Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
- Tacalabala
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Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
It's that time of the season when we're all pretty much consigned to the ranking we have, so it's about beating our ML rival(s). What are you facing and how might you tackle it?
I'm currently level on FPL points with mine, and leading by only fewer transfers made - https://fantasy.premierleague.com/a/lea ... 53/classic
I have 2FTs, he only has 1FT and took a -8 hit last week. He is a good manager, and a member of FFS so he will follow most templates moves. He might even read these pages.
My big worry is what he'll do with Willian and Alonso, it seems sensible for Alonso to keep those, as he blows my defenders out of the water potentially, and I don't have the funds to clone his current team.
I'd thought about replacing Jesus with Firmino and bringing in VVD and McArthur for Morgan and Kenedy, but this would mean I'm going 4-4-2 and relying heavily on clean sheets and a defender goal to probably win, this seems too high risk to me. The change I can see him making is Willian Zaha, so I'm now looking at Kenedy Zaha and Jesus Giroud. Very unsure on Giroud, especially as his away to Newcastle and not a definite starter
I'm currently level on FPL points with mine, and leading by only fewer transfers made - https://fantasy.premierleague.com/a/lea ... 53/classic
I have 2FTs, he only has 1FT and took a -8 hit last week. He is a good manager, and a member of FFS so he will follow most templates moves. He might even read these pages.
My big worry is what he'll do with Willian and Alonso, it seems sensible for Alonso to keep those, as he blows my defenders out of the water potentially, and I don't have the funds to clone his current team.
I'd thought about replacing Jesus with Firmino and bringing in VVD and McArthur for Morgan and Kenedy, but this would mean I'm going 4-4-2 and relying heavily on clean sheets and a defender goal to probably win, this seems too high risk to me. The change I can see him making is Willian Zaha, so I'm now looking at Kenedy Zaha and Jesus Giroud. Very unsure on Giroud, especially as his away to Newcastle and not a definite starter
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
Alonso is a bit of a dilemma. As an owner I'll probably keep but he could easily get 1 point in a tame 1-1 draw.
You have an advantage over your rival I feel, especially in defence. No need to copy his Zaha move, get Milivojevic instead. He'll score the penalty that Zaha wins
Other FT: Morgan->TAA. Bench Dummett for Masuaku. Mission accomplished.
EDIT: Just saw that Smalling is a doubt. Robertson maybe?
You have an advantage over your rival I feel, especially in defence. No need to copy his Zaha move, get Milivojevic instead. He'll score the penalty that Zaha wins
Other FT: Morgan->TAA. Bench Dummett for Masuaku. Mission accomplished.
EDIT: Just saw that Smalling is a doubt. Robertson maybe?
- eastcentral1
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
My rival is 3 points behind.
He has:
Salah
Silva
Eriksen
Smalling
Milo
Chilwell
To my:
Sterling
Son
Arnie
Ramsey
Alonso
Tarkowski
Obviously the first question is whether I go for Salah. The problem is that he'll probably move on Silva and Smalling, and then I'll have matched his Salah but be weaker elsewhere. Also, if I bring in Salah I'd have to lose Son for a decent fixture and play 4 defenders (inc Burnley block), or lose Ramsey and Alonso and be left playing Morgan alongside Burnley block.
I am tempted to do Kenedy to Zaha funded by DDG to Adrian. Leaves me with no Liverpool though.
He has:
Salah
Silva
Eriksen
Smalling
Milo
Chilwell
To my:
Sterling
Son
Arnie
Ramsey
Alonso
Tarkowski
Obviously the first question is whether I go for Salah. The problem is that he'll probably move on Silva and Smalling, and then I'll have matched his Salah but be weaker elsewhere. Also, if I bring in Salah I'd have to lose Son for a decent fixture and play 4 defenders (inc Burnley block), or lose Ramsey and Alonso and be left playing Morgan alongside Burnley block.
I am tempted to do Kenedy to Zaha funded by DDG to Adrian. Leaves me with no Liverpool though.
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
I'm in a similar situation with Salah. My H2H opponent brought him in on a FT and I'll need to take a hit. So that's 4 points down straight away.eastcentral1 wrote:My rival is 3 points behind.
He has:
Salah
Silva
Eriksen
Smalling
Milo
Chilwell
To my:
Sterling
Son
Arnie
Ramsey
Alonso
Tarkowski
Obviously the first question is whether I go for Salah. The problem is that he'll probably move on Silva and Smalling, and then I'll have matched his Salah but be weaker elsewhere. Also, if I bring in Salah I'd have to lose Son for a decent fixture and play 4 defenders (inc Burnley block), or lose Ramsey and Alonso and be left playing Morgan alongside Burnley block.
I am tempted to do Kenedy to Zaha funded by DDG to Adrian. Leaves me with no Liverpool though.
Unfortunately, I don't think there's an alternative. Both Salah and Liverpool have incentives to perform.
Can Mane match him? I'll consider if I decide not to captain Mo and if the saved money gets a better second transfer.
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- eastcentral1
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
I'm not sure. Firstly, a hit for one game is always a gamble. Also, Salah and Liverpool have looked tired of late (although Mane has looked lively). Then there's the cost to the rest of the team by bringing in Salah. If Sterling looks likely to start, he could be my Salah alternative. But I do see the logic of having some Liverpool. Jesus to Firmino is an option.
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
dunno about ML rival
(actually I know, but might talk about that later)
but I'm just 5p behind blahblah now!
(actually I know, but might talk about that later)
but I'm just 5p behind blahblah now!
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
I mean I'm new here but don't think these mind games work on blah. He'll raise your 5 by taking an 8-point hit and then captain MilivojevicMoSe wrote:dunno about ML rival
(actually I know, but might talk about that later)
but I'm just 5p behind blahblah now!
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- Tall Paul
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
I'm just going to hope I get 8 more points than Ruth_NZ.
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
He's a good manager but he follows all the template moves and let's the people on FFS decide for him?Tacalabala wrote: ↑11 May 2018, 08:07
He is a good manager, and a member of FFS so he will follow most templates moves.
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- Grumpy Old Man
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
You're level on points so your best strategy is to maximise EV and don't even think about his team. You will win more often than not by doing that.
You have no lead to protect so your best chances are by increasing your EV with whatever you think is best, and not taking your opponent into account at all.
You have no lead to protect so your best chances are by increasing your EV with whatever you think is best, and not taking your opponent into account at all.
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
yes, of course, he could well doSirMattBugsby wrote: ↑11 May 2018, 13:00I mean I'm new here but don't think these mind games work on blah. He'll raise your 5 by taking an 8-point hit and then captain MilivojevicMoSe wrote:dunno about ML rival
(actually I know, but might talk about that later)
but I'm just 5p behind blahblah now!
I was referring to this previous intercourse we had
viewtopic.php?p=3177493#p3177493
(and other following posts I can't find now)
update:
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- Pirlo's Beard
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
In a big money league I'm 42 points ahead, so I'm going to beat him just by turning up, hopefully.
- Ruth_NZ
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
Tall Paul wrote: I'm just going to hope I get 8 more points than Ruth_NZ.
And I'm going to ignore TP's team because he's a good guy and it would be cheap to play blocking games with him. I'm just going to try to get the most points I can and if he catches me so be it.
- Tall Paul
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
Thanks, you're not too bad yourselfRuth_NZ wrote: ↑11 May 2018, 13:51And I'm going to ignore TP's team because he's a good guy and it would be cheap to play blocking games with him. I'm just going to try to get the most points I can and if he catches me so be it.Tall Paul wrote: I'm just going to hope I get 8 more points than Ruth_NZ.
I'll have the same attitude, as many points as I can. I'm in plenty of other leagues so that has to be the optimal strategy anyway. GL!
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
Cash league wrapped up
49 behind in serious non-cash league which is too much really
Don't want to do anything stupid. Wouldn't sacrifice OR to win mini league . Probably won't get 11 out but it willing to take a hit
Gonna put Salah (TC) . Leader will probably bring Salah in last game . If he doesn't might be interesting
49 behind in serious non-cash league which is too much really
Don't want to do anything stupid. Wouldn't sacrifice OR to win mini league . Probably won't get 11 out but it willing to take a hit
Gonna put Salah (TC) . Leader will probably bring Salah in last game . If he doesn't might be interesting
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
Frankly, I managed to get to 5p from my ML rival, but I just broke into 200k OR (barely) first time this season,
and all I care for is to keep OR inside top 200k
OK, let's say maybe 99.9% I care for
true, 200k is a lame OR, in a table I reacently saw someone said anything above 20k is a wrong season to write off and forget completely,
but to each one his own depth
my first season and worst so far I got 175k, I'd love to not make that worse, but 200k will do
as for ML rival
well he's the same one who I had beaten in last 3 season, and I wasn't actually hoping to catch him anymore in this one
(I had been ahead till GW16, but fell 52p behind in GW22, and the gap was still 62p in GW29 and 53p in GW34)
now 5p it's nothing, especially in a possibly crazy GW38, but if for once he beats me at 4th attempt I won't be upset, as I'd be sad slipping outside 200k again
as we're at it anyway, we both have no chip and 1 FT, he has 0.9m ITB while I have no spare money, and these same players
Jesus, Sterling, Son, Smalling
differences (me -VS- him)
McCarthy, Ryan -VS- Hennessey, De Gea
Valencia, Lowton, Bednarek, Chilwell -VS- Mustafi, Davies, Robertson, Schindler
Mahrez, Matic, Kenedy -VS- Salah, Sané, Eriksen
Kane, Vardy -VS- Jordan Ayew, Barnes
it actually looks like a disaster
he has a good defence for GW38 and a strong midfield,
while with expected absences (in red) I could expect a playing 2-3-3, ie.e two short from a XI and weak GK
my only advantage would be with strikers, but it could well be the week when desperate SWA overrun Stoke with JAyew hattrick...
sooo... I think I'll take maybe a hit to plug the holes in my team and get the higest (or least low) possible score,
I don't think I'll take Walrus team in any consideration at all when making my transfers on a whim sunday morning
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
I'm 8 points behind my rival for 1st place and a pretty decent prize.
He has: Salah, Eriksen, Zaha, Firmino
To my: Sane, Martial, Jesus, Kane
He tends to make very ballsy captain choices. We both only have 1 FT.
Thoughts?
He has: Salah, Eriksen, Zaha, Firmino
To my: Sane, Martial, Jesus, Kane
He tends to make very ballsy captain choices. We both only have 1 FT.
Thoughts?
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
So many decisions.
To hit or not to hit being one of the biggest?!
To hit or not to hit being one of the biggest?!
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
Lots of question marks. Keep it reasonable with the hits or really go for it?
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
A decision I have is whether to tear up the team and get Salah back in. Would mean losing Alli though, and I had hoped to keep my 3 Spurs attacker intact. Looking at a few teams around me in the MLs I note that Salah has very low ownership, so this is pushing me in the direction of ignoring him.
Aubameyang (low ownership) is tempting, although Arsenal's away form is poor.
And then there is Mourinho's news of mass rotation. Smalling, DDG, JLingz,... what to do?
For me, FPL is primarily a game of fun (if I win cash I usually end up giving it away ), so I might just decide to spend 4 points and have a flutter on a couple of low-owned (in my MLs) players.
Aubameyang (low ownership) is tempting, although Arsenal's away form is poor.
And then there is Mourinho's news of mass rotation. Smalling, DDG, JLingz,... what to do?
For me, FPL is primarily a game of fun (if I win cash I usually end up giving it away ), so I might just decide to spend 4 points and have a flutter on a couple of low-owned (in my MLs) players.
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
I'm first in my 4 mini leagues but 2nd in my cash league 39 points behind the leader, probably too much to make up. Our teams are quite different with us only having 3 of the same players (Smalling, Lowton and Fernandez).
He has Salah, Sterling, Ramsay, Eriksen, Jesus and Auba vs my Alli, Son, Sane, Silva, Vardy and Kane. Looks like I'll have to get rid of Smalling and Silva maybe for VVD and Zaha and then with DDG not playing I'll have to hope Ryan can pull off a miracle against his likely Salah(c).
He has Salah, Sterling, Ramsay, Eriksen, Jesus and Auba vs my Alli, Son, Sane, Silva, Vardy and Kane. Looks like I'll have to get rid of Smalling and Silva maybe for VVD and Zaha and then with DDG not playing I'll have to hope Ryan can pull off a miracle against his likely Salah(c).
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
To hit or not to hit?
The decision about whether to make multiple moves to counter rumours of benchings and rotation is the interesting one, isn’t it? The only other time I started the last game week around the Top 1k I got giddy and made three or four moves to really go for the most favourable players of the game week. It was a disaster. That final ranking of 17 hundred and something is very good, but was about double what it could have been had I been more conservative, realised that everyone was facing the same dilemmas and relaxed a bit.
So here I am again, most interested this game week in the Mirror Cup Final against ryan2032 (never see him post much, but good luck if you’re reading) and maintaining my ranking. If I do that and lose the money league to a FFS regular who I’ve been battling all season I’ll be p’d off but he will have had a stormer, so fair play
https://fantasy.premierleague.com/a/lea ... 51/classic
I’m thinking that ignoring the other teams and looking to maximise my score is the only way to approach things. Hazard to Salah(TC) is one definite move. All that money spent of DDG and Smalling will annoyingly sit on my bench and I’ll have a Newcastle block against Chelsea. The only other potential switch for a hit then is Smalling to Liv/Ars. Is that worth it?
The decision about whether to make multiple moves to counter rumours of benchings and rotation is the interesting one, isn’t it? The only other time I started the last game week around the Top 1k I got giddy and made three or four moves to really go for the most favourable players of the game week. It was a disaster. That final ranking of 17 hundred and something is very good, but was about double what it could have been had I been more conservative, realised that everyone was facing the same dilemmas and relaxed a bit.
So here I am again, most interested this game week in the Mirror Cup Final against ryan2032 (never see him post much, but good luck if you’re reading) and maintaining my ranking. If I do that and lose the money league to a FFS regular who I’ve been battling all season I’ll be p’d off but he will have had a stormer, so fair play
https://fantasy.premierleague.com/a/lea ... 51/classic
I’m thinking that ignoring the other teams and looking to maximise my score is the only way to approach things. Hazard to Salah(TC) is one definite move. All that money spent of DDG and Smalling will annoyingly sit on my bench and I’ll have a Newcastle block against Chelsea. The only other potential switch for a hit then is Smalling to Liv/Ars. Is that worth it?
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
if Smalling were in your XI, I.e. you'd been short on playing defs (as I am), maybe.Smurphy's Paw wrote: ↑12 May 2018, 08:43 All that money spent of DDG and Smalling will annoyingly sit on my bench
The only other potential switch for a hit then is Smalling to Liv/Ars. Is that worth it?
With Smalling on your bench anyway, you'd be replacing your weakest starting def with the one you'd buy for Smalling. Is that worth 4p?
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
Exactly. My hit for TAA to Chilwell was, in hindsight, a bad move. I thought I’d need the cash to get Salah back in but that turned out not to be the case.MoSe wrote: ↑12 May 2018, 10:13if Smalling were in your XI, I.e. you'd been short on playing defs (as I am), maybe.Smurphy's Paw wrote: ↑12 May 2018, 08:43 All that money spent of DDG and Smalling will annoyingly sit on my bench
The only other potential switch for a hit then is Smalling to Liv/Ars. Is that worth it?
With Smalling on your bench anyway, you'd be replacing your weakest starting def with the one you'd buy for Smalling. Is that worth 4p?
So, the choice is between Dummett against Chelsea, or my pick of Liverpool defenders. I back Chelsea to score at least once, so the gamble is a straight bet on a Liverpool clean sheet to break even. It’s a risk. An unnecessary one.
Since I posted I have read lots about Son on here and an extra player in case of other no-shows such as Son is also a thought. TBH, all of those rumours are making my brain ache so I’m going to step away and go for a bike ride!!!
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
Nice to see Smalling owners get some grief. So annoying
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- Tacalabala
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
Rival has made two changes, 4ph.
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
Most of my rivals have left it late in making mainly 2 changes, like myself. -4s all round! Really wish I had the courage to (c) Martial, but going with Kane instead...
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
I think I've beaten him on transfers, I owe Lanzini and Josh a round of drinks.
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
Won a mini league because Cedric conceded and got booked boom
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Re: Forget OR, how are you going to beat your ML rival in GW38?
Had a good go . Another Salah (TC) goal would have made it realLy close
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