Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
- baganboy
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Altogether 6 top 10Ks. 8 top 20Ks. 9 top 50Ks. - FPL:
Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Season 17-18 in as below.
Season 18-19 starts from here.
Season 19-20 starts from here.
Season 20-21 starts from here.
------------------------------------------------
Somewhere around mid-last season, I fell out of love with FPL. I had previously dropped out of the Leicester year (14-15), but that was merely FPL burnout, coupled with some work-related pressures. I was very eager to join back last season, and was very ready, I thought, with all my stats and excel calculations and links to the right websites – I was chomping at the bits. And things fell in place initially – I took to the 4-defender strategy earlier than most, shot through the rankings, and then, at around the mid-season stage with my rank seemingly stagnant between the 1k-2.5K range for 4-5 weeks, and then a bit of a rolldown to 7-8K or so, I just realized, one day, that I have fallen out of love with the game. It’s tough to define, you know. I am INTJ, and we are they types who seem to know the answer often just by gut feel. And the answer was clear - I do not care about my rank, not about the HOF, and not about FPL. Perhaps this was exacerbated by a personal crisis I was (and to an extent, still am) going through, but I do not really think so. I have played the game for 10 years – FPL has been something I simply do, and such minor tough times are there in every-damn-body’s life - but this time was different.
So I dropped out. I stopped following the FPL scores, and only following the football. I would, once a month, say, drop in of a lazy Tuesday and tweak the team somewhat, but not because I bothered about what was going on. I stopped visiting FISO. I did not miss FPL a bit, really. It was like when I let go of a particularly lengthy (and very highly rated) book I was once reading, at about 70% complete. I just did not care about the characters, the story, or anything about the book anymore.
_____________________________
So, what brings me back? I don’t know really. Maybe just that this would be my 10th year of playing FPL. Maye it is FISO – I never really fell out of love with FISO – I am glad for this forum. Maybe it’s just that thing, you know, when you have a sneak peek at an ex-girlfriend’s Facebook profile once in a blue moon? Maybe something like that.
I do not care much about my rank this year, though I do hope that by the end of the season, I do actually start caring a little bit. I started off by deciding to not read any stats, not do too much planning, and just go by gut feel; but heck, I realize that it’s impossible to do – if your batting game is based on a sound defensive technique and playing through the V, you cannot suddenly decide to become a cross-bat heaver and reverse-sweeper. Or at least, you have to care a lot more about the game than I do, to make a sea change like that.
So I will plan. I will play the game I normally do. I will pore over stats ‘til it is bearable. I will do some reasonable thinking. I will read some forum inputs (I thought Jockki’s defender analysis and Ruth_NZ’s top-12 and Top-20K assessments were top notch). However, I do not think I have it in me to fret too much about decisions – I will just play.
And I will write my thoughts every week. For 38 weeks hopefully, but I do not think that would happen, I played a half of the last two seasons, a betting man would say I will drop out again. But hey, what the heck – it’s just a game.
Please feel free to come by and comment – on my team, on players, or about FPL in general.
_______________________
And here’s my team
Goalkeepers:
Foster / Elliot
Foster is one goalkeeper I do not care about. Over a season, he will have probably 30% less saves than Heaton, and will get as many (or less) clean sheets. I would rather have Heaton any day. And I will, whenever I have 0.5 M to spare. And I do know where that 0.5M will come from. My 7M forward will make way for the right 6.5M forward. This can take time, but that’s a good thing, because Gabbiadini and Foster both have solid initial fixtures.
Elliot I assume will be Newcastle’s first choice. They rotate well with Burnley (Heaton, remember), and will cover for the really bad fixtures.
Defenders
I have decided that since I can, I will play 2-5-3. I will play with Alonso. If PvA is doing what he is supposed to do, I will be happy to play 1-6-3 with both PvA and Alonso as well.
So, defenders, long term, would be
Alonso / Trippier / Southampton / Newcastle / Leicester
But Trippier is injured, and Leicester has horrible initial fixtures. Therefore it makes good sense to bring Trippier back once he is cleared. Who do you replace him with for GW1? I thought a bit, and decided on another Southampton defender – Semi-block it is! As in, why not. And you sane a 0.5M temporarily. Suppose Rooney / Sandro catches fire?
So, the GW1 defenders stand as
Alonso / Stephens / Cedric / Dummett / Mee
Midfielders
De Bruyne / Mane / Zaha / Herrera / Carroll
I think there has been enough gossip about selections 1, 2, 3, and 5. My justification behind Herrera is simply, Matic. Herrera will do the box-to-box, and Herrera will get goals and assists, while the opposition are trying to counter for Pogba. At least enough goals and assists to justify the 5.5M expenditure.
The other person I am looking at for this position is Jon Walters. If he gets penalties, he should be one above Herrera. But what about Gray?
Also, will the 0.5M ITB give me Ritchie, and is that worth it?
(Other 7M consideration sets, long term: Andre Ayew. Fabregas. Ramsey)
Forwards
Lukaku / Morata / Gabbiadini
I would rather have Chicharito, but in the short run, Gabbiadini I think is a better bet.
I plan to move Morata to Kane if there is no Wembley fatigue for the Spurs. Quickly. The two positions I see that would be compromised in such a case are either 1) Alonso ->4.5M (or) 2) Chicha/Gabbi -> 4.5 filler, however, I think downgrading one of Mane / KDB to Pedro (say) would be the best option.
But I will deal with it when I have to.
So there.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Season 18-19 starts from here.
Season 19-20 starts from here.
Season 20-21 starts from here.
------------------------------------------------
Somewhere around mid-last season, I fell out of love with FPL. I had previously dropped out of the Leicester year (14-15), but that was merely FPL burnout, coupled with some work-related pressures. I was very eager to join back last season, and was very ready, I thought, with all my stats and excel calculations and links to the right websites – I was chomping at the bits. And things fell in place initially – I took to the 4-defender strategy earlier than most, shot through the rankings, and then, at around the mid-season stage with my rank seemingly stagnant between the 1k-2.5K range for 4-5 weeks, and then a bit of a rolldown to 7-8K or so, I just realized, one day, that I have fallen out of love with the game. It’s tough to define, you know. I am INTJ, and we are they types who seem to know the answer often just by gut feel. And the answer was clear - I do not care about my rank, not about the HOF, and not about FPL. Perhaps this was exacerbated by a personal crisis I was (and to an extent, still am) going through, but I do not really think so. I have played the game for 10 years – FPL has been something I simply do, and such minor tough times are there in every-damn-body’s life - but this time was different.
So I dropped out. I stopped following the FPL scores, and only following the football. I would, once a month, say, drop in of a lazy Tuesday and tweak the team somewhat, but not because I bothered about what was going on. I stopped visiting FISO. I did not miss FPL a bit, really. It was like when I let go of a particularly lengthy (and very highly rated) book I was once reading, at about 70% complete. I just did not care about the characters, the story, or anything about the book anymore.
_____________________________
So, what brings me back? I don’t know really. Maybe just that this would be my 10th year of playing FPL. Maye it is FISO – I never really fell out of love with FISO – I am glad for this forum. Maybe it’s just that thing, you know, when you have a sneak peek at an ex-girlfriend’s Facebook profile once in a blue moon? Maybe something like that.
I do not care much about my rank this year, though I do hope that by the end of the season, I do actually start caring a little bit. I started off by deciding to not read any stats, not do too much planning, and just go by gut feel; but heck, I realize that it’s impossible to do – if your batting game is based on a sound defensive technique and playing through the V, you cannot suddenly decide to become a cross-bat heaver and reverse-sweeper. Or at least, you have to care a lot more about the game than I do, to make a sea change like that.
So I will plan. I will play the game I normally do. I will pore over stats ‘til it is bearable. I will do some reasonable thinking. I will read some forum inputs (I thought Jockki’s defender analysis and Ruth_NZ’s top-12 and Top-20K assessments were top notch). However, I do not think I have it in me to fret too much about decisions – I will just play.
And I will write my thoughts every week. For 38 weeks hopefully, but I do not think that would happen, I played a half of the last two seasons, a betting man would say I will drop out again. But hey, what the heck – it’s just a game.
Please feel free to come by and comment – on my team, on players, or about FPL in general.
_______________________
And here’s my team
Goalkeepers:
Foster / Elliot
Foster is one goalkeeper I do not care about. Over a season, he will have probably 30% less saves than Heaton, and will get as many (or less) clean sheets. I would rather have Heaton any day. And I will, whenever I have 0.5 M to spare. And I do know where that 0.5M will come from. My 7M forward will make way for the right 6.5M forward. This can take time, but that’s a good thing, because Gabbiadini and Foster both have solid initial fixtures.
Elliot I assume will be Newcastle’s first choice. They rotate well with Burnley (Heaton, remember), and will cover for the really bad fixtures.
Defenders
I have decided that since I can, I will play 2-5-3. I will play with Alonso. If PvA is doing what he is supposed to do, I will be happy to play 1-6-3 with both PvA and Alonso as well.
So, defenders, long term, would be
Alonso / Trippier / Southampton / Newcastle / Leicester
But Trippier is injured, and Leicester has horrible initial fixtures. Therefore it makes good sense to bring Trippier back once he is cleared. Who do you replace him with for GW1? I thought a bit, and decided on another Southampton defender – Semi-block it is! As in, why not. And you sane a 0.5M temporarily. Suppose Rooney / Sandro catches fire?
So, the GW1 defenders stand as
Alonso / Stephens / Cedric / Dummett / Mee
Midfielders
De Bruyne / Mane / Zaha / Herrera / Carroll
I think there has been enough gossip about selections 1, 2, 3, and 5. My justification behind Herrera is simply, Matic. Herrera will do the box-to-box, and Herrera will get goals and assists, while the opposition are trying to counter for Pogba. At least enough goals and assists to justify the 5.5M expenditure.
The other person I am looking at for this position is Jon Walters. If he gets penalties, he should be one above Herrera. But what about Gray?
Also, will the 0.5M ITB give me Ritchie, and is that worth it?
(Other 7M consideration sets, long term: Andre Ayew. Fabregas. Ramsey)
Forwards
Lukaku / Morata / Gabbiadini
I would rather have Chicharito, but in the short run, Gabbiadini I think is a better bet.
I plan to move Morata to Kane if there is no Wembley fatigue for the Spurs. Quickly. The two positions I see that would be compromised in such a case are either 1) Alonso ->4.5M (or) 2) Chicha/Gabbi -> 4.5 filler, however, I think downgrading one of Mane / KDB to Pedro (say) would be the best option.
But I will deal with it when I have to.
So there.
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Last edited by baganboy on 27 Aug 2020, 21:37, edited 5 times in total.
- Mr Clarinet
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Good luck, B-boy, nice that you're back. It's only a game...
- baganboy
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Thanks a lot, Mr C. Hope you've been well!
- Mav3rick
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
I'll be following you close BB, and hoping that you can keep your test average above 50 rather than succumb to the fireworks of the slog-sweep
Do you want any sort of feedback on your team or are you happy for this to be more of a social space?
Do you want any sort of feedback on your team or are you happy for this to be more of a social space?
- baganboy
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Thanks, Mav. It's always Alastair Cook and Cheteshwar Pujara over Joe Root and Virat Kohli for me.
And oh yes, would definitely want some opinions and inputs! Please do tell...
And oh yes, would definitely want some opinions and inputs! Please do tell...
- Mav3rick
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The stats are dark and full of errors.
Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
I can't argue with any of your reasoning, I would just make a couple of observations:
1) If you plan to have Trippier/PVA in eventually, then I'd probably pick Bertrand in that spot right now just to allocate the cash and give you an easy move.
2) Morata doesn't convince me at the moment, I'm not even certain he will start immediately?
But the really interesting one you've thrown up for me is Herrera. I saw you mention him in the STC, but I didn't really think he would get the gametime, however you may well be on to something here. Like you I'd picked out Walters (he's even in both my draft teams as 5th mid), his issue in regular FPL for me is the half of games that you don't want to play him in. Herrara neatly sidesteps the issue by not really having any unplayable games.
I see he started in the super cup tonight, but my worry with him is that he's the sacrifice, and tonight too he's off before the 60 minute mark for the battering ram Fellaini. Are you sure about him?
1) If you plan to have Trippier/PVA in eventually, then I'd probably pick Bertrand in that spot right now just to allocate the cash and give you an easy move.
2) Morata doesn't convince me at the moment, I'm not even certain he will start immediately?
But the really interesting one you've thrown up for me is Herrera. I saw you mention him in the STC, but I didn't really think he would get the gametime, however you may well be on to something here. Like you I'd picked out Walters (he's even in both my draft teams as 5th mid), his issue in regular FPL for me is the half of games that you don't want to play him in. Herrara neatly sidesteps the issue by not really having any unplayable games.
I see he started in the super cup tonight, but my worry with him is that he's the sacrifice, and tonight too he's off before the 60 minute mark for the battering ram Fellaini. Are you sure about him?
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Dont fall out of love with FPL BB. The most important factor is that you enjoy it. I have played for many years just against mini league competitors; the idea of winning overall was alien so why did I care if I was 2000 or 12000 (or 52000). But Im going to try for overall this year (Mini League should be unaffected). If the blog helps I look forward to reading it. Just because I think your opinions on Kane are nonsense ( ) doesn't mean I'm not looking forward to reading the rest of your thoughts.
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Lovely read, bb.
We will be there supporting you past January.
We will be there supporting you past January.
- baganboy
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Thanks a lot Mav3rick! I agree with the thought process, and Bertrand rather than Stephens, is a lot of logical sense.Mav3rick wrote: ↑08 Aug 2017, 21:23 I can't argue with any of your reasoning, I would just make a couple of observations:
1) If you plan to have Trippier/PVA in eventually, then I'd probably pick Bertrand in that spot right now just to allocate the cash and give you an easy move.
2) Morata doesn't convince me at the moment, I'm not even certain he will start immediately?
But the really interesting one you've thrown up for me is Herrera. I saw you mention him in the STC, but I didn't really think he would get the gametime, however you may well be on to something here. Like you I'd picked out Walters (he's even in both my draft teams as 5th mid), his issue in regular FPL for me is the half of games that you don't want to play him in. Herrara neatly sidesteps the issue by not really having any unplayable games.
I see he started in the super cup tonight, but my worry with him is that he's the sacrifice, and tonight too he's off before the 60 minute mark for the battering ram Fellaini. Are you sure about him?
Morata. Yes - I seem to have doubts now. Will make a change. Firmino is the obvious one. But I am thinking Tammy Abraham - after 1-2 weeks, the call over Abraham vs. Gabbiadini would be easier to take.
I am quite convinced with Herrera as of now, though Fellaini getting game time is indeed a risk. Especially because while Lukaku can be as effective as a goalscorer as Zlatan, he will never have the Target-Man / Ball-retention skills / first touch - Fellaini has those skills.
- baganboy
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Hehe, indeed. And sorry for lashing out the other day, BFM. Please do visit...Beerfuelledman wrote: ↑08 Aug 2017, 21:50 Dont fall out of love with FPL BB. The most important factor is that you enjoy it. I have played for many years just against mini league competitors; the idea of winning overall was alien so why did I care if I was 2000 or 12000 (or 52000). But Im going to try for overall this year (Mini League should be unaffected). If the blog helps I look forward to reading it. Just because I think your opinions on Kane are nonsense ( ) doesn't mean I'm not looking forward to reading the rest of your thoughts.
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Other than the nonsense about winning the overall game ( ) this is excellent response to your initial post Baganboy.Beerfuelledman wrote: ↑08 Aug 2017, 21:50 Dont fall out of love with FPL BB. The most important factor is that you enjoy it. I have played for many years just against mini league competitors; the idea of winning overall was alien so why did I care if I was 2000 or 12000 (or 52000). But Im going to try for overall this year (Mini League should be unaffected). If the blog helps I look forward to reading it. Just because I think your opinions on Kane are nonsense ( ) doesn't mean I'm not looking forward to reading the rest of your thoughts.
As for your team... MAWHAHAHAHAHA... (*scary laugh, if it wasn't clear) here comes a bit of whip!
As your 5AS Captain you make me worried! Some wild reasoning there...
Foster/Elliot - Elliot is an ok 2nd though could face rotation as well. Foster who is a decent GK has very very little defence ahead of him atm, many injured in WBA. He will return less than what you plan and over a 10 GWs period this could amount to the equivalent of 3-4 hits taken, points wise. [...though saying that, taking 3-4 hits by GW10 is what I would probably do... ]
Alonso/Stephens/Cedric/Dummett/Mee - Other than Dummett covering for Newcastle's few nice fixtures the rest are all iffy & icky. Alonso too expensive, midfielder or not. Stephens ... as exciting as extra homework. Cedric... what's wrong with Yoshida for now? Mee - got very lucky last season.
De Bruyne/Mane/Zaha/Herrera/Carroll - Other than Herrera all looks good. Herrera could be downgraded to Atsu which will give you the extra 0.5m or traded for JWP with decent point gathering potential.
Lukaku/Morata/Gabbiadini - Morata is your weak spot. If you must have a Chelsea striker go with Batshuayi, until Morata finds his feet, though he too will probably be a less effective VFM deal.
...and a last visit to what BFM said about Kane and your silly comment about Spurs new stadium... if you don't want Kane at any cost get Eriksen! or even Davies... you'll thank me later
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Pretty much with the above and:
WBA got 4 whole CS's in the last 35 GW's of last season*, and and a mighty 1 from 8 Preseason, as of a few days ago. *6 all season, and 2 in first 3.
Rafa is heavily linked with wanting a shiny new GK, with Elliott unlikely to be No1.
Soton 2: good luck with that one, The Fans Forums are not happy bunnies and having lost Fonte in January and the VvD debacle, it seems risky to me.
Mee: Im avoiding him as HEaton has to play well again for him to get the points? So why not get Heaton?
Alonso: I'm too lazy to chaeck, but my perception is that the CS's tailed off from a long way out last season, they have the CL, as opposed to no Euro matches, is he actually that good as an attacker? So a load of negatives, before the notion that Conte really wants to play 3-5-2, so maybe Willian\Pedro get match time as LWB\LM...
Dummett: I have Lejeune, but I doubt there will be much difference, subject to Rafa hitting the TM.
Herrera: a similar view was put forward re the Chelsea mids, but it descended into the wrong one etc.. Fellaini coming on when they need a goal, would be at his expense? That said there are a fair few at this price point that you can move to.
Lulu: I don;t sense the easy transition and barrage of goals, tbh. Also 2 Mu mids\attackers leaves you light in that good ole "Coverage" debate I've got Kane as getting him in is more difficult than selling him, and I don't think that Wembley is an issue re scoring goals, more so those soiled sheets, of which 12 were clean at home last season - a feat they would struggle to repeat at WHL?
Morata: as above Bats, if you want a Chelski Forward.
Gabb: as above re Soton, fixtures do not goals make - but at least you don't have Austin
WBA got 4 whole CS's in the last 35 GW's of last season*, and and a mighty 1 from 8 Preseason, as of a few days ago. *6 all season, and 2 in first 3.
Rafa is heavily linked with wanting a shiny new GK, with Elliott unlikely to be No1.
Soton 2: good luck with that one, The Fans Forums are not happy bunnies and having lost Fonte in January and the VvD debacle, it seems risky to me.
Mee: Im avoiding him as HEaton has to play well again for him to get the points? So why not get Heaton?
Alonso: I'm too lazy to chaeck, but my perception is that the CS's tailed off from a long way out last season, they have the CL, as opposed to no Euro matches, is he actually that good as an attacker? So a load of negatives, before the notion that Conte really wants to play 3-5-2, so maybe Willian\Pedro get match time as LWB\LM...
Dummett: I have Lejeune, but I doubt there will be much difference, subject to Rafa hitting the TM.
Herrera: a similar view was put forward re the Chelsea mids, but it descended into the wrong one etc.. Fellaini coming on when they need a goal, would be at his expense? That said there are a fair few at this price point that you can move to.
Lulu: I don;t sense the easy transition and barrage of goals, tbh. Also 2 Mu mids\attackers leaves you light in that good ole "Coverage" debate I've got Kane as getting him in is more difficult than selling him, and I don't think that Wembley is an issue re scoring goals, more so those soiled sheets, of which 12 were clean at home last season - a feat they would struggle to repeat at WHL?
Morata: as above Bats, if you want a Chelski Forward.
Gabb: as above re Soton, fixtures do not goals make - but at least you don't have Austin
- Ruth_NZ
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Keeping a journal is quite good fun and a useful discipline. Good idea and good luck with it. I will for sure be dropping in from time to time.
- baganboy
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Morata is the one I will agree with, Ironfist. But the replacement is who... we shall see. Michy does not fill me with confidence.
I do not mind getting in your favourite Eriksen. Basically, Morata - > Tammy. Caroll - > Eriksen / Alli is possible.
The defence I am keeping. Alonso is a placeholder for super-attacking defenders. It can very well be Alonso, but as well could be Milner or Kolasinac et al.
PS: I owe you a good 5AS performance this time, having left the team high and dry midway.
I do not mind getting in your favourite Eriksen. Basically, Morata - > Tammy. Caroll - > Eriksen / Alli is possible.
The defence I am keeping. Alonso is a placeholder for super-attacking defenders. It can very well be Alonso, but as well could be Milner or Kolasinac et al.
PS: I owe you a good 5AS performance this time, having left the team high and dry midway.
Ironfist wrote: ↑09 Aug 2017, 07:57Other than the nonsense about winning the overall game ( ) this is excellent response to your initial post Baganboy.Beerfuelledman wrote: ↑08 Aug 2017, 21:50 Dont fall out of love with FPL BB. The most important factor is that you enjoy it. I have played for many years just against mini league competitors; the idea of winning overall was alien so why did I care if I was 2000 or 12000 (or 52000). But Im going to try for overall this year (Mini League should be unaffected). If the blog helps I look forward to reading it. Just because I think your opinions on Kane are nonsense ( ) doesn't mean I'm not looking forward to reading the rest of your thoughts.
As for your team... MAWHAHAHAHAHA... (*scary laugh, if it wasn't clear) here comes a bit of whip!
As your 5AS Captain you make me worried! Some wild reasoning there...
Foster/Elliot - Elliot is an ok 2nd though could face rotation as well. Foster who is a decent GK has very very little defence ahead of him atm, many injured in WBA. He will return less than what you plan and over a 10 GWs period this could amount to the equivalent of 3-4 hits taken, points wise. [...though saying that, taking 3-4 hits by GW10 is what I would probably do... ]
Alonso/Stephens/Cedric/Dummett/Mee - Other than Dummett covering for Newcastle's few nice fixtures the rest are all iffy & icky. Alonso too expensive, midfielder or not. Stephens ... as exciting as extra homework. Cedric... what's wrong with Yoshida for now? Mee - got very lucky last season.
De Bruyne/Mane/Zaha/Herrera/Carroll - Other than Herrera all looks good. Herrera could be downgraded to Atsu which will give you the extra 0.5m or traded for JWP with decent point gathering potential.
Lukaku/Morata/Gabbiadini - Morata is your weak spot. If you must have a Chelsea striker go with Batshuayi, until Morata finds his feet, though he too will probably be a less effective VFM deal.
...and a last visit to what BFM said about Kane and your silly comment about Spurs new stadium... if you don't want Kane at any cost get Eriksen! or even Davies... you'll thank me later
- baganboy
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Agree, agree on Foster. Foster is basically a per-pressure pick. Never been a fan of him, Pulis, or WBA. I will bump him off for Heaton.
If Rafa's first choice is 4.5M, that is my pick. Remember, Pepe Reina had some obscene 3-4 consecutive most-clean-sheets during his time?
Soton - I like Pellegrino though.The man can coach. Not very diffferent from the other Maurice. And Theo Hernandez was sparkling during his time at Alaves, Cedric could well be too.
And I have sinister Kane plans ready at hand - no worries there.
If Rafa's first choice is 4.5M, that is my pick. Remember, Pepe Reina had some obscene 3-4 consecutive most-clean-sheets during his time?
Soton - I like Pellegrino though.The man can coach. Not very diffferent from the other Maurice. And Theo Hernandez was sparkling during his time at Alaves, Cedric could well be too.
And I have sinister Kane plans ready at hand - no worries there.
blahblah wrote: ↑09 Aug 2017, 09:47 Pretty much with the above and:
WBA got 4 whole CS's in the last 35 GW's of last season*, and and a mighty 1 from 8 Preseason, as of a few days ago. *6 all season, and 2 in first 3.
Rafa is heavily linked with wanting a shiny new GK, with Elliott unlikely to be No1.
Soton 2: good luck with that one, The Fans Forums are not happy bunnies and having lost Fonte in January and the VvD debacle, it seems risky to me.
Mee: Im avoiding him as HEaton has to play well again for him to get the points? So why not get Heaton?
Alonso: I'm too lazy to chaeck, but my perception is that the CS's tailed off from a long way out last season, they have the CL, as opposed to no Euro matches, is he actually that good as an attacker? So a load of negatives, before the notion that Conte really wants to play 3-5-2, so maybe Willian\Pedro get match time as LWB\LM...
Dummett: I have Lejeune, but I doubt there will be much difference, subject to Rafa hitting the TM.
Herrera: a similar view was put forward re the Chelsea mids, but it descended into the wrong one etc.. Fellaini coming on when they need a goal, would be at his expense? That said there are a fair few at this price point that you can move to.
Lulu: I don;t sense the easy transition and barrage of goals, tbh. Also 2 Mu mids\attackers leaves you light in that good ole "Coverage" debate I've got Kane as getting him in is more difficult than selling him, and I don't think that Wembley is an issue re scoring goals, more so those soiled sheets, of which 12 were clean at home last season - a feat they would struggle to repeat at WHL?
Morata: as above Bats, if you want a Chelski Forward.
Gabb: as above re Soton, fixtures do not goals make - but at least you don't have Austin
- baganboy
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Please do.
Loved your recent analysis. will build up on top of it today. I have a couple hours to burn today after office (wife and baby are out of town), will do some pile -on stats.
- Mr Clarinet
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Hi B-boy,
62 points, OR~1.5m, I'd imagine you could be a little disappointed with that. But on the other hand, if Kane had scored 26 and Lukaku 1, you'd've been a lot worse off on both counts! And 62x38=2356 which will probably be a pretty decent final points tally. Everything needs recalibrating now there's 4m players from GW1; I think there was barely 1m when we first started.
We only have 5 players in common (Foster, Cedric, KDB, Mee & Carroll), and the latter 2 were on my bench, so only 3 starters in common. GW1 is pretty much a lottery so I try to set up a squad of 15 who will make decent starting XIs for both GW1 & GW2 without the need for a transfer (given luck with injuries, which you didn't have). Unfortunately, now that it's prudent to defend against price falls during the early part of the season, even a half-decent GW1 performance doesn't mean it's easy to roll that first transfer.
Each season, my own first target is to win my mini-league. Since this is a league that imposes restrictions on player selection, it's very hard to compete there and also get a good OR. Usually I hope for top 1% OR, but this season I think top 2% is more realistic, and assuming 5m+ players by the end that means anywhere in the top 100,000 will be ok for me. As long as I win the mini-league.
Good luck!
Mr C
PS Let me know any good books you read / movies you see - you know my taste! I want to read Sam Peters' "From Darkest Skies" but (so far) I'm waiting for the paperback edition to come out.
62 points, OR~1.5m, I'd imagine you could be a little disappointed with that. But on the other hand, if Kane had scored 26 and Lukaku 1, you'd've been a lot worse off on both counts! And 62x38=2356 which will probably be a pretty decent final points tally. Everything needs recalibrating now there's 4m players from GW1; I think there was barely 1m when we first started.
We only have 5 players in common (Foster, Cedric, KDB, Mee & Carroll), and the latter 2 were on my bench, so only 3 starters in common. GW1 is pretty much a lottery so I try to set up a squad of 15 who will make decent starting XIs for both GW1 & GW2 without the need for a transfer (given luck with injuries, which you didn't have). Unfortunately, now that it's prudent to defend against price falls during the early part of the season, even a half-decent GW1 performance doesn't mean it's easy to roll that first transfer.
Each season, my own first target is to win my mini-league. Since this is a league that imposes restrictions on player selection, it's very hard to compete there and also get a good OR. Usually I hope for top 1% OR, but this season I think top 2% is more realistic, and assuming 5m+ players by the end that means anywhere in the top 100,000 will be ok for me. As long as I win the mini-league.
Good luck!
Mr C
PS Let me know any good books you read / movies you see - you know my taste! I want to read Sam Peters' "From Darkest Skies" but (so far) I'm waiting for the paperback edition to come out.
- baganboy
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Delightful note, Mr. C. Thanks a lot. I think I can live with the points, IAMNAS. Yes, I am a lot more zen this year
Have you read the 'Criminal' Comics? Do read them if you can. Very, very well written, and drawn. and very noir. I thin you will like them... I did. I will go chase Sam Peters now. Thanks for the recommendation.
Have you read the 'Criminal' Comics? Do read them if you can. Very, very well written, and drawn. and very noir. I thin you will like them... I did. I will go chase Sam Peters now. Thanks for the recommendation.
- baganboy
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
GameWeek 1 Observations:
So I did rather poorly in GW1. Not quite devastatingly poor, but certainly a below-par score.
There's no reason for handwringing and despair for 62 points, but there perhaps is for the team i had.
Three duds, at one go.
1. Herrera - I had taken the educated guess (and to an extent still haven't completely disembarked from that train) that Herrera would be Jose's Lampard v2.0. But well, that's a dud. Thankfully, he was not brought on at all, so I could get 3 points from Carroll coming in to play.
2. Zaha - Oh.
3. Dummett - tch.
Now, let's look at the rest of the team. I will tell you of two underperformers in my team that I am not worried about. 1. Jesus; 2. KDB. I thought they were the two best players for City, and I felt Jesus is instinctively suited to Guardiola's system the way Agureo is not.
Mane played well. The two Southampton defenders worked.
Lukaku was great.
And I thought Gabbiadini is certainly good enough for a couple of GWs more.
But. Andre Gray. A Niasse type player, but much better, much faster, much smoother. Best match for a Marco Silva team - Will be essential in a little while, is my prediction.
So I will have to have a major surgery: I will be fearless this season, but not reckless - as I mentioned.
Therefore - 3 subs:
1. Zaha -> Ramsey
2. Alonso -> Jones
3. Herrera -> Ritchie
1.5 ITB
Suggestions welcome - but this is happening mostly -> cheers.
Andre Grey will happen soon. TAA would happen soon. maybe even Harry Kane?
Shall see.
So I did rather poorly in GW1. Not quite devastatingly poor, but certainly a below-par score.
There's no reason for handwringing and despair for 62 points, but there perhaps is for the team i had.
Three duds, at one go.
1. Herrera - I had taken the educated guess (and to an extent still haven't completely disembarked from that train) that Herrera would be Jose's Lampard v2.0. But well, that's a dud. Thankfully, he was not brought on at all, so I could get 3 points from Carroll coming in to play.
2. Zaha - Oh.
3. Dummett - tch.
Now, let's look at the rest of the team. I will tell you of two underperformers in my team that I am not worried about. 1. Jesus; 2. KDB. I thought they were the two best players for City, and I felt Jesus is instinctively suited to Guardiola's system the way Agureo is not.
Mane played well. The two Southampton defenders worked.
Lukaku was great.
And I thought Gabbiadini is certainly good enough for a couple of GWs more.
But. Andre Gray. A Niasse type player, but much better, much faster, much smoother. Best match for a Marco Silva team - Will be essential in a little while, is my prediction.
So I will have to have a major surgery: I will be fearless this season, but not reckless - as I mentioned.
Therefore - 3 subs:
1. Zaha -> Ramsey
2. Alonso -> Jones
3. Herrera -> Ritchie
1.5 ITB
Suggestions welcome - but this is happening mostly -> cheers.
Andre Grey will happen soon. TAA would happen soon. maybe even Harry Kane?
Shall see.
- blahblah
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
You're taking an 8pt hit?
- Joccki_10
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Are you sure about the third one mate? Is Herrera anywhere near dropping in price?
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
The first one I get but the second and third seem a bit kneejerky to me. You could play
Foster
Stephens Cedric Alonso Mee
Mane KDB Ramsey
Lukaku Gabbiadini Jesus
Herrera Carroll on the bench
Alonso could have scored a couple v Burnley. Whilst Spurs kept a clean sheet, I'm not sure how solid they are as they weren't really tested v Newcastle.
Foster
Stephens Cedric Alonso Mee
Mane KDB Ramsey
Lukaku Gabbiadini Jesus
Herrera Carroll on the bench
Alonso could have scored a couple v Burnley. Whilst Spurs kept a clean sheet, I'm not sure how solid they are as they weren't really tested v Newcastle.
- baganboy
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- baganboy
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- baganboy
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Yes of course - but I do not think I would like to carry more than 1 non-player at any point. Rather early hits than late ones.Mo Bot wrote: ↑17 Aug 2017, 10:45 The first one I get but the second and third seem a bit kneejerky to me. You could play
Foster
Stephens Cedric Alonso Mee
Mane KDB Ramsey
Lukaku Gabbiadini Jesus
Herrera Carroll on the bench
Alonso could have scored a couple v Burnley. Whilst Spurs kept a clean sheet, I'm not sure how solid they are as they weren't really tested v Newcastle.
- baganboy
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Aaaand did it.
If 10 hit is the maximum, I am on +8 now.
If 10 hit is the maximum, I am on +8 now.
- Joccki_10
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Yeah well, I won't disagree. But when taking a 8-point hit don't you feel like you want to get the max out of it? Using all the cash you have...
- baganboy
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
WC? Naah, too early.
- blahblah
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