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African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp

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Re: RE: Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by murf »

ROUND 4 - RESULTS

SAFELY THROUGH
13

kingcurtley
Ashers
Moist von Lipwig
blahblah
robot
murf
morganb
Lucky7s
Spencer4
Geoffv

OUT
11

Arabian Knight
thebillfella
Ralfbergs
Windy Behind

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by murf »

ROUND 5
Sunday 22nd January 2017 - Group A - both games 19:00

Cameroon v Gabon
Guinea-Bissau v Burkina Faso
Monday 23rd January 2017 - Group B - both games 19:00
Senegal v Algeria
Zimbabwe v Tunisia

Same rules, no tweaks for now as the numbers are slipping down with natural wastage and losing half wouldn't be fatal.

Note that games are kicking off simultaneously but I want the predictions in the order of the matches posted above. Same format, 4 names, one JOKER.

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by robot »

Gabon
Burkino faso joker
Algeria
Tunisia

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by Ashers »

Cameroon
Burkina Faso
Senegal
Tunisia Joker

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by blahblah »

Cameroon
Burkino Faso
Senegal
Tunisia JOKER

Cameroon qualify with a draw or win.
BF qualify with a win.
Gabon qualify with a win.
G-B qualify with a win, if Cameroon get at least a draw (if Gabon win, they lose out to Cam on h2h, which I think is the first comparison).

Senegal are through
Tunisia qualify with a win or draw (assuming the head to head is first comparison)
Zimbabwe or Algeria qualify if they both win, then it is down to GD.

I hope the above helps*, I think it is kinda accurate :lol:

*Spread confusion in your hungover heads.

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by morganb »

Cameroon
Burkino Faso
Senegal
Tunisia JOKER

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by Spencer4 »

Cameroon
Burkina Faso
Senegal
Tunisia Joker

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Re: RE: Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by Moist von Lipwig »

Cameroon
Burkina Faso
Senegal
Tunisia Joker

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by Lucky7s »

Cameroon
Burkina Faso
Algeria
Tunisia JOKER

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by Geoffv »

Gabon
Burkina Faso
Senegal
Tunisia JOKER

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by kingcurtley »

Gabon
Burkina Faso
Algeria
Tunisia JOKER

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by murf »

Cameroon
Burkino Faso
Algeria
Tunisia JOKER

Looks like I'll be sweating on my joker in the final game AGAIN!
In game 1 the bookies and our best picker geoffv fancy Gabon but everything else, like form and memories of Italia 90, points to the Roon so I am with them.

Tonight is Gabon 3 v Cameroon 7 and all 10 of us on the Burks - including our only joker of the day from Robot.

Tomorrow sees a good mix on game 1 between in-form Senegal and something-to-play-for Algeria then lots of jokers on Tunisia.

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Re: RE: Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by murf »

After AFDraw and a much predicted Burks win

ROUND 5 - DAY 1 - SCORES

7 - Algeria, Tunisia, JOKER USED
robot
4 - Algeria, JOKER ON TUNISIA
Lucky7s
kingcurtley
murf
4 - Senegal, JOKER ON TUNISIA
Ashers
blahblah
morganb
Moist von Lipwig
Geoffv
Spencer4

The 6 Senegalis are 'safe' as they can't all go out if they come last. Will just start round 6 with a 0.5pt handicap.

robot can only go out if Algeria lose AND Tunisia win. 3 of us will be out if Algeria lose, whatever Tunisia do.

All depends whether Senegal can be bothered with the game as they are already safe themselves. Algeria surely want it more (or so I tell myself).

If Senegal v Algeria is AFDraw then everybody finishes level - unless Tunisia fail to win and robot gets to feel smug (with a bonus 0.5pt advantage in Round 6)

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by morganb »

A couple of early goals for Algeria and Tunisia

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by murf »

Tunisia steam further ahead meaning Algeria are heading out so their heads go down and Senegal B equalise.

If the HT scores stay then we will all finish level....

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by morganb »

Algeria go ahead :( Senegal equalise :)

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by blahblah »

A rapid equaliser hauls Algeria back again: 2-2.

The next batch are a tad tricky...

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by murf »

And so a potentially interesting round 5 ends. The two matches where we spread our bets end in two more draws. The other two matches split the jokers but went with the form book. Yawn.

So we all finish on 11 and survive to fight another 2 days.

NOTE- NEW RULE TWEAKS FROM ROUND 6 TO INCREASE THE CULL RATE.
You will still pick exactly as before (for now) but more could bite the dust. Stay tuned......

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by Ashers »

Ivory Coast
DR Congo
Ghana
Mali Joker

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by murf »

RULE TWEAKS

Existing Rules wrote:The key rule here is that for each round those of you getting the least points go out!

5. If over half the total field are set to be eliminated then anybody who got 0 for their joker is saved (cos they would have scored higher with jokers ignored). If half the field are still set to be eliminated then anybody who scored 1 point in their joker game is saved. If over 3/4 of the field are still going to be eliminated then even those with 3 points jokers are saved. Anybody being saved by any part of this rule will start the next round with a 0.5 point penalty (i.e. they will be on -0.5).
The above two rules are going to be tweaked so that
a) It won't necessarily just be the lowest scorers who go out, could also be next to last or even next to next to last etc.
b) Over half the field may be eliminated.

There are currently 10 of us which needs managing downwards and the aim is to have the following numbers for the knockout stages:

QFs - Minimum 4, Maximum 8
SFs - Minimum 3, Maximum 5
Final - Minimum 2, Maximum 3


So if the elimination of those equal last still means we have more than the desired maximum number in the next round then we cull the next lowest, repeating til we get below the maximum.
Rule 5 is changed so that over half the field can be eliminated and instead it is not any number that takes us below the desired minimum (eg 6 can be eliminated from the 10 in Rd 6 as that takes us to the minimum of 4 and, crucially, not below). The half point penalty still applies for anyone saved by this rule.

Hope that makes sense, basically the best still survive and the worst go home so get them all right and you win.

ROUND 5 RESULTS
Everyone 11

ROUND 6 FIXTURES
Tuesday - 7pm - Group C

Morocco v Ivory Coast
Togo v Dr Congo
Wednesday - 7pm - Group D
Egypt v Ghana
Uganda v Mali

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by Lucky7s »

Ivory Coast
Dr Congo
Egypt
Mali JOKER

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by Spencer4 »

Ivory Coast
Dr Congo JOKER
Egypt
Mali

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by blahblah »

Mo Rocco
Dr Congo
Geee Anna
Ma Li JOKER

Just to create a bit of difference.....

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by Moist von Lipwig »

Ivory Coast
Dr Congo JOKER
Egypt
Mali

The bookies say put the Joker on Mali, but showing some faith in the Doctor...

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by morganb »

Ivory Coast
Dr Congo JOKER
Ghana
Mali

Gone for the four away sides...

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by robot »

Ivory Coast
Dr Congo joker
Ghana
Mali

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by kingcurtley »

Ivory Coast
DR Congo
Ghana
Mali - JOKER

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by Geoffv »

Ivory Coast
Dr Congo
Egypt
Mali - Joker

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by murf »

Ivory Coast
Dr Congo JOKER
Egypt
Mali

I've probably overthought these, basing it all on 'what if's

Tonight:
9 on Ivory Coast, blah on Morocco. No jokers.
All on Dr Congo, 5 with jokers
Tomorrow:
5 Egypt v 5 Ghana
All on Mali, 5 with jokers

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Re: * NEW * African Nations Cup 2017 - murf's FISO Predictions Comp * NEW *

Post by murf »

The Doc is 2 up as we expected which will please those of us with jokers brandished.

But Morocco just scored a cracker to please only Blah.

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