • Evanilson – The main goal threat in the Bournemouth attack and the most likely source of returns.
  • Kroupi Jr – A budget midfield option who benefits from Bournemouth’s transitional play.
  • Lewis Cook – A steady minutes option with assist potential in open games.
  • Marcos Senesi – Set-piece threat at the back and useful for managers seeking defensive coverage.
  • Romain Faivre – Offers creativity and differential appeal in attacking midfield areas.

FPL impact:
Evanilson is the clear Bournemouth pick for those backing attacking returns, while Kroupi Jr and Faivre provide cheaper routes into their attacking unit.


GW27 Strategy Note

A major theme among FPL managers right now is longer-term planning. Many are eyeing a Wildcard in GW32, followed by a Bench Boost in DGW33 and a Free Hit in BGW34 once the doubles and blanks are fully confirmed. That context makes short-term punts on clubs with green fixture runs particularly attractive, as managers look to maximise points before restructuring their squads later in the season.

For further discussions have a look at FISO’s FPL forum where you can also see the FPL mini-leagues and FPL side-games available.

EPL GW27 Score Predictions – Data-Led FISO Preview (2025/26)

With the league table tightening and Europe beginning to bite for several sides, GW27 looks like a classic “trap” round. The form tables continue to show strong home bias for City, United and Arsenal, while away form remains patchy across the league – even for the traditional big hitters.

The key modelling inputs this week:

  • Last 10 Form: Brentford and Man Utd continue to rate highly, while Palace, Spurs and Burnley remain stuck in poor cycles.
  • Home Form (last 6): Man City and Man Utd remain dominant at home. Arsenal still strong but less explosive recently with the pressure of leading the EPL.
  • Away Form (last 6): Arsenal and Brentford the standout travellers. Brighton, Sunderland and Wolves struggling badly on the road.
  • xG Adjustments (GW25 & GW26):
    • “Unlucky” sides last GW (e.g. Palace, Everton, Bournemouth) get a small attacking uplift.
    • “Lucky” sides last GW (e.g. Burnley, Forest in GW26) slightly downgraded defensively this week.

The overarching premier league scoring pattern still matters:

  • Home wins ~44%
  • Draws ~26%
  • Away wins ~30%
  • 1–1, 2–1 and 2–0 remain the most common scorelines

So we’re still biasing towards narrow home wins or score draws, rather than blowouts. FISO Goals is the EPL Predictions game for FISO Forum Members.


Match-by-Match Preview

🔵 Manchester City vs Newcastle

City’s home form remains elite and Newcastle’s away form is inconsistent despite decent xG recently. Newcastle can hurt teams in transition, but City’s chance creation at the Etihad still points to control and territory with their focus on continuing to close the gap on EPL leaders Arsenal. No concerns from Newcastle for their 2nd leg Champions League match next week after a 6-1 away win in the 1st leg with Gordon grabbing 4 goals in the 1st half.

Prediction: Man City 2–1 Newcastle
Confidence: High


⚪ Tottenham vs Arsenal

North London derby always brings chaos. Spurs’ home form is weak, Arsenal’s away form is strong, but derbies flatten models. Arsenal’s underlying numbers are better, but Spurs often raise their intensity here.

Prediction: Tottenham 1–2 Arsenal
Confidence: Medium


🔴 Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool

Forest have been “unlucky” in recent xG, but Liverpool’s away form is solid and their attack still converts well. Forest may compete territorially invigorated by their new manager, but Liverpool’s quality in the final third should tell. No concerns from Forest for their 2nd leg Europa League knock-out match next week after a 3-0 away win in the 1st leg under their new manager.

Prediction: Forest 1–2 Liverpool
Confidence: Medium


🟣 Crystal Palace vs Wolves

Two struggling sides. Palace have been unlucky in recent xG and Wolves’ away form is among the worst in the league. This feels like a tight, low-margin game. Palace will have one eye on their Conference League 2nd leg knock-out match next Thursday after a 1-1 draw in leg 1.

Prediction: Crystal Palace 1–0 Wolves
Confidence: Medium


🔵 Brentford vs Brighton

Brentford’s form profile is still one of the strongest in the league, especially at home. Brighton’s away numbers and recent xG don’t support an upset here.

Prediction: Brentford 2–1 Brighton
Confidence: Medium


🟤 West Ham vs Bournemouth

Bournemouth continue to create chances without always converting. West Ham’s home form is poor, but Bournemouth’s away defensive numbers remain leaky. This smells like a high-variance draw.

Prediction: West Ham 1–1 Bournemouth
Confidence: Medium


🟦 Aston Villa vs Leeds

Villa’s home form is strong and Leeds’ away record is weak. Leeds can press, but Villa’s midfield control and chance quality at home gives them the edge.

Prediction: Aston Villa 2–0 Leeds
Confidence: High


🔵 Chelsea vs Burnley

Burnley continue to post ugly away numbers and Chelsea’s chance creation at home remains strong with Palmer now finishing off chances. Burnley’s recent “lucky” defensive results also point to regression.

Prediction: Chelsea 2–0 Burnley
Confidence: High


🔴 Sunderland vs Fulham

Sunderland’s home form has been quietly strong, while Fulham’s away performances fluctuate wildly. Sunderland have also been finishing below xG recently, suggesting a bounce could be due.

Prediction: Sunderland 2–1 Fulham
Confidence: Medium


🔵 Everton vs Manchester United

Everton have been unlucky in recent xG and will make this physical. United’s away form is decent but not dominant. This feels like a classic Goodison scrap.

Prediction: Everton 1–1 Man United
Confidence: Medium


📊 GW27 Predictions Table

FixtureScore PredictionConfidence
Man City vs Newcastle2–1High
Tottenham vs Arsenal1–2Medium
Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool1–2Medium
Crystal Palace vs Wolves1–0Medium
Brentford vs Brighton2–1Medium
West Ham vs Bournemouth1–1Medium
Aston Villa vs Leeds2–0High
Chelsea vs Burnley2–0High
Sunderland vs Fulham2–1Medium
Everton vs Man United1–1Medium

🔎 Key FISO Angles This Week

  • Strong home bias for Villa, Chelsea and City
  • Derby chaos factor in Spurs vs Arsenal
  • xG bounce candidates: Palace, Sunderland, Everton
  • Regression watch: Burnley after overperforming defensively

The Battle for Manchester: A Decade of Dominance and the Fiercest Modern Rivalry.

The rivalry between Manchester City and Manchester United has grown into one of the most defining narratives of modern English football. Once seen as a local derby with uneven stakes, the fixture has transformed into a clash that often influences league titles, shapes seasons and captures worldwide attention.

Supporters planning to witness this rivalry in person often secure Manchester City tickets online early, especially for fixtures at the Etihad Stadium, where demand rises quickly during key stages of the season.

A Shift in Power Across the City

For decades, Manchester United held the dominant position within the city. Their success under Sir Alex Ferguson and their global recognition created an era where United shaped the expectations of English football. This balance began to shift as Manchester City gained momentum, invested heavily in infrastructure and assembled squads capable of challenging for major honours.

The result was a rivalry defined by ambition on both sides. United continued to lean on tradition and identity, while City built a new era focused on evolution and sustained success.

A Derby That Reflects Changing Eras

The Manchester Derby now feels like a reflection of modern football. Tactical battles between managers, long-term project planning and pressure from league expectations all contribute to the significance of each meeting. The derby has become a fixture that can influence momentum, shape narratives and highlight the changing balance of power within the Premier League.

Matches at the Old Trafford deliver a feeling rooted in history. The atmosphere is dense, emotional and driven by decades of expectation. At the Etihad Stadium, the environment feels sharper and more modern, supported by design and sound that amplify the home advantage.

Key Moments That Defined the Last Decade

The rivalry’s modern era is filled with moments that live long in memory. Goals that shifted momentum, results that influenced league standings and performances that underlined dominance have all shaped how supporters remember recent seasons.

A mixture of late drama, standout individual displays and tactical surprises have ensured that no meeting between the two clubs ever feels predictable. Even during periods of imbalance, the derby retains an edge that makes every fixture compelling.

Atmosphere That Matches the Stakes

The energy surrounding the derby is noticeably different from ordinary matchdays. Noise rises early, streets fill quickly and every movement on the pitch draws an immediate reaction. The match carries a weight that supporters on both sides feel long before kick-off.

Inside the stadium, the atmosphere reflects not only local pride but the global attention that the rivalry now attracts. Chants overlap, tension builds, and the emotional intensity spreads through the stands with every shift in play.

Why the Battle Still Matters

The importance of the Manchester Derby goes beyond league tables. It represents identity, pride and contrasting football philosophies within a single city. Supporters see it as a measure of progress, ambition and direction for the future.

Every fixture offers an opportunity to make a statement. Even in seasons where one club appears stronger on paper, the derby carries a pressure that levels the field in unexpected ways.

Experiencing the Derby Live

Attending the Manchester Derby is one of the most memorable experiences English football offers. The build-up, the noise and the emotion inside the stadium create a matchday that feels unique from any other league fixture.

For supporters planning their visit, securing access early is essential. The intensity of the rivalry, combined with the rise of Manchester City in recent years, ensures that seats for this fixture remain among the most sought after in the Premier League.

February 2026 FPL Injury News ahead of GW27

The FPL flag list has been busy in February so here’s a club-by-club roundup of FPL player injury and suspension news in February brought to you by FISO. (FISO was founded over 25 years ago in 2000 and is the longest-running UK fantasy sports online community – Independent, community-driven fantasy football analysis since before FPL existed!)


Arsenal

  • Bukayo Saka (13 Feb) – Flag removed, available again after a hip issue (was 50%).
  • Kai Havertz (13 Feb) – Yellow flag, muscle issue (50% chance).
  • Leandro Trossard (13 Feb) – Flag removed, available again after a muscle issue (was 75%).
  • Martin Ødegaard (13 Feb) – Flag removed, available again after a muscle issue (was 50%).
  • Mikel Merino Zazón (2 Feb) – Red flag, ruled out with a foot problem (return unknown).

FPL impact: Saka’s return is big. Havertz is the main pre-deadline sweat; Merino is a clear avoid.


Aston Villa

  • Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (12 Feb) – Flag removed, back available after a knock (was 25%).
  • Ben Broggio (6 Feb) – Moved out on loan (not selectable).
  • Jamaldeen Jimoh-Aloba (6 Feb) – Moved out on loan (not selectable).
  • Kadan Young (6 Feb) – Moved out on loan (not selectable).
  • Lino da Cruz Sousa (6 Feb) – Moved out on loan (not selectable).
  • Marco Bizot (15 Feb) – Red flag, suspended until 27 Feb.
  • Matty Cash (12 Feb) – Yellow flag, knee issue (75% chance).
  • Ollie Watkins (6 Feb) – Flag removed, back available after hamstring issue (was 75%).
  • Ross Barkley (2 Feb) – Flag removed, back available after match-fitness concern (was 75%).

FPL impact: Watkins being cleared matters most. Cash is the only meaningful minutes-risk doubt here.


Bournemouth

  • Akinmboni (13 Feb) – Yellow flag, match fitness concern (75% chance).
  • David Brooks (7 Feb) – Flag removed, available again after match-fitness concern (was 75%).
  • Romain Faivre (6 Feb) – Moved club permanently (not selectable).
  • Tyler Adams (11 Feb) – Flag removed, available again after match-fitness concern (was 50%).
  • Will Dennis (3 Feb) – Moved out on loan (not selectable).

FPL impact: Mostly squad-depth notes; Akinmboni is the only active doubt.


Brentford

  • Benjamin Arthur (6 Feb) – Moved out on loan (not selectable).
  • Frank Onyeka (3 Feb) – Moved out on loan (not selectable).
  • Kevin Schade (11 Feb) – Suspension flag cleared (back available after ban).
  • Kristoffer Ajer (2 Feb) – Flag removed, back available after ankle issue (was 75%).
  • Mikkel Damsgaard (2 Feb) – Flag removed, back available after knee issue (was 75%).
  • Reiss Nelson (11 Feb) – Red flag cleared (ineligibility/availability note resolved).

FPL impact: Damsgaard/Ajer being available helps. Schade’s ban ending is relevant if anyone was monitoring him as a punt.


Brighton

  • Ayari (6 Feb) – Red flag, out with a shoulder injury (return unknown).
  • Brajan Gruda (2 Feb) – Moved out on loan (not selectable).
  • Diego Gómez Amarilla (6 Feb) – Flag removed, back available after a knock (was 75%).
  • Jan Paul van Hecke (10 Feb) – Flag removed, back available after hamstring issue (was 75%).
  • Joe Knight (6 Feb) – Moved club permanently (not selectable).
  • Mats Wieffer (14 Feb) – Red flag cleared, available again (toe issue).
  • Matt O’Riley (8 Feb) – Moved out on loan (not selectable).
  • Solly March (6 Feb) – Upgraded from out to a yellow flag (match fitness concern, was 25%).
  • Tom Watson (2 Feb) – Moved out on loan (not selectable).

FPL impact: Wieffer/van Hecke clearing improves depth. March is still a minutes-risk. Ayari is the main injury absence.


Burnley

  • Axel Tuanzebe (10 Feb) – Yellow flag, Achilles issue (25% chance).
  • James Ward-Prowse (7 Feb) – Red flag cleared (availability restriction resolved).
  • Oliver Sonne (2 Feb) – Moved out on loan (not selectable).

FPL impact: Tuanzebe is the notable doubt; otherwise quiet.


Chelsea

  • Aarón Anselmino (3 Feb) – Moved out on loan (not selectable).
  • Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (9 Feb) – Flag removed, back available after a knock (was 75%).
  • Dário Luís Essugo (14 Feb) – Upgraded to yellow flag (knock, 50% chance).
  • Filip Jörgensen (4 Feb) – Yellow flag, knock (75% chance).
  • Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (6 Feb) – Downgraded to red flag (hamstring, return unknown).
  • Mamadou Sarr (3 Feb) – Moved out on loan (not selectable).
  • Marc Cucurella Saseta (11 Feb) – Yellow flag, hamstring issue (75% chance).
  • Pedro Lomba Neto (7 Feb) – Flag removed, back available after a knock (was 75%).
  • Reece James (14 Feb) – Flag removed, recovered from illness (was 75%).
  • Tosin Adarabioyo (14 Feb) – Flag removed after match-fitness concern (was 75%).

FPL impact: Reece James being back is the headline. Cucurella/Essugo are the late checks. Bynoe-Gittens is a clear avoid.


Crystal Palace

  • Borna Sosa (6 Feb) – Flag removed, back available after muscle issue (was 50%).
  • Daichi Kamada (6 Feb) – Flag removed, back available after hamstring issue (was 50%).
  • Danny Imray (6 Feb) – Moved out on loan (not selectable).
  • J. Rak-Sakyi (3 Feb) – Moved out on loan (not selectable).
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta (6 Feb) – Red flag, out with a knee injury (return unknown).
  • Justin Devenny (10 Feb) – Flag removed, back available after ankle issue (was 50%).

FPL impact: Mateta is the big one (major relevance for Palace attack). Others are mostly depth/availability.


Everton

  • Elijah Campbell (6 Feb) – Moved out on loan (not selectable).
  • Jake O’Brien (11 Feb) – Red flag, suspended until 28 Feb.
  • Martin Sherif (6 Feb) – Moved out on loan (not selectable).
  • Roman Dixon (6 Feb) – Moved out on loan (not selectable).
  • Vitalii Mykolenko (6 Feb) – Flag removed, back available after a knock (was 75%).

FPL impact: Mykolenko returning helps defensive options; O’Brien suspension is the main negative.


Fulham

  • Kenny Tete (2 Feb) – Flag removed after match-fitness concern (was 75%).
  • Oscar Bobb (5 Feb) – Red flag cleared, available again (hamstring return).
  • Rodrigo Muniz Carvalho (6 Feb) – Flag removed, back available after hamstring issue (was 50%).
  • Samuel Chukwueze (2 Feb) – Flag removed after personal reasons (was 75%).
  • Steven Benda (4 Feb) – Moved out on loan (not selectable).
  • Tom Cairney (14 Feb) – Upgraded to yellow flag (calf issue, 50% chance).

FPL impact: Muniz back is useful for budget forward planning. Cairney is the only active doubt.


Leeds

  • Anton Stach (14 Feb) – Upgraded to yellow flag (hip issue, 50% chance).
  • Daniel James (7 Feb) – Flag removed after match-fitness concern (was 75%).
  • Jaka Bijol (7 Feb) – Flag removed after match-fitness concern (was 75%).
  • Lukas Nmecha (7 Feb) – Flag removed after hamstring issue (was 25%).
  • Pascal Struijk (14 Feb) – Upgraded to yellow flag (hip issue, 50% chance).

FPL impact: Two 50% hip doubts (Stach/Struijk) are the key GW27 watch-outs; Daniel James being available helps Leeds attack.


Liverpool

  • Dominik Szoboszlai (11 Feb) – Suspension flag cleared (available again).
  • Endo (14 Feb) – Downgraded to red flag (foot injury, return unknown).
  • Joe Gomez (12 Feb) – Flag removed, back available after a knock (was 75%).

FPL impact: Endo being out affects midfield depth; Gomez returning helps defensive rotation.


Newcastle

Newcastle’s Bruno Guimarães is reportedly expected to miss around two months with a hamstring injury.

FPL impact: If you own him, plan an exit. Newcastle’s midfield structure and chance creation could shift noticeably with Tonali the like for like replacement (and already helped himself to 2 goals in yesterday’s FA Cup 4th round win at Aston Villa).

For further FPL Injury news FISO’s forum has the latest discussion.

Premier League Scoring Trends: 2024/25 Season vs 2025/26 (GW25) – What’s Changed?

With over half the 2025/26 season now complete (250 matches played), we’ve got enough data to meaningfully compare this campaign’s scoring patterns against the full 2024/25 Premier League season. This kind of macro trend analysis is invaluable when refining weekly score predictions, particularly around assumptions on home advantage, goal expectation, BTTS and clean sheets.

Below we summarise the headline numbers from 2024/25 (380 matches) and compare them directly to 2025/26 up to GW25 (250 matches), before pulling out the key tactical and predictive takeaways. FISO Goals is the EPL Score Predictions game for FISO Forum Members.


Home Wins vs Draws vs Away Wins

🔵 2024/25 (Full Season – 380 matches)

  • Home wins: 155 (40.8%)
  • Draws: 93 (24.5%)
  • Away wins: 132 (34.7%)

🟣 2025/26 (After GW25 – 250 matches)

  • Home wins: 110 (44.0%)
  • Draws: 65 (26.0%)
  • Away wins: 75 (30.0%)

📌 What’s Changed?

  • Home wins are up this season (44% vs 40.8%).
  • Away wins are down significantly (30% vs 34.7%).
  • Draw frequency is broadly similar.

👉 This suggests home advantage has strengthened in 2025/26, which should slightly nudge predictions toward home wins where the matchup is marginal.


Most Common Scorelines

🟣 2025/26 (After GW25 – Top Results)

  • 1–1 → 12%
  • 2–1 → 9.2%
  • 2–0 → 9.2%
  • 0–0 → 6.8%
  • 0–1 → 6.8%
  • 1–2 → 6.8%
  • 3–0 → 6.4%
  • 2–2 → 6.0%
  • 1–0 → 5.6%
  • 3–1 → 5.6%

In 2024/25, the most common results were also clustered around 2–1, 1–1, 2–0 and 3–1, but there was a notably higher share of 4+ goal matches (see below), which slightly diluted the dominance of mid-range scorelines. The most frequent results across the whole 24/25 season were:

  1. 1–1 → 45 matches (11.84%)
  2. 2–1 (home win) → 33 matches (8.68%)
  3. 2–2 → 31 matches (8.16%)
  4. 1–0 (home win) → 29 matches (7.63%)
  5. 1–2 (away win) → 29 matches (7.63%)
  6. 0–2 (away win) → 28 matches (7.37%)
  7. 0–1 (away win) → 26 matches (6.84%)
  8. 2–0 (home win) → 21 matches (5.53%)
  9. 3–1 (home win) → 17 matches (4.47%)
  10. 0–0 → 16 matches (4.21%)

👉 The big story this season: more tight, low-margin scorelines, fewer blowouts with 2-0 and 0-0 both much more popular results so far in 2025/26 compared to the 2024/25 season.


Goals Per Match & High-Scoring Games

In 2024/25, the Premier League was unusually attack-heavy, averaging 2.93 goals per match, with 34.2% of fixtures featuring 4 or more goals. That placed last season firmly in the “high event” category, with frequent shootouts and a steady stream of 3–2, 4–1 and 4–2 scorelines.

By contrast, 2025/26 up to GW25 has cooled slightly. The league is averaging 2.79 goals per match, and only 29.2% of games have produced 4+ goals. While still a relatively entertaining scoring environment by historical EPL standards, this represents a clear step down in volatility compared to last season.

The practical implication for score prediction models is that big scorelines should be used more selectively in 2025/26. Whereas 2024/25 often rewarded aggressive 3–1 or 4–1 calls, the current season is better approached with a bias toward narrower margins (2–1, 2–0) and a greater respect for matches staying under four total goals unless form, xG trends and fixture context all strongly align.


Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

🔵 2024/25

  • BTTS: 57.4%

🟣 2025/26 (GW25)

  • BTTS: 55.6%

📌 What’s Changed?

BTTS remains remarkably stable year-on-year. The slight dip suggests:

  • A touch more defensive control this season.
  • Slightly more one-sided games (often driven by stronger home performances).

👉 BTTS remains a very solid default assumption in close fixtures.


Clean Sheets & Defensive Outcomes

🔵 2024/25

  • Matches with at least one clean sheet: 178 (46.8%)
    • Home win + CS: 71 (18.7%)
    • Away win + CS: 75 (19.7%)
    • 0–0 draws: 16 (4.2%)

🟣 2025/26 (GW25)

  • Matches with a clean sheet: 111 (44.4%)
    • Home win + CS: 55 (22.0%)
    • Away win + CS: 39 (15.6%)
    • 0–0 draws: 17 (6.8%)

📌 What’s Changed?

  • Home clean-sheet wins have increased significantly (22% vs 18.7%).
  • Away clean-sheet wins have fallen sharply (15.6% vs 19.7%).
  • 0–0 draws are more common this season.

👉 This aligns with the broader theme:
stronger home performances, tighter away attacks, more cagey low-scoring games.


Big Picture: What This Means for Score Predictions

Compared to the free-scoring, away-friendly nature of 2024/25, the 2025/26 season so far shows:

  • 🏠 Stronger home advantage
  • Slightly lower scoring environment
  • 🔐 More home clean sheets
  • 🧮 More 1–0, 2–0, 2–1 type outcomes
  • 🟰 More 0–0s than last season

Practical Adjustments for Prediction Models

If you’re tuning your weekly prediction logic:

  • Slightly downgrade away win probability vs last season.
  • Be less aggressive with 3+ goal predictions.
  • In evenly matched fixtures, 1–1 remains king.
  • In strong home mismatches, 2–0 is emerging as a higher-probability default.
  • Clean sheets for top home sides are more reliable than in 24/25.

Final Thought

The 2025/26 season is shaping up to be slightly more controlled, more home-leaning, and marginally lower scoring than last year. That doesn’t mean chaos is gone – it just means score predictions should now lean more towards narrow margins and structural advantages (home form, defensive solidity, and xG under/over-performance correction) rather than last season’s more open-game baseline.

FPL GW26 Preview: Transfers In vs Fixtures (GW26–GW35)

With Gameweek 26 kicking off tonight, transfer activity has surged as managers look to align short-term form with longer-term fixture runs. Using the most transferred-in players list and the Fixture Difficulty Rating table from GW26 to GW35, this preview breaks down the 10 most represented clubs on the transfers-in list and assesses whether their upcoming schedules justify the investment.

Our algorithm-based score predictions based on form & recent XGs for GW26 are here. Don’t forget, the deadline for Gameweek 25 is set at 18:00pm (UK time) tonight on Tuesday, 10th February 2026. The free to play FPL or pay to play season/weekend/daily games like FanTeam are ideal ways of following the Premier League action.

Arsenal

Arsenal dominate the transfers-in list this week in main due to their DGW26 but also reflecting both form and fixture appeal. Their run from GW26 to GW35 includes several favourable home fixtures and manageable away trips, alongside their Double Gameweek in GW26.

Upcoming fixtures (GW26–GW35)
BRE (A) & WOL (A)
TOT (A)
CHE (H)
BHA (A)
EVE (H)

BOU (H)
MCI (A)
NEW (H)
FUL (H)

Gyökeres £8.8m 12.8% – Form 5.2 – Points 75 – Tr In 362k
Gyökeres has attracted heavy interest as a mid-priced forward option. While Arsenal’s fixtures include some tougher away trips, the home matches against Chelsea, Bournemouth and Fulham provide strong potential for returns.

Zubimendi £5.3m 5.0% – Form 6.0 – Points 101 – Tr In 304k
Zubimendi offers value in midfield with steady points accumulation. His price makes him an attractive enabler for managers wanting Arsenal coverage without committing premium funds.

Rice £7.5m 35.1% – Form 3.0 – Points 134 – Tr In 291k
Rice continues to be popular despite modest recent form. His appeal lies in minutes security and bonus point potential, particularly in home fixtures later in the run.

J. Timber £6.4m 30.8% – Form 4.2 – Points 121 – Tr In 225k
Timber remains one of the most reliable Arsenal defenders. Clean sheet potential in the Bournemouth and Fulham home games boosts his medium-term appeal.

Gabriel £7.1m 42.5% – Form 5.8 – Points 135 – Tr In 198k
Gabriel is once again the standout defensive pick from Arsenal. The home fixtures in this run align well with his aerial threat from set pieces.

Raya £5.9m 35.0% – Form 5.0 – Points 106 – Tr In 183k
Raya offers a strong route into Arsenal’s defensive returns. The Bournemouth and Fulham home fixtures provide realistic clean sheet opportunities.

Saliba £6.1m 14.2% – Form 5.5 – Points 83 – Tr In 140k
Saliba is a slightly more differential Arsenal defensive option, with similar clean sheet prospects to Gabriel at a lower ownership level.


Manchester United

Manchester United assets remain popular as managers target fixtures that offer scope for attacking returns, particularly away to West Ham and home to Crystal Palace and Leeds.

Upcoming fixtures (GW26–GW35)
WHU (A)
EVE (A)
CRY (H)
NEW (A)
AVL (H)
BOU (A)
LEE (H)
CHE (A)
BRE (H)
LIV (H)

Bruno Fernandes £9.8m 36.0% – Form 8.8 – Points 141 – Tr In 284k
Fernandes continues to lead the midfield transfers. His involvement in goals and assists makes him fixture-proof to an extent, though the home matches against Crystal Palace and Leeds are particularly appealing.

Mbeumo £8.6m 22.1% – Form 7.2 – Points 103 – Tr In 219k
Mbeumo offers a strong alternative midfield pick with differential potential. His appeal is strongest in the fixtures against Crystal Palace and Leeds.

Dalot £4.5m 4.4% – Form 5.0 – Points 85 – Tr In 101k
Dalot provides budget defensive coverage for United. Clean sheets are less reliable in this run, but his attacking threat offers upside.


Chelsea

Chelsea’s fixture run includes a cluster of home matches and several green-rated games, making their midfield and forward options appealing.

Upcoming fixtures (GW26–GW35)
LEE (H)
BUR (H)
ARS (A)
AVL (A)
NEW (H)
EVE (A)
MCI (H)
MUN (H)
BHA (A)
NFO (H)

João Pedro £7.6m 44.0% – Form 9.5 – Points 122 – Tr In 262k
João Pedro is one of the standout forward picks for this run. Home fixtures against Leeds and Burnley provide immediate opportunities for goals.

Palmer £10.5m 13.8% – Form 7.8 – Points 67 – Tr In 201k
Palmer’s ownership remains relatively low for a premium-priced midfielder. His creative output and penalty potential make him an intriguing differential.

Enzo £6.9m 23.1% – Form 6.0 – Points 116 – Tr In 92k
Enzo’s steady returns and budget-friendly price point make him a useful squad option during Chelsea’s favourable home run.


Liverpool

Liverpool’s run features a mix of fixtures, but several green-rated games provide opportunities for attacking returns.

Upcoming fixtures (GW26–GW35)
SUN (A)
NFO (A)
WHU (H)
WOL (A)
TOT (H)
BHA (A)
FUL (H)
EVE (A)
CRY (H)
MUN (A)

Ekitiké £8.9m 25.7% – Form 4.5 – Points 102 – Tr In 103k
Ekitiké remains a popular Liverpool forward. The away fixtures against Sunderland and Nottingham Forest are particularly attractive for short-term returns.


Crystal Palace

Palace assets are being targeted largely on the back of fixture difficulty rather than explosive form.

Upcoming fixtures (GW26–GW35)
BUR (H)
WOL (H)
MUN (A)
TOT (A)
LEE (H)

NEW (H)
WHU (H)
LIV (A)
BOU (A)

Sarr £6.3m 3.4% – Form 4.2 – Points 69 – Tr In 112k
Sarr offers differential midfield appeal, with two favourable home fixtures immediately in GW26 and GW27.

Muñoz £5.8m 7.7% – Form 2.0 – Points 97 – Tr In 104k
Muñoz is being brought in as a budget defensive option, primarily for the Burnley and Wolves home fixtures.


Aston Villa

Villa’s fixtures include a strong home run, making their midfield assets popular targets.

Upcoming fixtures (GW26–GW35)
BHA (H)
LEE (H)
WOL (A)
CHE (H)
MUN (A)
WHU (H)
NFO (A)
SUN (H)
FUL (A)
TOT (H)

Rogers £7.6m 30.2% – Form 5.5 – Points 123 – Tr In 129k
Rogers benefits from multiple home fixtures in this run. Matches against Leeds, Chelsea and Sunderland at home provide scope for attacking returns.


West Ham

West Ham’s midfield options are being targeted despite a mixed run of fixtures.

Upcoming fixtures (GW26–GW35)
MUN (H)
BOU (H)
LIV (A)
FUL (A)
MCI (H)
AVL (A)
WOL (H)
CRY (A)
EVE (H)
BRE (A)

Summerville £5.6m 2.1% – Form 9.0 – Points 74 – Tr In 94k
Summerville’s recent form explains the transfer interest, though his fixtures are less forgiving. He remains a higher-risk differential pick.


Wolves

Wolves assets are being transferred in despite a challenging fixture run.

Upcoming fixtures (GW26–GW35)
NFO (A) & ARS (H)
CRY (A)
AVL (H)
LIV (H)
BRE (A)

WHU (A)
LEE (A)
TOT (H)
SUN (H)

Mané £4.6m 2.8% – Form 2.0 – Points 42 – Tr In 93k
Mané is a budget forward pick, but Wolves’ fixtures are difficult overall. His appeal lies primarily in price rather than fixture quality.


Bournemouth

Bournemouth’s assets are being targeted for short-term fixture relief.

Upcoming fixtures (GW26–GW35)
EVE (A)
WHU (A)
SUN (H)
BRE (H)
BUR (A)
MUN (H)
ARS (A)
NEW (A)
LEE (H)
CRY (H)

Kroupi Jr £4.7m 6.9% – Form 3.0 – Points 66 – Tr In 92k
Kroupi Jr offers a low-cost attacking option. Home fixtures against Sunderland and Leeds provide the main appeal.


Final Thoughts

Arsenal dominate the transfers-in list for good reason with their DGW26, with depth of assets and also a favourable run of home fixtures. Chelsea and Manchester United offer strong short-term opportunities, particularly in midfield and forward positions. Liverpool remain viable for attacking returns, while clubs like Crystal Palace and Bournemouth provide budget enablers for managers restructuring their squads.

The key for GW26 is not simply following the crowd, but understanding where fixture quality genuinely supports the transfer trends.

For further discussions have a look at FISO’s FPL forum where you can also see the FPL mini-leagues and FPL side-games available.

How Can Fantasy Football Keep Expanding and Reaching New Audiences?

Fantasy Premier League used to be a niche game played by a few dedicated fanatics. Now, each year, the playing numbers are increasing, with more than 11 million people currently playing from countries around the world.

Despite this impressive rise, there is a risk of stagnation, and the Premier League should be exploring other avenues to ensure its continued success. Breaking into other areas of entertainment could be an excellent way to reach playing demographics who may not have considered partaking in FPL before.

Interest in Fantasy Football Is Steadily Rising

It’s amazing to think that FPL only had 76,200 players in its inaugural season during the 2002-03 Premier League campaign. It only took a few years for it to surpass one million players, and it finally hit the ten million mark in the 2022-23 campaign. There are various other fantasy games for the English top flight, but the official Fantasy Premier League has established itself as the number one offering.

Although the increase in interest in the activity has swelled greatly, it’s hard to think how FPL can grow much more from this point. While it has attracted many new players, it has lost players as well. In fact, there was a huge portion of the FPL purists who were notably disappointed when it became mainstream and started to become marketed to a wider audience on YouTube. With experts providing information to players on the video platform and on X, it became much harder for long-time players to get an edge.

It would make sense, then, for FPL to try to broaden its scope and attempt to bring in new demographics that can add to the player pool. This could help the game become more diverse, with fewer ‘template’ teams.

Fantasy Football Could Be Represented in Other Areas of Entertainment

YouTube has been one of the greatest boosts to FPL’s success in the last few years, with it providing a platform for hundreds of content creators who share their knowledge about the game. For it to grow more in the future, though, it may make sense to get into other areas of entertainment to reach different playing demographics.

For example, FPL documentaries on streaming platforms could be a great way to promote the game to a wider audience. There are already various football documentaries on Amazon Prime Video and Netflix, so something focusing on FPL players and the game itself could be a success. Indeed, it could help to glamorise the game and inspire more people to try it out.

The online casino market is another place that could integrate some official FPL-themed content. There are already numerous online slots UK sites are pushing with a football theme, including Football! Cash Collect and Gold Trio Football! There are even roulette offerings such as Live Football Roulette. A licensed FPL game could fit right in here, and help raise people’s awareness of it.

There are lots of ways that FPL can expand into different forms of entertainment, and this would help grow its player base over time. If this doesn’t happen, there is a risk that interest in FPL could start to stagnate.

EPL GW26 FISO Predictions – Tue 10th to Thu 12th February 2026

Another quick turnaround Gameweek as the Premier League schedule barely pauses for breath after GW25. With only a short break, rotation risk, fatigue and regression to the mean all come into play – making this an ideal week to lean on form tables, home/away splits and xG trend signals rather than simply raw results.

GW25 again highlighted several “process vs outcome” mismatches, with Bournemouth, Burnley, Fulham and Newcastle all posting strong xG but failing to win. Those teams are now firmly on the regression watchlist for GW26, while the usual elite home sides (Arsenal, Manchester City, Chelsea and Manchester United) continue to justify trust when the underlying numbers support them.

Below is the fixture-by-fixture breakdown. The algorithm-based score predictions for GW26 below are based on a) Recent form (last 6 to 10 matches) including Home and Away Form and b) Results and XGs from last 2 GWs. FISO Goals is the EPL Predictions game for FISO Forum Members.

Chelsea vs Leeds

Chelsea’s win away at Wolves was backed up by dominant underlying numbers, and Stamford Bridge remains a difficult place to go. Leeds did produce big xG against Forest, but their away form across the season remains among the weakest in the league. This feels like a narrow home win rather than a comfortable one, with Leeds capable of contributing a goal.

Prediction: Chelsea 2–1 Leeds


Everton vs Bournemouth

Everton’s victory at Fulham was one of the more misleading results of GW25, with Fulham dominating the chances. Bournemouth, by contrast, were unlucky not to beat Aston Villa after creating heavily. This is a classic “process beats result” spot, with Bournemouth looking the value side based on recent xG trends.

Prediction: Everton 1–2 Bournemouth


Tottenham vs Newcastle

Tottenham continue to struggle for consistency, and their recent form remains patchy. Newcastle were one of the most eye-catching teams in the underlying numbers last week, posting a high xG total despite losing. With both teams capable of conceding chances, this has the look of a volatile fixture, but Newcastle’s attacking process gives them a slight edge.

Prediction: Tottenham 1–2 Newcastle


West Ham vs Manchester United

United’s away form profile is among the strongest in the league, and their performance at Spurs was solid across most metrics. West Ham’s win over Burnley came despite being second best on xG, which often proves unreliable as a platform for momentum. This looks like a relatively strong away spot for United.

Prediction: West Ham 0–2 Man United


Aston Villa vs Brighton

Villa remain a strong home side, even if their recent result against Bournemouth flattered them slightly. Brighton’s form has dipped and their away performances haven’t carried the same threat seen earlier in the season. Villa’s home edge and greater attacking consistency tip this one in their favour, though Brighton are competitive enough to keep it close.

Prediction: Aston Villa 2–1 Brighton


Crystal Palace vs Burnley

Burnley were arguably unlucky to lose to West Ham and have been more competitive in chance creation than the table suggests. Palace’s win at Brighton was supported by the underlying numbers, but they still struggle to turn control into goals consistently. This profiles as a low-margin game, with a draw the most likely outcome.

Prediction: Crystal Palace 1–1 Burnley


Manchester City vs Fulham

City’s home record remains elite, and their draw at Spurs was backed by strong xG. Fulham, however, were unlucky against Everton and continue to create chances regularly, even away from home. Expect City to dominate territory and chances, but Fulham may have enough to avoid a shut-out.

Prediction: Man City 2–1 Fulham


Nottingham Forest vs Wolves

Wolves’ away form remains one of the weakest in the division, and Forest’s home performances tend to be more competitive even when overall form dips. Neither side is prolific, so this looks more like a narrow, low-scoring affair than a high-event game.

Prediction: Nottingham Forest 1–0 Wolves


Sunderland vs Liverpool

Sunderland’s home form has been quietly strong over a sustained period, while Liverpool’s away performances have fluctuated between impressive and flat. With Liverpool often conceding chances on the road and Sunderland competitive at home, this has draw written all over it.

Prediction: Sunderland 1–1 Liverpool


Brentford vs Arsenal

Arsenal continue to top most of the recent-form metrics and were convincing again last time out. Brentford’s win over Newcastle came despite being second best on xG, suggesting some short-term overperformance. Arsenal’s consistency across results and process makes them the safer pick, though Brentford are strong enough at home to keep this tight.

Prediction: Brentford 1–2 Arsenal


GW26 Predictions Table

FixtureScore PredictionConfidence
Chelsea vs Leeds2–1Medium-High
Everton vs Bournemouth1–2Medium
Tottenham vs Newcastle1–2Medium
West Ham vs Man Utd0–2High
Aston Villa vs Brighton2–1Medium-High
Crystal Palace vs Burnley1–1Medium
Man City vs Fulham2–1High
Nottingham Forest vs Wolves1–0Medium
Sunderland vs Liverpool1–1Medium
Brentford vs Arsenal1–2Medium-High

Also here’s the EPL results stats up to GW25 including most common scores:

Home/Draw/Away results Out of 250 matches:

Home wins: 110 (44%)

Draws: 65 (26%)

Away wins: 75 (30%)

Takeaway:
Home advantage is still real, but away wins are pretty chunky this season (30%).

Most common scores up to GW25:

1–1 → 30 matches (12%)

2–1 → 23 matches (9.2%)

2–0 → 23 matches (9.2%)

0–0 → 17 matches (6.8%)

0–1 → 17 matches (6.8%)

1–2 → 17 matches (6.8%)

3–0 → 16 matches (6.4%)

2–2 → 15 matches (6%)

1–0 → 14 matches (5.6%)

3–1 → 14 matches (5.6%)

FPL GW25: Transfer Trends, Fixture Runs and DGW26 Strategy

As we move into GW25, FPL managers are entering one of the most important planning windows of the season. Transfer activity is accelerating, fixture difficulty begins to diverge sharply between clubs, and a Double Gameweek in GW26 for Arsenal and Wolves adds another layer of strategic complexity.

Looking beyond single Gameweek punts, the smarter approach is to align transfer targets with favourable fixture runs over the next four to six Gameweeks. By comparing the most transferred-in players for GW25 with the Fixture Difficulty Rating (FDR) from GW25 to GW30, we can identify the players who combine form, momentum and opportunity.

This article highlights ten popular transfer targets who also benefit from a strong run of fixtures, with a particular focus on teams who enjoy clusters of green fixtures and those with double gameweek upside.

Our algorithm-based score predictions for GW25 are here. Don’t forget, the deadline for Gameweek 25 is set at 18:30pm (UK time) tonight on Friday, 6th February 2026. The free to play FPL or pay to play season/weekend/daily games like FanTeam are ideal ways of following the Premier League action.


Arsenal – DGW26 Upside with a Stable Fixture Run

Arsenal remain one of the most reliable teams in FPL, and their schedule from GW25 to GW30 is well balanced. They avoid prolonged runs of red fixtures and crucially have a Double Gameweek in GW26 (both away against Brentford and Wolves), which significantly boosts the appeal of their core assets.

Upcoming easy (green) fixtures for Arsenal:

  • GW25: Sunderland (H)
  • GW26: Wolves (A)
  • GW30: Everton (H)

Gabriel – £7.1m, 40.6% ownership
Gabriel continues to justify his heavy ownership with consistent defensive returns and strong bonus point potential. The upcoming home match in GW25 provides a strong clean sheet opportunity, while the Double Gameweek in GW26 gives him two chances to deliver points in one round. For managers prioritising defensive stability, Gabriel remains one of the safest long-term picks.

Jurrien Timber – £6.4m, 29.0% ownership
Timber offers a slightly more attacking route into the Arsenal defence at a marginally lower price point. With Arsenal’s upcoming fixtures offering clean sheet potential and the added DGW26 upside, Timber is a strong alternative for managers who want Arsenal coverage without doubling up on centre-backs.

Declan Rice – £7.5m, 32.9% ownership
Rice remains popular due to his reliability and steady stream of returns. While not explosive, he benefits from Arsenal’s structured dominance in matches against weaker opponents. The Double Gameweek in GW26 adds further value, making Rice a sensible medium-term midfield anchor for managers seeking consistency.


Chelsea – One of the Best Fixture Runs in the League

Chelsea’s upcoming run from GW25 to GW30 stands out as one of the most favourable in the league, with multiple green fixtures offering both attacking and defensive potential. This explains the strong transfer interest in Chelsea assets ahead of GW25.

Upcoming easy (green) fixtures for Chelsea:

  • GW25: Wolves (A)
  • GW26: Leeds (H)
  • GW27: Burnley (H)

João Pedro – £7.5m, 41.1% ownership
João Pedro has quickly become one of the most popular forward picks in the game. Chelsea’s run of favourable fixtures aligns perfectly with his form, making him a reliable source of goals and bonus points over the next few Gameweeks. While his ownership limits his differential appeal, he offers strong protection for managers looking to consolidate rank.

Enzo – £6.8m, 22.7% ownership
Enzo offers a slightly more understated route into Chelsea’s attacking output. With green fixtures ahead, he is well placed to accumulate steady returns through goals, assists and bonus involvement. His ownership keeps him in a useful middle ground between safety and upside.

Chalobah – £5.7m, 23.7% ownership
Chalobah provides budget-friendly access to Chelsea’s defence during a period where clean sheets are more likely. For managers looking to restructure their back line, he represents good value without sacrificing fixture quality.


Liverpool – Fixture Swings Create Short-Term Opportunities

Liverpool’s schedule is mixed overall, but they enjoy a favourable run in the middle of the GW25–GW30 window. This makes certain Liverpool attackers appealing medium-term holds rather than long-term locks.

Upcoming easy (green) fixtures for Liverpool:

  • GW28: West Ham (H)
  • GW29: Wolves (A)

Ekitike – £8.9m, 25.8% ownership
Ekitike remains one of the most appealing Liverpool attackers, combining strong involvement with an upcoming period of softer fixtures. Managers backing Ekitike are likely targeting those specific green fixtures where Liverpool’s attacking ceiling is highest.

Wirtz – £8.3m, 13.9% ownership
Wirtz stands out as a genuine differential option. With relatively low ownership, he offers upside for managers willing to take a calculated risk. The green fixtures provide a platform for Wirtz to deliver returns that could significantly impact rank if Liverpool find rhythm in attack.


Manchester United – Popular Picks Despite Mixed Fixtures

Manchester United’s fixtures are more mixed than some of the other clubs highlighted, but their key players remain popular due to form and role security rather than fixture quality alone.

Upcoming easy (green) fixtures for Manchester United:

  • GW26: West Ham (A)
  • GW28: Palace (H)

Bruno Fernandes – £9.7m, 32.7% ownership
Bruno remains one of the most reliable premium midfielders in the game. While United’s fixtures are not uniformly green, Bruno’s involvement in goals and assists makes him relatively fixture-proof. He remains a strong long-term hold for managers who value reliability.

Cunha – £8.0m, 8.9% ownership
Cunha offers differential appeal for managers seeking upside beyond the obvious picks. His ownership remains low, and with a couple of green fixtures on the horizon, he has the potential to quietly outperform more popular options.


Bournemouth – Budget Enablers with Green Patches

Bournemouth enjoy a run of manageable fixtures that make their budget assets more appealing than usual, particularly for managers seeking squad depth.

Upcoming easy (green) fixtures for Bournemouth:

  • GW27: West Ham (A)
  • GW28: Sunderland (H)
  • GW30: Burnley (A)

Senesi – £4.8m, 15.3% ownership
Senesi provides a low-cost defensive option with a reasonable chance of returns during Bournemouth’s green fixtures. While Bournemouth are not an elite defensive side, the fixture run offers opportunities for clean sheets and bonus points, making Senesi a useful budget rotation option.


Strategic Takeaways

This planning window is defined by three core themes. Arsenal and Wolves benefit from a Double Gameweek in GW26, which elevates even steady performers into high-value picks. Chelsea’s run of green fixtures makes them one of the most important teams to invest in over the next month. Liverpool and Manchester United offer selective opportunities where timing transfers around fixture swings can unlock upside.

Managers who align transfers with fixture runs rather than chasing recent points are far more likely to gain ground over this period. Balancing high-ownership safety picks with one or two well-timed differentials remains the optimal strategy.

For further discussions have a look at FISO’s FPL forum where you can also see the FPL mini-leagues and FPL side-games available.

Champions League Knockouts 2026: All Roads Lead to Europe’s Major Stage

After a gruelling and thrilling league phase that concluded in late January, the UEFA Champions League now turns its full attention to the knockout rounds — a stage every club dreams of but few get to enjoy. This season’s format, part of UEFA’s expanded 36-team league structure, means that 24 teams have reached the knockout phase. Of those, the top eight clubs from the league standings received automatic qualification to the Round of 16, while the next 16 teams compete in the two-legged knockout play-offs starting 17–18 February 2026. Victors from those ties will join the automatic qualifiers in the Round of 16, setting the stage for football’s most intense tactical battles.

FanTeam’s flagship fantasy Champions League KO contest is NOW OPEN!

⚽ £25,000 Guaranteed Prize Pool
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📅 Starts 17th Feb at 17:45 GMT

🌟 9 Gameweeks, 2 Wildcards, Weekly Transfers – Rules in the image below.

Think you’ve got what it takes to manage your squad through two-legged ties and claim UCL glory? General T&Cs apply. 18+. UK only. Please play responsibly.

🔥 Satellites are live and kick off tonight with Leeds vs Forest – grab your seat at a discount!
🎁 And don’t miss FanTeam’s Daily Freeroll, also running on tonight’s game.


Automatic Round of 16 Entrants: Europe’s Elite Take a Break

Under the new system, finishing inside the top eight in the league phase table grants immediate passage to the Round of 16 — a significant advantage both emotionally and logistically, allowing teams to rest and prepare while 16 others battle it out in February. These eight automatic qualifiers are:

  • Arsenal
  • Bayern Munich
  • Liverpool
  • Tottenham Hotspur
  • Barcelona
  • Chelsea
  • Sporting CP
  • Manchester City

This group mixes historic European giants like Barcelona, Bayern Munich and Manchester City with clubs who have been reinvigorated in recent seasons such as Arsenal and Tottenham. Their direct qualification means fewer fixtures and fresher legs come the March stages, often key in a competition where margins are tiny.

From a fantasy football perspective, these teams boast several compelling assets:

  1. Cole Palmer (Chelsea) – A creative fulcrum who has been both goal creator and scorer throughout the campaign, with a knack for big-moment contributions.
  2. Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) – A consistent source of attacking returns with pace, goals and assists, particularly on European nights.
  3. Phil Foden (Manchester City) – If fit and selected, Foden’s goal contributions and involvement in key moments make him a premium asset.
  4. Jamal Musiala (Bayern Munich) – The German international winger remains one of Europe’s most exciting offensive talents, capable of tipping tight ties with moments of individual brilliance.

The Play-Offs: Fight for a Round of 16 Spot

While the top eight were rewarded with a bye, the following 16 clubs now face one more hurdle to extend their European journey. These teams will contest two-legged play-off ties on 17–18 February and 24–25 February 2026:

Seeded sides:

  • Real Madrid
  • Inter Milan
  • Paris Saint‑Germain
  • Newcastle United
  • Juventus
  • Atlético Madrid
  • Atalanta
  • Bayer Leverkusen

Unseeded sides:

  • Borussia Dortmund
  • Olympiacos
  • Club Brugge
  • Galatasaray
  • Monaco
  • Qarabağ
  • Bodø/Glimt
  • Benfica

This list features a dramatic blend of historical powerhouses and hungry challengers. Clubs like Real Madrid, PSG and Inter will be desperate to overturn league phase stutters and stamp their authority, while emerging teams such as Bodø/Glimt and Qarabağ bring unpredictable flair to the mix.


Fantasy Players to Watch in the Play-Offs

The play-offs not only are decisive for Round of 16 spots, but they also give managers valuable fantasy targets across two legs in February:

From Play-Off Contenders

  1. Kylian Mbappé – Paris Saint-Germain
    Mbappé has been sensational this season, scoring heavily in the league phase with explosive numbers and consistent goal threat — he’s also the competition’s leading scorer.
  2. Vinícius Jr – Real Madrid
    Though not always the top scorer, Vinícius combines flair, dribbling and direct goal contributions that can earn big game returns and swings in fantasy points.
  3. Harvey Barnes – Newcastle United
    With Antony Gordon likely missing for a while with a hamstring injury, Barnes can come in with a blend of goals and assists and his form provides an intriguing differential at a time when many top assets are well-owned.
  4. Domenico Berardi – Atalanta / or potential standout from Leverkusen
    While Atalanta’s squad features several contributors, expect creative drivers like Berardi or Leverkusen’s attacking talent to be involved in goals during these decisive ties.

From Automatic Qualifiers

  1. Semenyo – Manchester City
    On occasions when Pep Guardiola rotates, Semenyo’s direct involvement in goals and his attacking positioning make him a highly valuable fantasy asset and his January purchase qualifies him to now appear for City.
  2. Erling Haaland – Manchester City
    Never far from goal, Haaland remains a must-pick for many fantasy formats given his consistent scoring and high xG output.
  3. Declan Rice – Arsenal
    Rice’s creative role and ability to earn direct returns make him a fixture in many fantasy teams.
  4. Gabriel Martinelli – Arsenal
    Martinelli’s pace, goals and consistency lend him huge appeal, especially with Arsenal’s strong momentum as automatic qualifiers.

What’s Next

With the knockout play-offs kicking off on 17 February 2026, champions, challengers and underdogs alike enter one of the most dramatic phases of the football season. The winners of these eight ties will be revealed by 25 February, setting up a refreshed Round of 16 by late March.

From traditional giants seeking redemption to emerging talents looking for European breakthroughs, and a host of elite fantasy players poised to make an impact, the Champions League knockout phase promises drama, narrative and unforgettable football on the road to 30 May 2026 — the final at the Puskás Aréna in Budapest. FanTeam’s UCL KO game adds to the interest in following the matches. For more discussion on FanTeam Fantasy Games check out FISO’s FanTeam Forum.