FISO News   Exclusive GBP35 bets from Titan Bet     FISO News   Rooney, Aguero, Suarez, RVP     FISO News   Admin's Spanish Holiday Apartment Rental Offer     FISO News   FISO Weekly Poker Game Thurs 9pm     FISO News   EPL Injury News Table     FISO News   Play Totel Football     FISO News   Play Coachbet     FISO News   Soccer Millionaire - 1st game free     FISO News   Weekend Football is Back!   


Post new topic This topic is locked, you cannot edit posts or make further replies.  [ 1450 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5 ... 49  Next
Author Message
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 10:50 
Offline
Dumbledore
User avatar

Joined: Sat Jul 11 2009
Posts: 5272
Location: Israel
FS Record: FPL 09/10 - 1824th
Maybe I missed it somewhere above but WHEN?

When is that FISO CRACK THE CODE thingy becomes operational :?: :?: :?:


Top
 Profile WWW FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 10:53 
Offline
FISO Jedi Knight
User avatar

Joined: Thu Oct 13 2005
Posts: 34831
Location: Egg Cup Cup Holder, World Snooker Chump
blahblah wrote:
Abumies wrote:



Sorry for not including the link, but it is at the top of the thread.

The bottom line is that once a pattern for price changes emerge, someone writes a program, which (relatively successfully) predicts future changes. Please note that this is not as simple as it seems.

So until there is a pattern, there is a lot of guesswork, and this thread is where people suggest patterns/trends from which the algorithm can be deduced.



It can not start until they have some figures to work with. In other words some rises and falls are required from which they can extrapolate.....


Top
 Profile WWW FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 12:26 
Offline
FISO Jedi Knight
User avatar

Joined: Thu Oct 13 2005
Posts: 34831
Location: Egg Cup Cup Holder, World Snooker Chump
Make that 30k for Koumas, and over 24k for Drogba.

Shawcross, Fab and Rod 19k.

Top two should rise tonight, not sure about the other 3, I would guess the kneejerkers bringing in Fab have dried up, and his rise shouldn't happen until Tuesday, when he is brought in for the Portsmouth game......


Top
 Profile WWW FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 12:30 
Offline
Grumpy Old Man
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 18 2008
Posts: 1283
We'll be using these six to possible make a guestimate at the initial threshold

ID PlayerName Form Price PriceRiseThreshold GWNetTransfers GWAdjustedTransfers PercentageToRise
415 Koumas 10.00 5.00 25000.00 31339 31339 125.36
155 Drogba 12.00 10.50 25000.00 24481 24481 97.92
420 Rodallega 9.00 6.50 25000.00 19859 19859 79.44
323 Shawcross 15.00 4.50 25000.00 19563 19563 78.25
16 Fabregas 22.00 10.50 25000.00 18592 18592 74.37
473 Bassong 11.00 5.00 25000.00 18255 18255 73.02


Top
 Profile FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 12:34 
Offline
FISO Jedi Knight
User avatar

Joined: Thu Oct 13 2005
Posts: 34831
Location: Egg Cup Cup Holder, World Snooker Chump
There are some surprisingly big numbers in the transfer outs, too :shock:

P Neville, Lescott, Ferdie (MU), A Young, and Agbon all over 12k.


Top
 Profile WWW FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 13:14 
Offline
Red & Blue Braces
User avatar

Joined: Tue Dec 27 2005
Posts: 353
Location: B1tches leave!
I know we're still finding our feet here but do we think that there may be some kind of amnesty period before NTIs are counted?

Can anyone remember if there was one last season?


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 13:17 
Offline
Grumpy Old Man
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 18 2008
Posts: 1283
Before my time on here some what, but I can't remember one being mentioned.


Top
 Profile FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 13:21 
Offline
FISO Jedi Knight
User avatar

Joined: Thu Oct 13 2005
Posts: 34831
Location: Egg Cup Cup Holder, World Snooker Chump
19th August, which looks like it was the first week.

about three quarters of the way down....
the-fiso-guide-to-fpl-price-changes-the-code-thread-08-09-t53458-35.html


Top
 Profile WWW FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 14:11 
Offline
Treebeard
User avatar

Joined: Mon Sep 29 2008
Posts: 106
FS Record: FPL 08/09 993rd
Won't you need to look at more than just the six players mentioned as I suspect there will be a larger than normal amount of transfers this week.

Won't the six highlighted all go up and don't you need to identify the gap between the lowest one that goes up and the highest one that doesn't change.

Does the NTI not lie between these two points?


Top
 Profile WWW FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 14:13 
Offline
Grumpy Old Man
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 18 2008
Posts: 1283
Megatons wrote:
Won't you need to look at more than just the six players mentioned as I suspect there will be a larger than normal amount of transfers this week.

Won't the six highlighted all go up and don't you need to identify the gap between the lowest one that goes up and the highest one that doesn't change.

Does the NTI not lie between these two points?


All true, I was just assuming not all those six would rise although that's quite possible now.

Top 10

ID PlayerName Form Price PriceRiseThreshold GWNetTransfers GWAdjustedTransfers PercentageToRise
415 Koumas 10.00 5.00 25000.00 34228 34228 136.91
155 Drogba 12.00 10.50 25000.00 26129 26129 104.52
420 Rodallega 9.00 6.50 25000.00 21776 21776 87.10
323 Shawcross 15.00 4.50 25000.00 20816 20816 83.26
473 Bassong 11.00 5.00 25000.00 20558 20558 82.23
16 Fabregas 22.00 10.50 25000.00 19441 19441 77.76
273 Evra 8.00 6.50 25000.00 16585 16585 66.34
395 Noble 14.00 6.00 25000.00 12471 12471 49.88
374 Modric 5.00 7.50 25000.00 11507 11507 46.03
480 Hunt 7.00 5.00 25000.00 11096 11096 44.38


Top
 Profile FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 14:41 
Offline
Treebeard
User avatar

Joined: Mon Sep 29 2008
Posts: 106
FS Record: FPL 08/09 993rd
Do you have the top 10 most likely to go down too!


Top
 Profile WWW FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 14:48 
Offline
Grumpy Old Man
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 18 2008
Posts: 1283
I'm not as sure on drops, but this is simply on a target of 10% of ownership drop to trigger a price fall:

ID PlayerName PriceFallThreshold GWNetTransfers GWAdjustedTransfers FallTarget PercentageToFall YellowFlagged RedFlagged
387 Tomkins 10.00 -1113 -1113 1340.00 -83.06 False False
268 Kuszczak 10.00 -1068 -1068 1340.00 -79.70 False False
43 Carew 10.00 -4157 -4157 5380.00 -77.27 False False
136 Alex 10.00 -2319 -2319 3020.00 -76.79 False False
242 Zabaleta 10.00 -736 -736 1000.00 -73.60 False False
439 Jones 10.00 -113 -113 160.00 -70.63 False False
398 Savio 10.00 -112 -112 160.00 -70.00 False False
157 Sturridge 10.00 -465 -465 670.00 -69.40 False False
412 Watson 10.00 -111 -111 160.00 -69.38 False False
479 Senderos 10.00 -108 -108 160.00 -67.50 False False


Top
 Profile FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 15:01 
Offline
Treebeard
User avatar

Joined: Mon Sep 29 2008
Posts: 106
FS Record: FPL 08/09 993rd
Thanks!

Not the ones I was expecting to see - no big names from Arsenal or injuries such as Ferdinand or SEB etc.


Top
 Profile WWW FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Price rise of 0.2 in one go?
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 17:35 
Offline
Wideboy
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 19 2009
Posts: 53
Just noticed that Koumas has been subbed in by 40k teams - is it actually possible for a player to be transfered in by so many people that they rise by 0.2 overnight? Or is it a case of once passing the threshold the player rises by 0.1 and the count is reset?


Top
 Profile FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: Price rise of 0.2 in one go?
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 17:37 
Offline
Dumblebunny
User avatar

Joined: Sat Jul 14 2007
Posts: 7847
Location: bye all. i'm going to miss you. :)
perivar wrote:
Just noticed that Koumas has been subbed in by 40k teams - is it actually possible for a player to be transfered in by so many people that they rise by 0.2 overnight?

no

perivar wrote:
Or is it a case of once passing the threshold the player rises by 0.1 and the count is reset?

yes


Top
 Profile WWW  
 
 Post subject: Crack The Code
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 18:35 
Offline
Kevin and Perry
User avatar

Joined: Thu Aug 02 2007
Posts: 15
Location: da darkside
FS Record: 06/07 = 60,665
Does anyone know if it's being updated this season :?:


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 18:58 
Offline
Grumpy Old Man
User avatar

Joined: Thu Aug 21 2008
Posts: 2915
Location: Out of this world
FS Record: Also ran
Do you not have the power of reading?

It will be updated once the first price rises are recorded.


Top
 Profile FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 18:59 
Offline
Grumpy Old Man
User avatar

Joined: Sun Feb 25 2007
Posts: 4658
FS Record: BoFDQ: Insane Horse of Doom
*threads merged*

Please can all questions regarding price changes and the CTC page be asked in this thread? I've merged 2 threads into this one just this afternoon!


Top
 Profile FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 19:04 
Offline
FISO Jedi Knight
User avatar

Joined: Thu Oct 13 2005
Posts: 34831
Location: Egg Cup Cup Holder, World Snooker Chump
Maureenho wrote:
Do you not have the power of reading?



Nearly five past eight.


Top
 Profile WWW FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 19:11 
Offline
Grumpy Old Man
User avatar

Joined: Thu Aug 21 2008
Posts: 2915
Location: Out of this world
FS Record: Also ran
:lol:


Top
 Profile FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 19:14 
Offline
Cheetah

Joined: Thu Aug 13 2009
Posts: 5
Maureenho wrote:
Do you not have the power of reading?

Image


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 19:30 
Offline
FISO Jedi Knight
User avatar

Joined: Thu Oct 13 2005
Posts: 34831
Location: Egg Cup Cup Holder, World Snooker Chump
:lol:


Top
 Profile WWW FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 19:33 
Offline
Grumpy Old Man
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 18 2008
Posts: 1283
Even assuming a high 25k threshold it's still possible to have 6 rises tonight.

ID PlayerName Form Price PriceRiseThreshold GWNetTransfers GWAdjustedTransfers PercentageToRise
415 Koumas 10.00 5.00 25000.00 43833 43833 175.33
155 Drogba 12.00 10.50 25000.00 31392 31392 125.57
420 Rodallega 9.00 6.50 25000.00 28549 28549 114.20
473 Bassong 11.00 5.00 25000.00 28286 28286 113.14
323 Shawcross 15.00 4.50 25000.00 24915 24915 99.66
273 Evra 8.00 6.50 25000.00 22750 22750 91.00
16 Fabregas 22.00 10.50 25000.00 21936 21936 87.74
374 Modric 5.00 7.50 25000.00 16241 16241 64.96
395 Noble 14.00 6.00 25000.00 14721 14721 58.88
480 Hunt 7.00 5.00 25000.00 13303 13303 53.21
293 Rooney 9.00 11.00 25000.00 11261 11261 45.04


Top
 Profile FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 19:37 
Offline
Grumpy Old Man
User avatar

Joined: Thu Aug 21 2008
Posts: 2915
Location: Out of this world
FS Record: Also ran
All those Koumas transfers going to waste :x


Top
 Profile FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 19:47 
Offline
Dumbledore
User avatar

Joined: Mon Sep 03 2007
Posts: 6547
Location: Dancing in the Moonlight
Same with Drogba. Got 4 players according to that close to a rise then. Nice.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 19:49 
Offline
Grumpy Old Man
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 18 2008
Posts: 1283
These are the drops,

ID PlayerName PriceFallThreshold GWNetTransfers GWAdjustedTransfers FallTarget PercentageToFall YellowFlagged RedFlagged
268 Kuszczak 10.00 -1385 -1385 1340.00 -103.36 False False
387 Tomkins 10.00 -1356 -1356 1340.00 -101.19 False False
43 Carew 10.00 -5162 -5162 5380.00 -95.95 False False
242 Zabaleta 10.00 -906 -906 1000.00 -90.60 False False
136 Alex 10.00 -2710 -2710 3020.00 -89.74 False False
412 Watson 10.00 -141 -141 160.00 -88.13 False False
157 Sturridge 10.00 -573 -573 670.00 -85.52 False False
42 Agbonlahor 10.00 -16159 -16159 19010.00 -85.00 False False
398 Savio 10.00 -136 -136 160.00 -85.00 False False
20 Wilshere 10.00 -3639 -3639 4370.00 -83.27 False False


Top
 Profile FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 19:50 
Offline
Dumbledore
User avatar

Joined: Mon Sep 03 2007
Posts: 6547
Location: Dancing in the Moonlight
Arshavin not close to a drop then?


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 19:51 
Offline
Wideboy
User avatar

Joined: Thu Aug 16 2007
Posts: 70
Maureenho wrote:
All those Koumas transfers going to waste :x


Indeed, I was briefly tempted to bring him in, but, barring another goal or assist or bonii tomorrow, I don't think he's going to reach 0.2m this calendar week. I have Gomez and thinking of putting in Rodallega, and think those two will be good long-term for Wigan points (I was very impressed by their performance Saturday and think they will finish top half, maybe this years Fulham).

I also don't think Shawcross has 0.2m in him, again unless he does something of note against Pool.

Also, I'm thinking Fabregas will slow down after tomorrow as people realize that he gets 0 pts for GW2.

Evra, Bassong, Drogba, and Rodallega look most likely to get you a 0.2 rise this week, based on fixtures.

Of course, this is all conjecture; with my luck, Fabregas will get 3 bonii even though he didn't even play and Shawcross will line up at center forward and score a hat trick while keeping a clean sheet.


Top
 Profile WWW FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 19:54 
Offline
Grumpy Old Man
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 18 2008
Posts: 1283
jamielfc wrote:
Arshavin not close to a drop then?


I've got him as being 43% of the way to a drop based on him losing 10% of his ownership.

Name, NetTransfers, Ownership, PercentageToDrop
Arshavin -14996 34330.00 -43.68


Top
 Profile FPL Team Page  
 
 Post subject: Re: The FISO Guide to FPL Price Changes (The Code Thread) 09/10
PostPosted: 17 Aug 2009, 20:27 
Offline
FISO Jedi Knight
User avatar

Joined: Thu Oct 13 2005
Posts: 34831
Location: Egg Cup Cup Holder, World Snooker Chump
I (think I) agree about Koumas, he needs at least an assist to keep it going, if he had been under 30k, he may have been tempting, but Wigan could be good this season.

I disagree about Shawcross, though. Stoke's fixtures fit in well with Wigan and Sunderland....


Top
 Profile WWW FPL Team Page  
 
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Bookmark and Share
Post new topic This topic is locked, you cannot edit posts or make further replies.  [ 1450 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5 ... 49  Next

All times are UTC


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Chinese Whisperer, Taff Murray and 11 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to: