The xG for a penalty is........0.76.Aldershot Rejects wrote: ↑09 Nov 2018, 13:191 goal away all season. His xG away from home this season is 0.76 and that came from the game he scored in (it was a penalty, I'm not sure what the xG is for a penalty)
Since the start of last season, Brighton scored about 14 goals in 25 away games (although their strikerate has improved somewhat this season).
Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Indeed, but the alcohol intake since has damaged my judgment for weeks to come
Well, you are all starting to put me off Murray. Those next three fixtures, though...
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Don't. Don't. Play your own game.
At least if the move fails you would not feel so bad - because it was your move....
At least if the move fails you would not feel so bad - because it was your move....
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
And indeed there will be time to wonder. 'Do I dare?' and 'Do I dare?'
The current team is below. Wildcard is happening in GW15.
Fabianski Patricio
Mendy Doherty Alonso Laporte Robertson
Hazard Diangana Mane Camarasa Gunnarson
Lacazette Aguero Arnautovic
I will let go of Mendy. And get in .... who?
I plan to get Jonny in. And have the full block. 3X WOL in defence.
Something that will generally be accompanied with a gratuitous "genius/madness?" by twitter punks (it's neither. It's an option, that's all. A high-risk, high reward option)
Do I dare?
What do you suggest? And can you also recommend the GW14 free transfer? I am generally considering Mane out for Sterling. Do tell, please....
The current team is below. Wildcard is happening in GW15.
Fabianski Patricio
Mendy Doherty Alonso Laporte Robertson
Hazard Diangana Mane Camarasa Gunnarson
Lacazette Aguero Arnautovic
I will let go of Mendy. And get in .... who?
I plan to get Jonny in. And have the full block. 3X WOL in defence.
Something that will generally be accompanied with a gratuitous "genius/madness?" by twitter punks (it's neither. It's an option, that's all. A high-risk, high reward option)
Do I dare?
What do you suggest? And can you also recommend the GW14 free transfer? I am generally considering Mane out for Sterling. Do tell, please....
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Depends on whether you want to release budget to the rest of the team for a future midfield upgrade, in which case Digne looks like he might be an option. Some set pieces, good delivery, improving team defensive performances, good fixture run, gets high up the pitch. Duffy / Dunk safer options.
Otherwise, hold for Trippier's flag getting resolved?
Otherwise, hold for Trippier's flag getting resolved?
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
No problem with the Wolves triple up for a couple of weeks given their fixtures. If you trust them enough to double-up the treble-up has some logic to it.
I think Sterling is a great long-term pick but on a one-week choice I would worry about rotation. You could go with whichever City midfielder is benched this week! Two alternatives would be Martial or a Morata one-week punt v Fulham.
Question - given your current side do you really need to wildcard in week 15?
I think Sterling is a great long-term pick but on a one-week choice I would worry about rotation. You could go with whichever City midfielder is benched this week! Two alternatives would be Martial or a Morata one-week punt v Fulham.
Question - given your current side do you really need to wildcard in week 15?
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Seems a pretty overblown description to me. If you are wildcarding in 2 weeks anyway it's a purely short-term decision and Wolves have 2 very good fixtures. It's a quite middle-of the road choice.baganboy wrote:I plan to get Jonny in. And have the full block. 3X WOL in defence.
Something that will generally be accompanied with a gratuitous "genius/madness?" by twitter punks. (It's neither. It's an option, that's all. A high-risk, high reward option). What do you suggest?
Chilwell and Shaw are alternatives to consider. I'd probably take Shaw myself but there's little in it.
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Not much at present. I would Wildcard at GW15. So 13 and 14 are free hits- per se. Only points. I do not mind the team getting lop-sided right now.danjones wrote: ↑16 Nov 2018, 09:41 Depends on whether you want to release budget to the rest of the team for a future midfield upgrade, in which case Digne looks like he might be an option. Some set pieces, good delivery, improving team defensive performances, good fixture run, gets high up the pitch. Duffy / Dunk safer options.
Otherwise, hold for Trippier's flag getting resolved?
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
1 week punt GW14, Zaha [if fit] home to Burnley
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Thanks. Still considering, but am getting convinced.Aldershot Rejects wrote: ↑16 Nov 2018, 10:23 No problem with the Wolves triple up for a couple of weeks given their fixtures. If you trust them enough to double-up the treble-up has some logic to it.
Very good point about Sterling. In fact, I like the option of choosing the lesser-used City mid in the previous week. Martial is a good choice, true. Morata is someone I can only get in for 1 week, because after WC, that will come back to Lacazette.Aldershot Rejects wrote: ↑16 Nov 2018, 10:23 I think Sterling is a great long-term pick but on a one-week choice I would worry about rotation. You could go with whichever City midfielder is benched this week! Two alternatives would be Martial or a Morata one-week punt v Fulham.
Not especially, you are right. I could very well live without doing a wildcard, and honestly I would too, if not for the fixture swing.Aldershot Rejects wrote: ↑16 Nov 2018, 10:23 Question - given your current side do you really need to wildcard in week 15?
I do consider Aguero -> Kane to be a reasonable option for a few weeks, and a move for Trippier in GW 15, as also mentioned by Danjones above. I want Laca for GW16 onwards,and would not mind him in the team int he earlier GWs either.
so I am considering an Aguero+Mane (out) and Kane+ANother mid in for a few weeks after my Wildcard. This can be Ozil/Alli/Eriksen or even the safety-first move to Mahrez. Just a simple double move - just to take use of the Wildcard and fixture swing. Trippier is for the keep long term.
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Of course it is. If you haven't noticed, this comment was basically to point-and-laugh at the description, and general twitterness.
Chilwell is a very good suggestion, thanks. Has served me well in the draft game - will consider him.
Shaw - but isn't he suspended for GW13?
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
It's a high volatility choice as it pretty much depends on a single outcome (Wolves CSs) for it's success but Ruth is right to say it is a short-term punt if you are wildcarding in GW15 anyway. PRuth_NZ wrote: ↑16 Nov 2018, 11:10Seems a pretty overblown description to me. If you are wildcarding in 2 weeks anyway it's a purely short-term decision and Wolves have 2 very good fixtures. It's a quite middle-of the road choice.baganboy wrote:I plan to get Jonny in. And have the full block. 3X WOL in defence.
Something that will generally be accompanied with a gratuitous "genius/madness?" by twitter punks. (It's neither. It's an option, that's all. A high-risk, high reward option). What do you suggest?
Chilwell and Shaw are alternatives to consider. I'd probably take Shaw myself but there's little in it.
I also like Shaw and will be bringing him in on my GW16 wildcard.
I am curious as to why you have chosen GW15 over GW16 as your wildcard week. GW15 was also my original choice until I realised it was only really Spurs that started their good fixture run then and most of my current squad still had good fixtures in GW15. It was GW16 when my squad actually turned back in to a pumpkin . A Wolves defensive triple-up against Chelsea is probably your reason if this was pre-planned.
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Yeah, pretty much that. TOT fixtures turn in 15, ARS in 16, and the only ARS player I want, Lacazette, I have anyway. WOL GW15 was my trigger.
Basically, I haven't planned my Wildcard. My team is good, I am happy with it. Even the bench. The only time when I can use my Wildcard and actually get some benefit out of it, is around the 15-16 point. Otherwise I will have let go of it.
I like that Shaw is very attacking, but I am of the 4-5 defenders school, and like a bit of defensive stability in my defenders too. MUN is doing very poorly on the stats. Barely mid-table. If mourinho gets them even slightly better defensively (and a simiar point for Emery and Bellerin) I will get them in. as of now, my target for that 4th defence spot (5th being Doherty) is Trippier. With the gradual worsening of Dembele, and underwhelmingness of Winks - pretty much the only ball progressor (except for Eriksen who often plays higher up) for Spurs is Trippier - and he is very good at it.
Basically, I haven't planned my Wildcard. My team is good, I am happy with it. Even the bench. The only time when I can use my Wildcard and actually get some benefit out of it, is around the 15-16 point. Otherwise I will have let go of it.
I like that Shaw is very attacking, but I am of the 4-5 defenders school, and like a bit of defensive stability in my defenders too. MUN is doing very poorly on the stats. Barely mid-table. If mourinho gets them even slightly better defensively (and a simiar point for Emery and Bellerin) I will get them in. as of now, my target for that 4th defence spot (5th being Doherty) is Trippier. With the gradual worsening of Dembele, and underwhelmingness of Winks - pretty much the only ball progressor (except for Eriksen who often plays higher up) for Spurs is Trippier - and he is very good at it.
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Yep. As a Spurs fan I'm struggling to find decent candidates for their good run. I already own Trippier and he is the obvious choice. Lamela is the next best but sadly it's only a matter of time before he breaks down again. Foyth could be good if he establishes his place but at 5.0m he's no bargain and there are great defensive options this season anyway. KWP would be a brilliant FPL pick but he's not going to get the game time. Eriksen has been ruined by Trippier stealing most of his set pieces. Ali is playing too deep and is too expensive. Ditto Kane. Moura and Son are rotation problems and Winks and Sissoko are assist the assister type players. Lloris is a great shot-stopper but Spurs always look like they will concede at least once per match and he is terrible at saving penalties.baganboy wrote: ↑16 Nov 2018, 15:36 Yeah, pretty much that. TOT fixtures turn in 15, ARS in 16, and the only ARS player I want, Lacazette, I have anyway. WOL GW15 was my trigger.
Basically, I haven't planned my Wildcard. My team is good, I am happy with it. Even the bench. The only time when I can use my Wildcard and actually get some benefit out of it, is around the 15-16 point. Otherwise I will have let go of it.
I like that Shaw is very attacking, but I am of the 4-5 defenders school, and like a bit of defensive stability in my defenders too. MUN is doing very poorly on the stats. Barely mid-table. If mourinho gets them even slightly better defensively (and a simiar point for Emery and Bellerin) I will get them in. as of now, my target for that 4th defence spot (5th being Doherty) is Trippier. With the gradual worsening of Dembele, and underwhelmingness of Winks - pretty much the only ball progressor (except for Eriksen who often plays higher up) for Spurs is Trippier - and he is very good at it.
I've been playing a flexible 3-5-2/4-4-2 system all season with a dead spot (Kamara) at F3 and if anything I think I might go even heavier on defence on my wildcard. Traditionally the winter months see a general drop in goals per game so I'm thinking of upgrading AWB (who I've had since GW1 and still think is a great pick) to someone like Stones. The great thing about Defs and rotation is you can play as many as you want and they rarely do cameo appearances. They either play or they don't and if you have 5 good ones you can absorb a bit of rotation even with only 2 playing subs.
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
I'm not totally sure I buy the second half of this. If you are happy with your team, don't mess with it.
It may be that by GW18/19 a couple of Spurs/Arsenal attacking (or defensive) players have made a good case for being included (Alli?, Eriksen? Kane? Bellerin? Monreal?, impossible to tell at the moment). Similarly Man U start a great fun of fixtures in GW18 - or you could have been hit by a couple of injuries and need to do some restructuring or just make sure you have a full squad to cover Christmas.
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
There seems a big emphasis on the GW15 /16 fixture swing ? how big is it in reality, Possibly 2 from spurs, 1 from arsenal .
Plus how bad are Liverpool fixtures ? if this is the way into Spurs/ Arsenal
Just saying
Plus how bad are Liverpool fixtures ? if this is the way into Spurs/ Arsenal
Just saying
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
IMHO it's quite big. Possibly not so much in the number of players that you will need to bring in but rather in the amount of restructuring of the team you will need to do to do so. It's also near enough to the Xmas fixture congestion to kill two birds with one stone.
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
[/quote]
IMHO it's quite big. Possibly not so much in the number of players that you will need to bring in but rather in the amount of restructuring of the team you will need to do to do so. It's also near enough to the Xmas fixture congestion to kill two birds with one stone.
[/quote]
Agreed Xmas Fixture Congestion is the real problem we need to get right
IMHO it's quite big. Possibly not so much in the number of players that you will need to bring in but rather in the amount of restructuring of the team you will need to do to do so. It's also near enough to the Xmas fixture congestion to kill two birds with one stone.
[/quote]
Agreed Xmas Fixture Congestion is the real problem we need to get right
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Agree with this. Though I doubt if I will be able to resist.Aldershot Rejects wrote: ↑16 Nov 2018, 17:22I'm not totally sure I buy the second half of this. If you are happy with your team, don't mess with it.
It may be that by GW18/19 a couple of Spurs/Arsenal attacking (or defensive) players have made a good case for being included (Alli?, Eriksen? Kane? Bellerin? Monreal?, impossible to tell at the moment). Similarly Man U start a great fun of fixtures in GW18 - or you could have been hit by a couple of injuries and need to do some restructuring or just make sure you have a full squad to cover Christmas.
I have very litte need out of the WC. I am just intent on making 3 transfers instead of 1 for a GW. Kane, Trippier, A.N.other.
And I intend to flip Kane +other back to the standard Aguero+Mane (or alternative) soon after the Christmas congestion.
I am normally terrified of the WC. I have played the game for long enough to have messed up perfectly reasonable teams through wildcard. It's the petard one can easily hoist oneself up with.
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
ugh.
Thanks, AR.
back to the drawing board for me.
Thanks, AR.
back to the drawing board for me.
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Boly, of course, is the other option. Not much to choose between him and Jonny anyway.
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
True. Though a fear is that the defence gets weaker on the whole with Jonny injured, aa well.
PS he must be really highly rated to be playing for the Spanish national team...
PS he must be really highly rated to be playing for the Spanish national team...
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
Doherty and Jonny are not really defenders, they are just categorised as such in FPL. The CMs (especially Neves) have a more defensive role than they do. Vinagre for Jonny won't affect them too much in defensive areas and may improve them overall. Vinagre at 4.3m could be a snip actually, especially if you only want him for a couple of weeks.baganboy wrote: True. Though a fear is that the defence gets weaker on the whole with Jonny injured...
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
^ Yes, that's true.
I am having a re-think about the WC. Point fingers at Aldershot Rejects he put the seeds of doubt in my mind. Which is a great thing - thanks AR>
I am having a re-think about the WC. Point fingers at Aldershot Rejects he put the seeds of doubt in my mind. Which is a great thing - thanks AR>
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
So, a little bored with FPL already. Too many close decisions not going my way. This is not a complaint about poor ol' me really - I know that if I stick on, the luck generally would even out by end of season - if I am completely honest.
The sticking on is a bit of a problem.
It's easy to motivate one's self if one is at 10K. It's not too tough to motivate one's self if one is at 500K. 100K is the worst. I know that if I keep my head down and play seriously, I would make 10k or thereabouts by end of season. But getting around 10k is not much motivation - I get there most years anyway.
So we would see, okay? I might just play the WC for the kicks next GW - though I was really planning to have it after GW19.
We shall see.
The sticking on is a bit of a problem.
It's easy to motivate one's self if one is at 10K. It's not too tough to motivate one's self if one is at 500K. 100K is the worst. I know that if I keep my head down and play seriously, I would make 10k or thereabouts by end of season. But getting around 10k is not much motivation - I get there most years anyway.
So we would see, okay? I might just play the WC for the kicks next GW - though I was really planning to have it after GW19.
We shall see.
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Re: Baganboy’s 38-week FPL journal
The motivation thing seems generally to be lacking a bit this season as compared to last
The annoying adverts blocking large usable parts of the screen contribute
That said, I’d still switch rankings!
The annoying adverts blocking large usable parts of the screen contribute
That said, I’d still switch rankings!
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