Betting Log [Division]

[Division]

€200 to €10,000 Betting Log

Thread betting guidelines

Football bets only.

I will assign an estimated win percentage for each bet.

I will choose the best price from a range of bookmakers: Bet365 | BetFred | BetVictor | Paddy Power | Stan James | Ladbrokes | Coral | William Hill

Each bet stake will be for 5%, 10% or 15% of the current bank amount.

*Should the betting log be completed successfully I will donate €500 of the winnings to Concern Worldwide - a charity that works with the world’s poorest people to transform their lives.


I will kick the betting log off with the game of the week, Liverpool v Arsenal, which could have a big bearing on the Champions League places in the English Premier League.

Starting Balance: €200

English Premier League
Liverpool v Arsenal
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.67 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 74.4%
Stake €20

[Brightwater]

...I will assign an estimated win percentage for each bet...

How do you work out the estimate? How accurate are your estimates?

[Striker]

How accurate are your estimates?

We will see over the next few months.

[bspittles]

Even at a maximum 15% bet, at odds of 1.67 it will take 42 successful bets to reach your target - and that's assuming no losers.

Good luck!

[Division]

Liverpool 3-1 Arsenal

Balance: €213

[blahblah]

Is this take 2?

[Division]

Champions League
Napoli v Real Madrid
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.7 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 67.5%
Stake €21

[Division]

Napoli 1-3 Real Madrid

Balance: €228

[Division]

English Premier League
Bournemouth v West Ham
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.6 William Hill
Estimated Win Percentage: 70.6%
Stake €23

[jimwinn]

Interesting long term venture

How do you work out the %

[Division]

Its my personal opinion with a bit of help from a spreadsheet I made to quantify my opinion for a range of markets that are goals based.

[Division]

Bournemouth 3-2 West Ham

Balance: €242

[Division]

English FA Cup
Chelsea v Manchester Utd
Bet: Chelsea To Win @ 1.8 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 63.7%
Stake €24


Champions League
Monaco v Manchester City
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.1 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 60.2%
Stake €36

[Division]

Chelsea 1-0 Man Utd
Monaco 3-1 Man City

Balance: €301

[Division]

English Premier League
Bournemouth v Swansea
Bet: Bournemouth To Score 2 Or More Goals @ 1.9 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 63%
Stake €30

[Division]

Bournemouth 2-0 Swansea

Balance: €328

[Division]

World Cup Qualifier
Peru v Uruguay
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.25 William Hill
Estimated Win Percentage: 53%
Stake €32

[Division]

Peru 2-1 Uruguay

Balance: €368

[Division]

English Premier League
Crystal Palace v Arsenal
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
Stake €36

[Division]

English Premier League
Everton v Leicester
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.62 Bet Victor
Estimated Win Percentage: 68%
Stake €36

[Division]

Champions League
Borussia Dortmund v Monaco
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.7 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 67%
Stake €36

[Division]

Everton 4-2 Leicester (Bet Won)
Crystal Palace 3-0 Arsenal (Bet Lost) #WengerOut
Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Monaco (Bet Won)

Balance: €379

[Division]

English Premier League
Tottenham v Bournemouth
Bet: Tottenham To Win & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 65%
Stake €38

English Premier League
Man Utd v Chelsea
Bet: Chelsea To Win - Draw No Bet @ 2.05 Bet Victor
Estimated Win Percentage: 56% (ex. push)
Stake €38

Champions League
Monaco v Borussia Dortmund
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 73%
Stake €38

[Division]

Tottenham 4-0 Bournemouth (Bet Won)
Man Utd 2-0 Chelsea (Bet Lost)
Monaco 3-1 Borussia Dortmund (Bet Won)

Balance: €387

[Division]

English Premier League
West Ham v Everton
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
Stake €38

[Division]

West Ham 0-0 Everton (Bet Lost)

Balance: €349

[Division]

English Premier League
Liverpool v Crystal Palace
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.8 Bet365
Estimated Win Percentage: 61%
Stake €34

[Division]

Liverpool 1-2 Crystal Palace (Bet Won)

Balance: €379

Spanish La Liga
Real Madrid v Barcelona
Bet: Real Madrid To Win or Draw & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.0 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
Stake €56

[Division]

Real Madrid 2-3 Barcelona (Bet Lost)

Balance: €323

English Premier League
Crystal Palace v Tottenham
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.67 Bet365
Estimated Win Percentage: 65%
Stake €32

[Division]

Crystal Palace 0-1 Tottenham (Bet Lost)

Balance: €291

Champions League
Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid
Bet: Exactly 2 or 3 Goals @ 2.05 Bet Victor
Estimated Win Percentage: 57%
Stake €29