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2015 Rugby World Cup predictor * scopsm triumphs *

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SamD
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2015 Rugby World Cup predictor * scopsm triumphs *

Post by SamD »

2015 RWC: It's A Knockout
Do you fancy some additional interest while watching the final stages of the World Cup?
As mentioned in Cricket WC predictor thread** the Rugby equivalent also begins with the quarter-finals.
** March 2015 CWC thread: viewtopic.php?f=24&t=115874

HOW TO PLAY
Make 12 predictions:
  • - winner and margin of victory* in each of the eight remaining matches
    - the overall champion, runner-up and third sides
    - total number of tries in knockout stage.

Code: Select all

* Margins       Pts-range
Tiny       T        0-7
Small      S       8-14
Medium     M      15-21
Large      L      22-28
XtraLg     X        29+
   example:
   post 'SA M' if you think South Africa will beat Wales by 15 to 21 points
SCORING
1. Five points are available for each quarter-final, semi-final and third place match:
  • - so, earn 5 points for exact result and margin
    - lose a point for each margin-range variance
    - lose further point for incorrect result
    - minimum points per forecast is zero
    - minimum score for predicting match winner is two.
For example, if you predict 'SA M', you'll gain:
  • - full five points if South Africa win by 15 to 21 points
    - three points if SA win by Extra-Large or Tiny margin
    - one point if Wales win by Tiny margin; etc
Points are doubled for WC Final match, ie 10, 8, 6, 4, 2, 0.

2. Earn five points for correctly predicting overall champions.
And another five points each for predicting second and third places.
In each case, lose two points for each positional difference.
For example, if you forecast NZ to be runners-up, you score:
  • - three points if they are the champions or if they finish third
    - one point if they are eliminated in QF.
3. Earn 10 points for predicting exact number of total tries.
Lose a point for each try difference.

Minimum score for any prediction is zero (ie no minus figures).
When two entrants are level on points, initial tie-breaker is total fully correct forecasts.
Maximum overall points tally is 70.

SCHEDULE
Quarter-finals
1 - Sat 17 Oct: 16:00 South Africa v Wales Twickenham, London
2 - Sat 17 Oct: 20:00 New Zealand v France Millennium, Cardiff
3 - Sun 18 Oct: 13:00 Ireland v Argentina Millennium, Cardiff
4 - Sun 18 Oct: 16:00 Australia v Scotland Twickenham, London

Semi-finals
Sat 24 Oct: 16:00 Winner QF1 v Winner QF2 Twickenham, London
Sun 25 Oct: 16:00 Winner QF3 v Winner QF4 Twickenham, London

Third-place play-off
Fri 30 Oct: 20:00 Loser SF1 v Loser SF2 Olympic Stadium, London

Final
Sat 31 October: 16:00 Winner SF1 v Winner SF2 Twickenham, London

PRIZE
Overall winner receives a 'Fiso 2015 League Champion' mug.

Image

Please cut and paste grid (in third post) to make initial eight forecasts by 15:00 UK, Sat 17 Oct.
Do say if help is needed with anything. Good luck!

Game format copyright: SD-1991
Last edited by SamD on 31 Oct 2015, 19:23, edited 5 times in total.

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Stats

Post by SamD »

2015 RWC: Tables and Results to date

Code: Select all

Pool A             Pl   W   D   L   F   A  BP Pts
Australia           4   4   0   0 141  35   1  17
Wales               4   3   0   1 111  62   1  13
England             4   2   0   2 133  75   3  11
Fiji                4   1   0   3  84 101   1   5
Uruguay             4   0   0   4  30 226   0   0

          winner    score              tries
         England   35 - 11  Fiji         5
           Wales   54 - 9   Uruguay      8
       Australia   28 - 13  Fiji         4
           Wales   28 - 25  England      2
       Australia   65 - 3   Uruguay     11
           Wales   23 - 13  Fiji         3
       Australia   33 - 13  England      4
            Fiji   47 - 15  Uruguay      9
       Australia   15 - 6   Wales        0
         England   60 - 3   Uruguay     10

Pool B
South Africa        4   3   0   1 176  56   4  16
Scotland            4   3   0   1 136  93   2  14
Japan               4   3   0   1  98 100   0  12
Samoa               4   1   0   3  69 124   2   6
United States       4   0   0   4  50 156   0   0

           Japan   34 - 32  S Africa     7
           Samoa   25 - 16  USA          4
        Scotland   45 - 10  Japan        6
        S Africa   46 - 6   Samoa        6
        Scotland   39 - 16  USA          6
           Japan   26 - 5   Samoa        3
        S Africa   34 - 16  Scotland     4
        S Africa   64 - 0   USA         10
        Scotland   36 - 33  Samoa        7
           Japan   28 - 18  USA          5

Pool C
New Zealand         4   4   0   0 174  49   3  19
Argentina           4   3   0   1 179  70   3  15
Georgia             4   2   0   2  53 123   0   8
Tonga               4   1   0   3  70 130   2   6
Namibia             4   0   0   4  70 174   1   1

         Georgia   17 - 10  Tonga        3
       N Zealand   26 - 16  Argentina    3
       N Zealand   58 - 14  Namibia     10
       Argentina   54 - 9   Georgia      7
           Tonga   35 - 21  Namibia      8
       N Zealand   43 - 10  Georgia      8
       Argentina   45 - 16  Tonga        7
         Georgia   17 - 16  Namibia      3
       N Zealand   47 - 9   Tonga        7
       Argentina   64 - 19  Namibia     12

Pool D
Ireland             4   4   0   0 134  35   2  18
France              4   3   0   1 120  63   2  14
Italy               4   2   0   2  74  88   2  10
Romania             4   1   0   3  60 129   0   4
Canada              4   0   0   4  58 131   2   2

         Ireland   50 - 7   Canada       8
          France   32 - 10  Italy        3
          France   38 - 11  Romania      6
           Italy   23 - 18  Canada       4
         Ireland   44 - 10  Romania      7
          France   41 - 18  Canada       7
         Ireland   16 - 9   Italy        1
         Romania   17 - 15  Canada       4
           Italy   32 - 22  Romania      7
         Ireland   24 - 9   France       2

 edit: 231 tries in 40 group matches = average of almost six a game;
       2,020 points = about 50 per fixture
KO SCHEDULE
Quarter-finals
1 - Sat 17 Oct: 16:00, South Africa v Wales, Twickenham, London
2 - Sat 17 Oct: 20:00, New Zealand v France, Millennium, Cardiff
3 - Sun 18 Oct: 13:00, Ireland v Argentina, Millennium, Cardiff
4 - Sun 18 Oct: 16:00, Australia v Scotland, Twickenham, London

Semi-finals
Sat 24 Oct: 16:00, Winner QF1 v Winner QF2, Twickenham, London
Sun 25 Oct: 16:00, Winner QF3 v Winner QF4, Twickenham, London

Third-place play-off
Fri 30 Oct: 20:00, Loser SF1 v Loser SF2, Olympic Stadium, London

Final
Sat 31 October: 16:00, Winner SF1 v Winner SF2, Twickenham, London
Last edited by SamD on 13 Oct 2015, 21:05, edited 1 time in total.

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SamD
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How to submit f/cs

Post by SamD »

Reminder of entry format

Code: Select all

    Margins     Pts-range
   Tiny   T     0-7
  Small   S     8-14
 Medium   M     15-21
  Large   L     22-28
 XtraLg   X     29+

example:
   post 'SA M' if you think South Africa will beat Wales by 15 to 21 points
Semi-final, third-fourth place and Final predictions will be requested later in month.

** Cut and paste following to submit initial eight forecasts by 3pm, Sat 17 Oct **

SA v Wal - eg: SA M
NZ v Fra -
Ire v Arg -
Aus v Sco -

Winner -
Second -
Third -
KO Tries -

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by kingcurtley »

SA v Wal - SA, S
NZ v Fra - NZ, M
Ire v Arg - IR, S
Aus v Sco - AUS, M

Winner - Aus
Second - NZ
Third - IR
KO Tries - 36

Cheers

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by SHAFTY1 »

SA v Wal - Wal T
NZ v Fra - NZ S
Ire v Arg - IRE S
Aus v Sco - AUS T


Winner - NZ
Second - IRE
Third - AUS
KO Tries - 23

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by Maldini »

SA v Wal - SA, S
NZ v Fra - NZ, M
Ire v Arg - ARG, T
Aus v Sco - AUS, M

Winner - NZ
Second - Aus
Third - SA
KO Tries - 28

Thanks Sam

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by Moist von Lipwig »

SA v Wal - SA S
NZ v Fra - NZ M
Ire v Arg - IRE M
Aus v Sco - AUS L

Winner - NZ
Second - AUS
Third - SA
KO Tries - 31

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kcjonze
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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by kcjonze »

SA v Wal - WAL S
NZ v Fra - NZ M
Ire v Arg - ARG T
Aus v Sco - AUS M

Winner - AUS
Second - NZ
Third - ARG
KO Tries - 22

Many thanks!

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by topspur »

SA v Wal - SA S
NZ v Fra - NZ M
Ire v Arg - IRE S
Aus v Sco - AUS L


Winner - NZ
Second - AUS
Third - SA
KO Tries - 27

Cheers for running

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by Ashers »

SA v Wal - SA S
NZ v Fra - NZ M
Ire v Arg - IRE S
Aus v Sco - AUS L


Winner - AUS
Second - NZ
Third - SA
KO Tries - 34

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by Horton Mumblemouse »

Go on then.

SA v Wales....SA M
NZ v France...NZ M
Ire v Arg...Ireland T
Aus v Sco...Australia M

Winner - Aus
Runner Up - NZ
Third - SA
KO Tries - 33

Cheers Sam

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by Mick MacPaddywack »

Ahhh Jayzuz why not? ...

SA v Wales.... SA, S
NZ v France... NZ, M
Ire v Arg... IRE, S
Aus v Sco... AUS, M

Winner - NZ
Runner Up - AUS
Third - RSA
KO Tries - 30

Ta, Sam
Last edited by Mick MacPaddywack on 14 Oct 2015, 22:31, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by blahblah »

SA v Wal - WAL S
NZ v Fra - FR S
Ire v Arg - ARG S
Aus v Sco - AUS M

Winner - FR
Second - AUS
Third - ARG
KO Tries - 32

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by Doogal »

SA v Wales....WAL T
NZ v France...NZ M
Ire v Arg...Ireland M
Aus v Sco...Australia L

Winner - NZ
Runner Up - Aus
Third - Wal
KO Tries - 23

Cheers Sam

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by The Bear »

SA v Wal - Wal T
NZ v Fra - NZ M
Ire v Arg - Arg T
Aus v Sco - Aust M

Winner - Aust
Second - NZ
Third - Arg
KO Tries - 32

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by Spencer4 »

SA v Wal - SA T
NZ v Fra - NZ S
Ire v Arg - IRL T
Aus v Sco - Aust S

Winner - NZ
Second - IRL
Third - RSA
KO Tries - 29

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by Big Bird »

SA v Wal - SA S
NZ v Fra - NZ S
Ire v Arg - Ire S
Aus v Sco - Aus M

Winner - NZ
Second - Aus
Third - SA
KO Tries - 28

Thanks Sam

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Own f/cs

Post by SamD »

Entry no. 15:

SA v Wal - SA S
NZ v Fra - NZ S
Ire v Arg - Ire T
Aus v Sco - Aus S

Winner - NZ
Second - Aus
Third - SA
KO Tries - 28

Deadline for any further entry is 3pm UK, Sat 17 Oct.

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by trampie »

SA v Wal - SA T
NZ v Fra - NZ S
Ire v Arg - Ire T
Aus v Sco - Aus S

Winner - Aus
Second - NZ
Third - SA
KO Tries - 26

Thks - Sam

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by Sport Billy »

SA v Wal - SA S
NZ v Fra - NZ M
Ire v Arg - Ire S
Aus v Sco - Aus M

Winner - Aus
Second - NZ
Third - Ire
KO Tries - 29

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by scopsm »

SA v Wal - SA, M
NZ v Fra - NZ, M
Ire v Arg - ARG, S
Aus v Sco - AUS, M

Winner - NZ
Second - Aus
Third - SA
KO Tries - 34

Thanks Sam

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by Surprised »

SA v Wal - SA, S
NZ v Fra - NZ, M
Ire v Arg - Ire, M
Aus v Sco - Aus, M

Winner - NZ
Second - Aus
Third - SA
KO Tries - 28

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by ralphypne »

SA v Wal - SA S
NZ v Fra - NZ M
Ire v Arg - Arg S
Aus v Sco - Aus X

Winner - Aus
Second - SA
Third - NZ
KO Tries - 24

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by nevblake »

SA v Wal - SA T
NZ v Fra - NZ S
Ire v Arg - IRE S
Aus v Sco - AUS M

Winner - NZ
Second - AUS
Third - SA
KO Tries - 28

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup prize predictor * enter by Sat 17 Oct *

Post by owenclass »

SA v Wal - SA M
NZ v Fra - NZ S
Ire v Arg - IRE S
Aus v Sco - AUS M

Winner - AUS
Second - NZ
Third - SA
KO Tries - 20

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SamD
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Scores after 2 QFs

Post by SamD »

Results:
  • SA 23-19 Wal; SA T
    NZ 62-13 Fra; NZ X
Twelve of 22 entrants are on seven points, including three with correct SA T margin.
Initial leaderboard:
=1 Spencer4, trampie, nevblake
=4 kingcurtley, Maldini, Moist von Lipwig, topspur, Ashers, Mick MacPaddywack, Sport Billy, Surprised, ralphypne

Full league table will be posted after remaining quarter-finals are completed.

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After four of eight KO matches

Post by SamD »

Quarter-final results

Code: Select all

                                     Tries Margin   Margins & Pts-Ranges
        S Africa    23 -19   Wales      2  SA T        Tiny  T 0-7
       N Zealand    62 -13   France    10  NZ X       Small  S 7-14
       Argentina    43 -20   Ireland    6  Arg L     Medium  M 15-21
       Australia    35 -34   Scotland   8  Aus T      Large  L 22-28
                                       26  total      XtraL  X 29+
Three FISOns are spot on with 'SA T' forecast, two others likewise with 'Au T'.
With one five-pointer in his total of 12, kingcurtley is the early league leader.
Maldini, ralphypne and scopsm, also with 12, complete the lead quartet.
Four points cover the whole league.

Predictions and points to date

Code: Select all

                 SA-Wa  NZ-Fr  Ar-Ir  Au-Sc   1st 2nd 3rd Tries Tot
        result-> SA T   NZ X   Ar L   Au T                      Pts
-  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -
01 kingcurtley   SA S 4 NZ M 3 Ir S 0 Au T 5   Au  NZ  Ir   36   12
02 Maldini       SA S 4 NZ M 3 Ar T 2 Au M 3   NZ  Au  SA   28   12
02 ralphypne     SA S 4 NZ M 3 Ar S 3 Au X 2   Au  SA  NZ   24   12
04 scopsm        SA M 3 NZ M 3 Ar S 3 Au M 3   NZ  Au  SA   34   12
05 Spencer4      SA T 5 NZ S 2 Ir T 0 Au S 4   NZ  Ir  SA   29   11
05 trampie       SA T 5 NZ S 2 Ir T 0 Au S 4   Au  NZ  SA   26   11
07 The Bear      Wa T 3 NZ M 3 Ar T 2 Au M 3   Au  NZ  Ar   32   11

08 nevblake      SA T 5 NZ S 2 Ir S 0 Au M 3   NZ  Au  SA   28   10
09 Shafty1       Wa T 3 NZ S 2 Ir S 0 Au T 5   NZ  Ir  Au   23   10
10 Mick McP'wck  SA S 4 NZ M 3 Ir S 0 Au M 3   NZ  Au  SA   30   10
11 SamD          SA S 4 NZ S 2 Ir T 0 Au S 4   NZ  Au  SA   28   10
12 Sport Billy   SA S 4 NZ M 3 Ir S 0 Au M 3   Au  NZ  Ir   29   10
12 Surprised     SA S 4 NZ M 3 Ir M 0 Au M 3   NZ  Au  SA   28   10
14 kcjonze       Wa S 2 NZ M 3 Ar T 2 Au M 3   Au  NZ  Ar   22   10

15 Moist vLipwig SA S 4 NZ M 3 Ir M 0 Au L 2   NZ  Au  SA   31    9
15 topspur       SA S 4 NZ M 3 Ir S 0 Au L 2   NZ  Au  SA   27    9
15 Ashers        SA S 4 NZ M 3 Ir S 0 Au L 2   Au  NZ  SA   34    9
15 Big Bird      SA S 4 NZ S 2 Ir S 0 Au M 3   NZ  Au  SA   28    9
19 Horton 'mouse SA M 3 NZ M 3 Ir T 0 Au M 3   Au  NZ  SA   33    9
20 owenclass     SA M 3 NZ S 2 Ir S 0 Au M 3   Au  NZ  SA   20    8
21 blahblah      Wa S 2 Fr S 0 Ar S 3 Au M 3   Fr  Au  Ar   32    8
21 Doogal        Wa T 3 NZ M 3 Ir M 0 Au L 2   NZ  Au  Wa   23    8
Tiebreak sequence: most 5-point predictions, then most results, then most 4-pointers, etc.
Do say if there's any query; cheers.

Semi-final schedule
Sat 24 Oct: 16:00, N Zealand v S Africa, Twickenham
Sun 25 Oct: 16:00, Australia v Argentina, Twickenham

Please cut and paste following to submit next two forecasts by 3pm, Sat 24 Oct.
NZ v SA -
Aus v Arg -

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kcjonze
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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup predictor * kingcurtley leads; SF f/cs by Sat 24 Oct *

Post by kcjonze »

NZ v SA - NZ M
Aus v Arg - ARG S

Many thanks again!

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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup predictor * kingcurtley leads; SF f/cs by Sat 24 Oct *

Post by scopsm »

NZ v SA - NZ M
Aus v Arg - AUS M
Thanks

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Maldini
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Re: 2015 Rugby World Cup predictor * kingcurtley leads; SF f/cs by Sat 24 Oct *

Post by Maldini »

NZ v SA - NZ M
Aus v Arg - AUS S

Thanks

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