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 Post subject: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 01 Aug 2010, 17:25 
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Red & Blue Braces
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So, started 2 yrs ago and made top 2000 both times thanks to lady luck and this forum :)

Any input on my team would be appriciated! <3

Foster
Robinson

Ivanovic
Givet
Figueroa
Tamas
Foley

Lampard
Petrov
N'Zogbia
Essien
Fabregas

Rooney
Boselli
Carrol

0.0 Left in bank.


Last edited by XXaannddeerr on 22 Nov 2011, 15:47, edited 2 times in total.

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 Post subject: Re: RMT, getting close!
PostPosted: 01 Aug 2010, 19:01 
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Location: .. he thinks that he knows something which he doesn't, whereas I am quite concious of my ignorance.
Seems like a good summary of the RMT's to date.


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 Post subject: Re: RMT, getting close!
PostPosted: 27 Oct 2011, 12:13 
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Boselli sure didnt pay of :lol: Thought i refresh this thread instead of making a new :)

So this is my team ATM. Got 2.3 in the bank and going through alot of options.

Most obvious transfer would maybe be Suarez -> Aguero, with Suarez latest knock. Though i always thought of Suarez of a season keeper. He is class, and not playing CL games. So i see it as abit of a thinker.


Vorm-Ruddy
R.Taylor-Kompany-Bosingwa-Enrique-Ward
Sessegnon-Silva-Sinclair-VDV-Ferguson
Suarez-Agbonlahor-Rooney

2.3 in the bank.


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 Post subject: Re: RMT, getting close!
PostPosted: 27 Oct 2011, 19:46 
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XXaannddeerr wrote:
... So this is my team ATM. Got 2.3 in the bank and going through alot of options.

Most obvious transfer would maybe be Suarez -> Aguero, with Suarez latest knock. Though i always thought of Suarez of a season keeper. He is class, and not playing CL games. So i see it as abit of a thinker.

Suarez is not 'knocked', merely strained.
Nevertheless... he's got several issues so YES, that swap is not a bad idea.


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 Post subject: Re: Old RMT reb0rn
PostPosted: 28 Oct 2011, 22:33 
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Left with 3 options wich i will dream about during the night.

A) Suarez -> Aguero

B) Agbonlahor – Adebayor

C) Ward -> Shawcross

Got a strong feeling wrong/right decision may mean a 15 point difrence this week :roll:


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 Post subject: Re: Old RMT reb0rn
PostPosted: 28 Oct 2011, 22:43 
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XXaannddeerr wrote:
Left with 3 options wich i will dream about during the night.

A) Suarez -> Aguero

B) Agbonlahor – Adebayor

C) Ward -> Shawcross

Got a strong feeling wrong/right decision may mean a 15 point difrence this week :roll:

It always does!

Option B is not worth your time this GW.
Option C means a 4-6pts difference in the outcome.
Option A could amount to 0-15pts difference. <- most risk, most possible loss/reward This is where your decision should be made. Personally, I'd switch - but I'm not doing very well this season, so feeling uneasy about my advice :wink:


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 Post subject: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 22 Nov 2011, 15:34 
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Ok 3 options this week, 2 free ones, RMT if you like :)

Will getting Baines in, most probably for Kompany. Baines have nice fixtures and as known is on penos as an attacking wingback. City fixtures is not as good either, they play attacking and often let in goals. Kompany isnt likely to get more than the odd goal every season aswell..

Need to get some money in to do it though. My options:

VDV :arrow: Bale

Silva :arrow: Bale

Agbonlahor :arrow: Helguson, or forward less than 5.8.

I know the are lots of pros with VDV and Silva, and i had Silva from the start. But Bale seems very good vfm. Aggy has 4 yellows and hard fixtures but is in great form.

What would you do ;)


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 22 Nov 2011, 17:22 
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IMHO both Silva and VDV are the "must have" midfielders this year if you can afford both of them so I personally would go for option 3. Although Bale does seem to be hitting his usual "Hot Streak" so could be pretty good for a good few weeks while he is on it.

As you say Agbon is one card away from a suspension so this swap is a better choice I feel. Villa are not overly firing right now and have average fixtures coming up so now may be a good time to bale him out. Long @ WBA, with some better than Villa fixtures IMO, may be a good call now he's fit again.


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 23 Nov 2011, 23:02 
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I'd not transfer out VDV, he's got to be a season long keeper (while not injured anyway). There's a thread about cheap strikers, cheap-striker-to-fill-suarez-s-place-t91531.html maybe check it out.


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 24 Nov 2011, 09:57 
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Yeah, early dropped the mad thought of dropping VDV ;)

A single transfer Agbo :arrow: Sturridge looks appealing. Though Baines is very tempting aswell. Problem is he will disrupt the balance of all my team.

Also thinking of a single Kompany :arrow: Walker, BAE or Jagielka transfer asell. City dont keep many CS's, Kompany aint very attacking, and City have pritty hard fixtures


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 01 Dec 2011, 12:12 
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Ok, this week has been an emotional one. I have a 5 week old baby, a girlfriend still full of hormones, and im generally tired. Last week I was going forth and back about what trannies wich would be best. Either Kompany / Agbonlahor for the two free -> Yaks and Bale. Or the simple Agbonlahor -> Adebayor. I took a boatcruise last week, and spent 500 Norwegian crones, aprox 50 british pounds on making my trannies. As the satellite network on my phone was sick expensive!

(Thanks SuperHans for giving me inspiration for his name. He’s first name will be Hans :) Picking names for children has been even harder than when I picked my nick when I was 14. Xander was chosen, simply because t though Vin Diesel was so cool in the triple X movie.)

As we all know, Kompany Scored, Ade scored twice, and I had my worst game week after scratching myself into the 10k slowly, I fell 10k in 1 week. Being tired, I was itching my fingers for double and triple trannies in rage. And I only mad ONE –4 transfer all season. I almost pulled the trigger with a Kun and Sess to Ade and Bale trannie. Once again I sit back and think through it better, and let the Carling Cup be played before I hurry into a descision. –4’s are worth it very few times. Waiting a week and making a free double are in my experience a better option.

I just want to share some thoughts about what affects our performance, as managers of our fantasy teams. I want to relate this to Poker. Something I played a lot in the years, until 10 months ago when much changed.

This post will be more like an article on the mental sides as a FPL manager from my side.

Tiredness, combined and resulting with TILT.

Tilt means you do stupid stuff, after for example having a bad bead in poker, or having a really poor game week in FPL.

I stepped down playing poker the last 10 months. I was a winning player, and had a better salary playing poker than at work, and I have normal + Norwegian salary. One of the main reasons was that my girlfriend got pregnant. Hormonal, tired, and me having to do 80% of the work in the house, aside a fulltime-job, playing soccer and working out. Before that I had all the time in the world. I see clear result on my ROI graph ( I use a poker tracking program who tracks my results) that I play poorer in periods witch are stressfull. ROI = Return Of Investment. You can keep tracks on how much you spent during a month, and how much you gained. If you have a positive ROI over time, every month, every year, you are a winning player. So now I quit as the return would be a lousy salary, and I don’t have the spare time for it.

One of my strengths in poker and FPL are tilt-management. I rarly go on tilt in poker, and if I do, its not for long. Main focus is playing ABC to gain money. It’s the same in FPL, play ABC and do the best decisions! There are 2,6 millions FPL managers. Lets say 1,6 million rarely check their accounts, 700k are semi active, 200k are active, 100k are active and reads various forums or are very interested in PL. The reason some ends up In the top every year is a small part luck, and a big part skills. Of the 100k active ones, x %, maybe 50% ( I don’t know) are people who are affected to tilt. Do stupid transfers in rage early in the game week. This can be ok if there are money to be made, but if that’s not the case you have a problem ;)

Conclusion from me: If your are stressed, you do bad mistakes and perform worse. Look at FPL as a game where you want to perform best at all times, and don’t let your emotions take control over what trannies you make. Be objective.


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 01 Dec 2011, 20:55 
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Mate, with all due respect to everything you said about poker, tilts and decision making processes... it's ALL negligible, meaningless and trivial compared to this one single issue;

XXaannddeerr wrote:
... ... I have a 5 week old baby...


Congrats :D lots of happiness, bliss and joy.

(I have a 7 months old son and can feel your anguish. Hang in there, it gets better :wink: )


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 06 Dec 2011, 14:03 
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Thanks Ironfist :)

For this week im looking to save my transfer. I also thinking of getting Vermaelen in, but its not easy. Baines :arrow: Vermalen could be one way to do it. But I think Baines is a likely to score as Verminator.

Enrique :arrow: Verm looks like a better option. But then some1 else have to make way, problem is who. Sinclair looks the hottest contender for now


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 06 Dec 2011, 14:39 
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What is your reasoning for getting rid of Enrique?


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 06 Dec 2011, 14:54 
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After a quick look at paddypowers odds for next gw, it may seem i'll bench Silva or Baines :shock:

Team ( With odds of goals (G) or clean sheets (CS) )

Vorm CS 2,87

Baines G: 7,50, CS 6 | Enrique G 12, CS 1,90 | Jones G :6, CS: 1,66 | Raylor G:6, CS 3,60

VDV G: 2,87 | Bale G: 3,50 | Sinclair G: 3.25

Ade G: 2,40 | Yak G: 3,00 | RVP G: 1,83

Subs: Ruddy CS 3,30 Silva G:4 Ward G: 8 CS 12 (Ferguson)

Ofcourse City scores more and Silva more likely of an assist. But still hes just 25% to score.


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 06 Dec 2011, 14:57 
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Ironfist wrote:
What is your reasoning for getting rid of Enrique?


He never scores, has the very odd assist, not alot of CS's for a semi pricy defender. Think there is more value in upgrading to the Verm


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 06 Dec 2011, 15:18 
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XXaannddeerr wrote:
Ironfist wrote:
What is your reasoning for getting rid of Enrique?

He never scores, has the very odd assist, not alot of CS's for a semi pricy defender. Think there is more value in upgrading to the Verm

I agree that Vermaelen is a far better player both EPL and FPL - wise than Enrique. If you have the money than definitely swap them. But, do it for the right reason... until now Liverpool had 4 CSs this season to Arsenal 5 CSs... not that much of a difference. If it's the scoring ability you're talking about between the two players, then by all means get Vermaelen, he's a better player.


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 11 Dec 2011, 19:13 
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So 2 free ones this week..

To VDV :arrow: Nani early b4 pricerice or not to VDV :arrow: Nani and wait for VDV's dgw, thats the question


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2011, 10:50 
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what did you do?? i did vdv :arrow: nani last night before the price rise.


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 13 Dec 2011, 20:50 
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Crooker wrote:
what did you do?? i did vdv :arrow: nani last night before the price rise.


Yeah did the same. Had 2 free ones, wich justfies and early transfer. Esescially when Nani seems like a better option, was raising in prive, same tame as vdv was falling. Made 0.1 on VDV, no point- haul thoguh

Think i will settle with that one, if nothing else appeaers


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 19 Dec 2011, 09:40 
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Have a luxury problem this week.

2 free ones, 0,3 in the bank, and dont want to get with of any1 in my team.

Awaiting news on Raylor and Bale as long as possible


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 19 Dec 2011, 20:03 
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Maybe Sessegnon :arrow: Drenthe?

Or Brown :arrow: J.Evans

As you say depends on the fitness of Raylor and Bale (I have both too)


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 19 Dec 2011, 21:11 
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Droughton wrote:
Maybe Sessegnon :arrow: Drenthe?

Or Brown :arrow: J.Evans

As you say depends on the fitness of Raylor and Bale (I have both too)


Hmm, you see my gw 4 team. I probably added my team to the fpl wrong.. :oops:

Fixed it now :)


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 20 Dec 2011, 08:11 
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Eeeek... :shock: I'd get rid of Baines, Ward, RTaylor & Ferguson... which one first?...

Baines :arrow: Kaboul :shock: :idea: (or Walker if you can't stomach Kaboul)
Ferguson :arrow: Drenthe

:)


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 20 Dec 2011, 12:05 
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Ironfist wrote:
Eeeek... :shock:


??? =P

If i am getting rith of Ferguson, it would be for Surman, wich is a 2pointer if not booked.

Baines have been unlycky not getting any assists (Bloody ineffective Everton finishers), and Everton could just as well been awarded couple of penos during the last gw's

Ward and Raylor are so dangerous and able to score. Had Raylor from the start, if he's fit and regular starter again he will be expensive to get back in :S

I have 2 free ones, but seriously considering not using a free one!!! :lol:'

Maybe Sinclair :arrow: Drenthe? Though i really like Sinclair.. :S


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 21 Dec 2011, 10:29 
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Ended up getting in Surman for Ferguson, happy with that obviously. 8-)

Showed some great skills last night, 1 goals and numerous shots on target. 3rd sub, but nice to know i have a solid but cheap bench during the xmas :)

Here are my initial plans until the dgw 20. What do you think?

gw 18 Ward -> Shotton (stoke vs AVL (H) and wolves vs arsenal (aw) Wards fixtures are hardening up, Stokes are nice. + Shotton gives me cash, might play in midfield and blablabla

gw 19 Sinclair - >Drenthe Swansea vs tottenham away & Everton have wba away, + dgw20 obv

gw 20 Nani & Yak -> VDV & Donovan for a free double (if Donovan is 6.5 or cheaper) Will he start both dgw? He should be ready for the Boltongame i read on the interweb.

Happy Xmas everyone. Im soon driving home for Xmas :mrgreen:

And to IronFist. Happy Hanukka :mrgreen:


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 21 Dec 2011, 10:58 
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XXaannddeerr wrote:
Ended up getting in Surman for Ferguson, happy with that obviously. 8-)

Showed some great skills last night, 1 goals and numerous shots on target. 3rd sub, but nice to know i have a solid but cheap bench during the xmas :)
Here are my initial plans until the dgw 20. What do you think?
gw 18 Ward -> Shotton (stoke vs AVL (H) and wolves vs arsenal (aw) Wards fixtures are hardening up, Stokes are nice. + Shotton gives me cash, might play in midfield and blablabla
gw 19 Sinclair - >Drenthe Swansea vs tottenham away & Everton have wba away, + dgw20 obv
gw 20 Nani & Yak -> VDV & Donovan for a free double (if Donovan is 6.5 or cheaper) Will he start both dgw? He should be ready for the Boltongame i read on the interweb.

Happy Xmas everyone. Im soon driving home for Xmas :mrgreen:

And to IronFist. Happy Hanukka :mrgreen:

Excellent stuff all round. Have a wonderful Christmas mate and a great New Year :)


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 21 Dec 2011, 17:00 
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XXaannddeerr wrote:
Ended up getting in Surman for Ferguson, happy with that obviously. 8-)

Showed some great skills last night, 1 goals and numerous shots on target. 3rd sub, but nice to know i have a solid but cheap bench during the xmas :)

Here are my initial plans until the dgw 20. What do you think?

gw 18 Ward -> Shotton (stoke vs AVL (H) and wolves vs arsenal (aw) Wards fixtures are hardening up, Stokes are nice. + Shotton gives me cash, might play in midfield and blablabla

gw 19 Sinclair - >Drenthe Swansea vs tottenham away & Everton have wba away, + dgw20 obv

gw 20 Nani & Yak -> VDV & Donovan for a free double (if Donovan is 6.5 or cheaper) Will he start both dgw? He should be ready for the Boltongame i read on the interweb.

Happy Xmas everyone. Im soon driving home for Xmas :mrgreen:

And to IronFist. Happy Hanukka :mrgreen:

re: Donovan - he's only there for 8 weeks so expect him to start every match.


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 27 Dec 2011, 14:25 
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Bahhhhh. Went for Ward :arrow: Evans instead, wich i think would have been the right decision if it wasnt for his injury.

Now im not sure if i should stick or twist. Fear alot of rotation, but atm i just got Evans injured in my squad.

I can do Evans :arrow: Hibbert and Sinclair :arrow: Drenthe for free, leaving me with 0.0 in the bank, as preparment for gw 20. Giving me 5 everton and tottenham players. Who could be the last for gw 20? Hoping Donovan coming in as a cheap replacement for the Yak.

Or is there better options?


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 Post subject: Re: Xanders weekly thoughts and ponderings
PostPosted: 28 Dec 2011, 19:02 
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Sinclair to Drenthe is alright, but I wouldn't bring any more Everton players in... unless Donovan is classed as a midfielder and goes for 5-6m... I would also think about upgrading Yakubu to Sturridge, but that's about it. Your team looks great.


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