2015 Rugby World Cup predictor * scopsm triumphs *

[kingcurtley]

NZ v SA - NZ S
Aus v Arg - AUS S

Thanks!

[The Bear]

NZ v SA - NZ S
Aust v Arg - Arg T

[Moist von Lipwig]

NZ v SA - NZ L
Aus v Arg - ARG M

[Big Bird]

NZ v SA - NZ T
Aus v Arg - Aus M

[Mick MacPaddywack]

NZ v SA - NZ M
AUS v ARG - AUS M

Thanks, SamD

[Spencer4]

NZ v SA - NZ S
Aus v Arg - ARG T

[owenclass]

NZ v SA - NZ S
Aus v Arg - AUS S

[SamD]

NZ v SA - NZ X
Aus v Arg - AUS X

Half the 22 semi-final forecasts are in. Deadline is 3pm BST today, Sat.

[topspur]

NZ M
Aus T

[ralphypne]

SA S
AUS T

[Ashers]

NZ v SA - NZ M
Aus v Arg - ARG S

[Surprised]

NZ v SA - NZ M
Aus v Arg - AUS M

[blahblah]

NZ v SA - NZ M
Aus v Arg - ARG T

[SamD]

Semi-final forecasts
Six FISOns miss Sat match while Springboks have just one backer.

Code: Select all

   Rank             Brought-Fwd   NZ-SA  Au-Ar   1st 2nd 3rd Tries Tot
   QF               Mgn Res Pts    Sat    Sun                      Pts
   -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  - 
   01 kingcurtley     1  3  12    NZ S   Au S     Au  NZ  Ir   36   12
   02 Maldini            4  12    NZ M   Au S     NZ  Au  SA   28   12
   02 ralphypne          4  12    SA S   Au T     Au  SA  NZ   24   12
   04 scopsm             4  12    NZ M   Au M     NZ  Au  SA   34   12
   05 Spencer4        1  3  11    NZ S   Ar T     NZ  Ir  SA   29   11
   05 trampie         1  3  11       -            Au  NZ  SA   26   11
   07 The Bear           3  11    NZ S   Ar T     Au  NZ  Ar   32   11
   
   08 nevblake        1  3  10       -            NZ  Au  SA   28   10
   09 Shafty1         1  2  10       -            NZ  Ir  Au   23   10
   10 Mick McP'wck       3  10    NZ M   Au M     NZ  Au  SA   30   10
   11 SamD               3  10    NZ X   Au X     NZ  Au  SA   28   10
   12 Sport Billy        3  10       -            Au  NZ  Ir   29   10
   12 Surprised          3  10    NZ M   Au M     NZ  Au  SA   28   10
   14 kcjonze            3  10    NZ M   Ar S     Au  NZ  Ar   22   10
   
   15 Moist v Lipwig     3   9    NZ L   Ar M     NZ  Au  SA   31    9
   15 topspur            3   9    NZ M   Au T     NZ  Au  SA   27    9
   15 Ashers             3   9    NZ M   Ar S     Au  NZ  SA   34    9
   15 Big Bird           3   9    NZ T   Au M     NZ  Au  SA   28    9
   19 Horton 'mouse      3   9       -            Au  NZ  SA   33    9
   20 owenclass          3   8    NZ S   Au S     Au  NZ  SA   20    8
   21 blahblah           2   8    NZ M   Ar T     Fr  Au  Ar   32    8
   21 Doogal             2   8       -            NZ  Au  Wa   23    8

[SamD]

League summary after first semi-final

• Sat: NZ 20-18 SA

Code: Select all

                    NZ-SA   Au-Ar  Tot
                    NZ T    Sun    Pts
   -  -  -  -  -   -  -  -  -  -  -  -
   01 kingcurtley   NZ S 4  Au S    16
   02 Maldini       NZ M 3  Au S    15
      scopsm        NZ M 3  Au M    15
      Spencer4      NZ S 4  Ar T    15
      The Bear      NZ S 4  Ar T    15

   06 ralphypne     SA S 2  Au T    14
      Big Bird      NZ T 5  Au M    14
   08 Mick McP'wack NZ M 3  Au M    13
      Surprised     NZ M 3  Au M    13
      kcjonze       NZ M 3  Ar S    13

   11 SamD          NZ X 2  Au X    12
      topspur       NZ M 3  Au T    12
      Ashers        NZ M 3  Ar S    12
      owenclass     NZ S 4  Au S    12

   15 trampie          -            11
      Moist vLipwig NZ L 2  Ar M    11
      blahblah      NZ M 3  Ar T    11

   18 nevblake         -            10
      Shafty1          -            10
      Sport Billy      -            10
   21 Horton 'mouse    -             9
   22 Doogal           -             8

Full standings will be published after

• Sun 4pm GMT: Aus vs Arg

[nevblake]

bigger, forgot about this yesterday

Aus v Arg - AUS L

[SamD]

Semi-final update

Code: Select all

           Results    Tries
   Sat   NZ 20-18 SA    2
   Sun  Aus 29-15 Arg   4 
                       32 total    

With 21, kingcurtley is a point clear of Maldini while scopsm is next on 19.
Though kc may rue choice of Ireland to finish third, his total-tries f/c looks good.
Big Bird, up 11, and ralphyne, also with 18, complete the lead quintet.
But any in top half of table - covered by just five points - could yet take the prize.

Code: Select all

                    <Semi-Finals>  < Predictions >
 Posn               NZ-SA  Au-Ar   1st 2nd 3rd Try Correct  QF  Tot
SF QF               NZ T   Au S                 32 Mgn Res  Pts Pts
-  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -
01 01 kingcurtley   NZ S 4 Au S 5  Au  NZ  Ir   36  2   5   12   21
02 02 Maldini       NZ M 3 Au S 5  NZ  Au  SA   28  1   6   12   20
03 04 scopsm        NZ M 3 Au M 4  NZ  Au  SA   34      6   12   19
04 15 Big Bird      NZ T 5 Au M 4  NZ  Au  SA   28  1   5    9   18
05 02 ralphypne     SA S 2 Au T 4  Au  SA  NZ   24      5   12   18
06 20 owenclass     NZ S 4 Au S 5  Au  NZ  SA   20  1   5    8   17
07 05 Spencer4      NZ S 4 Ar T 2  NZ  Ir  SA   29  1   4   11   17
08 10 Mick McP'wack NZ M 3 Au M 4  NZ  Au  SA   30      5   10   17
09 12 Surprised     NZ M 3 Au M 4  NZ  Au  SA   28      5   10   17
10 07 The Bear      NZ S 4 Ar T 2  Au  NZ  Ar   32      4   11   17
11 15 topspur       NZ M 3 Au T 4  NZ  Au  SA   27      5    9   16

12 11 SamD          NZ X 2 Au X 2  NZ  Au  SA   28      5   10   14
13 14 kcjonze       NZ M 3 Ar S 1  Au  NZ  Ar   22      4   10   14
14 08 nevblake             Au L 3  NZ  Au  SA   28  1   4   10   13
15 15 Ashers        NZ M 3 Ar S 1  Au  NZ  SA   34      4    9   13
16 21 blahblah      NZ M 3 Ar T 2  Fr  Au  Ar   32      3    8   13
17 05 trampie                      Au  NZ  SA   26  1   3   11   11
18 15 Moist vLipwig NZ L 2 Ar M 0  NZ  Au  SA   31      4    9   11
19 09 Shafty1                      NZ  Ir  Au   23  1   2   10   10
20 12 Sport Billy                  Au  NZ  Ir   29      3   10   10
21 19 Horton M'mouse               Au  NZ  SA   33      3    9    9
22 21 Doogal                       NZ  Au  Wa   23      2    8    8

As you consider tactics for last two forecasts, here's a reminder of the SCORING

1. Five points are available for each QF, SF and 3rd place match:
- so, earn 5 points for exact result and margin
- lose a point for each margin-range variance
- lose further point for incorrect result
- minimum points per forecast = zero.
For example, if you predict 'SA M', you'll gain:
- full five points if South Africa win by 15 to 21 points
- three points if Ind win by Extra-Large or Tiny margin
- one point if Wales win by Tiny margin; etc
Minimum score for predicting match winner is two.
Points are DOUBLED for WC Final match, ie 10, 8, 6, 4, 2, 0.

2. Earn five points for correctly predicting overall champions.
And another five points each for predicting runner-up and third-place.
In each case, lose two points for each positional difference.
For example, if you forecast NZ to be runners-up, you score:
- three points if they are the champions or if they finish third
- one point if they are eliminated in QF.

3. Earn 10 points for predicting exact number of total tries.
Lose a point for each try difference.

Minimum score for any prediction is zero (ie no minus figures).
When two entrants are level on points, initial tie-breaker is total fully correct predictions.
Maximum overall points tally is 70.

Please post [or PM if you wish] both forecasts by 7pm GMT, Fri 30 Oct.

3rd place, 8pm Fri: SA - Arg
The Final, 4pm Sat: NZ - Aus

[kcjonze]

ARG vs SA. ARG T
AUS vs NZ. AUS T

Thank you again!

[scopsm]

ARG vs SA. SA T
AUS vs NZ. NZ T
Thanks

[nevblake]

SA - Arg SA M
NZ - Aus NZ S

Thanks

[blahblah]

ARG vs SA. ARG T
AUS vs NZ. AUS T

Ta

[The Bear]

NZ v Aust - NZ M
SA v Arg - SA M

[Moist von Lipwig]

ARG vs SA. SA M
AUS vs NZ. NZ T

[SamD]

Nine final predictions, including PMs, are in as Friday 7pm deadline draws nearer.

SA - Arg
NZ - Aus

Full list of forecasts will be posted tonight.

[Big Bird]

SA - Arg, SA S
NZ - Aus, NZ M

[Maldini]

SA - Arg, SA M
NZ - Aus, NZ S

[ralphypne]

Arg M
AUS T

[SamD]

Hope to tabulate all forecasts here before third place kick-off at 8pm tonight. Mine are: SA M; NZ M.

[SamD]

Standings and final two forecasts

• 3rd place, 8pm Fri: SA - Arg
  The Final, 4pm Sat: NZ - Aus

Code: Select all

Posn                SA-Ar  NZ-Au     1st 2nd 3rd Try      Correct
SF                                                32    Mgn Res Pts
-  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  - 
01    kingcurtley   SA S   NZ S      Au  NZ  Ir   36    2   5    21
02    Maldini       SA M   NZ S      NZ  Au  SA   28    1   6    20
03    scopsm        SA T   NZ T      NZ  Au  SA   34        6    19
04    Big Bird      SA S   NZ M      NZ  Au  SA   28    1   5    18
05    ralphypne     Ar M   Au T      Au  SA  NZ   24        5    18

06    owenclass                      Au  NZ  SA   20    1   5    17
07    Spencer4                       NZ  Ir  SA   29    1   4    17
08    Mick McP'wack SA S   NZ S      NZ  Au  SA   30        5    17
09    Surprised                      NZ  Au  SA   28        5    17
10    The Bear      SA M   NZ M      Au  NZ  Ar   32        4    17

11    topspur                        NZ  Au  SA   27        5    16
12    SamD          SA M   NZ M      NZ  Au  SA   28        5    14
13    kcjonze       Ar T   Au T      Au  NZ  Ar   22        4    14
14    nevblake      SA M   NZ S      NZ  Au  SA   28    1   4    13
15    Ashers                         Au  NZ  SA   34        4    13
16    blahblah      Ar T   Au T      Fr  Au  Ar   32        3    13

17    trampie                        Au  NZ  SA   26    1   3    11
18    Moist vLipwig SA M   NZ T      NZ  Au  SA   31        4    11
19    Shafty1                        NZ  Ir  Au   23    1   2    10
20    Sport Billy                    Au  NZ  Ir   29        3    10
21    Horton Mmouse                  Au  NZ  SA   33        3     9
22    Doogal                         NZ  Au  Wa   23        2     8

[SamD]

After third-fourth place match
Result: SA 24-13 Arg ; tries = 3

Final, 4pm Sat: NZ - Aus (worth double)
Points for 1st, 2nd, 3rd and total tries will be included after Final.

Standings

Code: Select all

                     3/4    Final     < Predictions >
Rank                SA-Ar   NZ-Au     1st 2nd 3rd Try    Correct  Points
   SF               SA S                      SA   35    Mgn Res  SF Tot
-  -  -  -  -  -   -  -  -  -  -  -   -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -
01 01 kingcurtley   SA S 5  NZ S      Au  NZ  Ir   36     3   6   21  26
02 02 Maldini       SA M 4  NZ S      NZ  Au  SA   28     1   7   20  24
03 04 Big Bird      SA S 5  NZ M      NZ  Au  SA   28     2   6   18  23
04 03 scopsm        SA T 4  NZ T      NZ  Au  SA   34         7   19  23
05 08 Mick McP'wack SA S 5  NZ S      NZ  Au  SA   30     1   6   17  22
06 10 The Bear      SA M 4  NZ M      Au  NZ  Ar   32         5   17  21

07 12 SamD          SA M 4  NZ M      NZ  Au  SA   28         6   14  18
08 05 ralphypne     Ar M 0  Au T      Au  SA  NZ   24         5   18  18
09 14 nevblake      SA M 4  NZ S      NZ  Au  SA   28     1   5   13  17
09 06 owenclass                       Au  NZ  SA   20     1   5   17  17
11 07 Spencer4                        NZ  Ir  SA   29     1   4   17  17
12 09 Surprised                       NZ  Au  SA   28         5   17  17
13 11 topspur                         NZ  Au  SA   27         5   16  16
14 13 kcjonze       Ar T 2  Au T      Au  NZ  Ar   22         4   14  16
 
15 18 MoistvLipwig  SA M 4  NZ T      NZ  Au  SA   31         5   11  15
16 16 blahblah      Ar T 2  Au T      Fr  Au  Ar   32         3   13  15
17 15 Ashers                          Au  NZ  SA   34         4   13  13
18 17 trampie                         Au  NZ  SA   26     1   3   11  11
19 19 Shafty1                         NZ  Ir  Au   23     1   2   10  10
20 20 Sport Billy                     Au  NZ  Ir   29         3   10  10
21 21 Horton'Mouse                    Au  NZ  SA   33         3    9   9
22 22 Doogal                          NZ  Au  Wa   23         2    8   8