Gameweek 4 is complete and the opening weeks of the 2026/27 Fantasy Premier League season have already changed our view of several Premier League clubs.
That means it is also time for a significant update to the FISO Fixture Difficulty Planner (FDR).
The planner now covers GW5 to GW14, giving FPL managers a ten-Gameweek view of the fixtures ahead. More importantly, we have substantially revised our club Strength ratings.
Our original ratings were heavily influenced by the final 2025/26 Premier League table. After four Gameweeks of the new season, we now have enough evidence to make 2026/27 performances the main influence on our ratings, while still retaining some weighting for what we knew about the teams before the season began.
The result is a very different-looking FDR.

Try the updated FISO Fixture Difficulty Planner:
https://www.fiso.co.uk/games/fdr/
New FISO Strength ratings after GW4
Some of the biggest changes have come from clubs whose opening four matches have challenged their pre-season expectations.
Leeds have risen to a Strength rating of 77 following their excellent start, culminating in their 4-1 victory over Newcastle.
Brighton have climbed to 78, while promoted Hull are now rated 72 and Ipswich have moved up to 65.
At the other end, Manchester United have dropped to 76, while Coventry are now our lowest-rated team at 48.
At the top, Arsenal remain our strongest side at 95, just ahead of Manchester City on 93.
These ratings aren’t designed to remain static. We’ll continue reviewing them as the season develops and the evidence from 2026/27 becomes increasingly reliable.

Man City have the best next five fixtures
For this week’s analysis, we’ve sorted the FDR according to GW5-GW9, giving us a useful five-Gameweek planning period.
Manchester City come out on top with an Avg 5 fixture rating of +23.4.
Their next five are:
Sunderland (H)
Liverpool (A)
Ipswich (H)
Aston Villa (A)
Brighton (H)
The Liverpool trip is the obvious complication, but the other fixtures look extremely attractive according to our current Strength ratings.
Sunderland at home scores +29, Ipswich at home is +30, Villa away is also +30, and Brighton at home scores +17.
Looking further ahead makes City even more interesting. They subsequently face Nottingham Forest, Fulham, Arsenal, Leeds and Brentford, giving them an Avg 10 of +20.6.
For FPL managers considering City assets, this isn’t simply a short run to target. The fixtures remain strong virtually all the way through to GW14.
Arsenal are close behind
Arsenal rank second over the next five with an Avg 5 of +19.8.
Their GW5-GW9 fixtures are:
Brighton (A)
Leeds (H)
Nottingham Forest (A)
Everton (H)
Liverpool (A)
The FISO ratings make Leeds at home +20, Forest away +25 and Everton at home +26.
Liverpool away is harder, but still only scores +13 because of Arsenal’s very high Strength rating.
Arsenal also have the best Avg 10 score at +20.8, narrowly ahead of City’s +20.6.
After Liverpool they face Hull, Newcastle, Manchester City, Brentford and Tottenham. Spurs away in GW14 currently receives an extraordinary +36 rating.
That final number demonstrates an important feature of the FISO FDR: fixture difficulty is relative to the Strength of the team you own.
A fixture against Tottenham is considerably more attractive for a team rated 95 than it would be for an average Premier League side.
Chelsea complete the top three
Chelsea’s next five produce an Avg 5 of +13.4.
They face Brentford away, Bournemouth at home, Everton away, Tottenham at home and Manchester United at home.
Tottenham at home is the standout at +27, while Bournemouth at home scores +17.
Chelsea’s fixtures also remain attractive over the longer period. Their Avg 10 is +12.6, with Sunderland, Leeds, Nottingham Forest and Crystal Palace all appearing before GW14.
Manchester United have good fixtures despite their Strength downgrade
One interesting consequence of the new ratings is Manchester United.
We’ve downgraded United’s Strength to 76 following their opening four matches, but their upcoming schedule is still attractive.
Their Avg 5 is +7.0, with Fulham, Tottenham, Leeds, Bournemouth and Chelsea next.
They also finish the ten-Gameweek period with Aston Villa, Liverpool, Brentford, Newcastle and Coventry.
Coventry at home in GW14 receives a +30 rating.
So while our assessment of United themselves has weakened, their fixtures remain potentially useful for FPL managers who believe particular United players can outperform the team’s early-season form.
Newcastle look better in the short term than the long term
Newcastle are a good example of why we’ve included three different averages in the FDR.
Their figures are:
Avg 3: +8.3
Avg 5: +5.6
Avg 10: -0.5
Hull, Coventry and Aston Villa make the immediate schedule attractive.
However, the longer period eventually brings Arsenal, Brighton and Manchester United.
Newcastle therefore look much more interesting as a short-term fixture play than as a team to target throughout GW5-GW14.
Leeds’ improved rating changes their FDR dramatically
Leeds are perhaps the clearest example of why updating the Strength ratings matters.
They were originally treated as one of the weaker Premier League sides based largely on last season. Four Gameweeks into 2026/27, that no longer looks appropriate.
Their new Strength rating of 77 means fixtures that previously looked relatively difficult now become much more manageable.
Leeds’ Avg 5 is +3.4 and their Avg 10 is +5.9.
The next five include Crystal Palace at home (+17), Sunderland away (+9) and Bournemouth away (+8), although Arsenal away is understandably difficult at -20.
Further ahead, Tottenham at home is rated +22 and Coventry at home +31.
For FPL managers, Leeds are no longer simply a team whose opponents should automatically receive a green fixture.

Everton begin a much tougher group
At the other end of our GW5-GW9 rankings, Everton have an Avg 5 of -5.8.
Ipswich at home is favourable, but that is followed by Hull away, Chelsea at home, Arsenal away and Newcastle away.
The Arsenal match receives a -26 rating.
Interestingly, Everton’s Avg 10 improves to +0.5, demonstrating again why managers should consider the period that best matches their transfer plans.
Sunderland face an immediate problem
Sunderland have one of the least attractive short-term schedules.
Their Avg 3 is -14.0 and Avg 5 is -7.0.
The biggest problem comes immediately: Manchester City away in GW5 scores -29.
Brighton, Bournemouth and Leeds follow before Coventry provide a much more attractive fixture in GW9.
The longer-term picture remains difficult, with Sunderland’s Avg 10 at -5.5.
Crystal Palace have a difficult five-Gameweek run
Palace have an Avg 5 of -8.0.
Their next five are Leeds away, Nottingham Forest at home, Brighton away, Newcastle at home and Tottenham away.
Brighton away is currently rated -18, while Leeds away is -17.
Things don’t improve dramatically afterwards, with Liverpool and Chelsea among their later opponents.
Palace’s Avg 10 of -7.5 therefore suggests this isn’t simply a short-term fixture problem.
Ipswich have improved – but the fixtures haven’t
Ipswich are another promoted side we’ve upgraded substantially, moving from 52 to a Strength rating of 65.
However, they still have a difficult immediate schedule.
Their Avg 5 is -8.2, including Everton away, Manchester City away and Hull away.
City away receives a -30 rating.
The longer-term picture is more encouraging. Tottenham, Aston Villa and Coventry appear between GW11 and GW13, helping their Avg 10 recover to -2.8.
Tottenham’s ten-Gameweek run stands out for the wrong reasons
Tottenham’s immediate Avg 3 of -4.0 isn’t disastrous.
Look further ahead, though, and the picture deteriorates considerably.
Their Avg 5 is -8.4, while their Avg 10 is -11.8.
Manchester United away (-21), Chelsea away (-27) and Leeds away (-22) all appear before the particularly difficult GW14 meeting with Arsenal.
That Arsenal fixture is rated -36, the reverse of Arsenal’s +36 rating for the same match.
Spurs therefore have one of the least attractive longer-term schedules in the entire FDR.
Coventry have the hardest fixture run
Coventry sit at the bottom of our five-Gameweek ranking with an Avg 5 of -15.4.
They also have an extraordinary Avg 10 of -19.0.
Their next ten are Nottingham Forest, Newcastle, Tottenham, Fulham, Sunderland, Everton, Crystal Palace, Leeds, Ipswich and Manchester United.
Although those club names might not initially appear to represent an exceptionally difficult run, Coventry’s Strength rating of only 48 changes the calculation dramatically.
Forest away is -22, Newcastle at home -18, Sunderland at home -16, Everton away -25, Leeds away -31 and Manchester United away -30.
It is another good illustration of why fixture difficulty cannot really be judged by the opponent alone.
Why use Avg 3, Avg 5 and Avg 10?
There isn’t one correct period over which to judge fixtures.
A manager considering a one- or two-week punt might care primarily about the Avg 3 column.
For normal FPL transfer planning, Avg 5 provides a useful medium-term view. That’s why we’ve used GW5-GW9 to rank the clubs in this article.
Meanwhile, Avg 10 can be particularly useful when considering goalkeepers, defenders or premium players you hope to keep for a substantial part of the season.
The ability to switch between these periods can reveal teams that have good immediate fixtures but a difficult longer-term schedule – or vice versa.
Don’t agree with the FISO ratings? Create your own
Our new default option is FISO ratings – after GW4.
But these ratings are our assessment rather than a statement of fact.
If you think Leeds should be higher than 77, change them.
If you think Manchester United’s 76 is too low, increase it.
If you believe Spurs will recover quickly and shouldn’t be rated only 57, adjust their Strength.
Select User custom and the planner will recalculate the fixture scores, colours and Avg 3, Avg 5 and Avg 10 figures according to your ratings.
You can also change the home-advantage setting and share your customised version.
That’s the main difference between the FISO planner and a conventional static FDR: you decide how strong the teams are.
FPL fixture planning from GW5
Using the FISO post-GW4 Strength ratings, Manchester City and Arsenal clearly have the outstanding five-Gameweek fixture runs.
Chelsea are also very well placed, while Manchester United, Newcastle and Hull sit towards the favourable end of the GW5-GW9 rankings.
At the other extreme, Coventry have comfortably the toughest schedule according to our model. Aston Villa, Bournemouth, Tottenham, Ipswich, Crystal Palace and Sunderland also face difficult five-Gameweek periods.
But the opening four Gameweeks have already shown how quickly perceptions can change.
We’ll therefore continue updating both the ten-Gameweek fixture window and the FISO Strength ratings as the 2026/27 season develops.
Use the FISO Fixture Difficulty Planner:
https://www.fiso.co.uk/games/fdr/
Join the FPL discussion on the FISO FPL Forum:
https://www.fiso.co.uk/forum/viewforum.php?f=18






