Hi guys, here's an attempt at a first draft of the squad for ISO 2010/11! (Or more precisely, a second draft, as I originally had included Drogba but have just done a re-working following the news that he'll miss the kickoff. It wasn't completely obvious to ditch him, but my reading of "back in full training in 3 weeks" is that he will definitely miss game 1, and could well miss or be a sub for games 2 and 3 too. I didn't want to have an inactive Chelsea player, especially with such nice opening fixtures.)
Gomes (TOT, 3.8)
Johnson (LIV, 4.9)
Bale (TOT, 4.4)
Baines (EVE, 4.1)
Vermaelen (ARS, 4.6)
Collins (AVL, 3.9)
Dann (BIR, 3.6)
Lampard (CHE, 6.9)
Fabregas (ARS, 6.2)
Malouda (CHE, 4.7)
Arteta (EVE, 4.3)
Dempsey (FUL, 3.9)
Dunn (BLA, 3.8)
Etherington (STK, 3.8)
Petrov (BOL, 3.6)
Drogba (CHE, 7.9)
Total cost: 74.3
(**Note 5/8: changes have been made to this squad, this original draft is kept here for reference but please see top post for up-to-date version**)Keeper: I thought the options around 3.8 were better vfm than the top keepers. It was between Gomes and Friedel (Howard ruled out due to 2 must-have Evertonians elsewhere), the Spurs stopper edged it since the Gomes-Collins pairing beats Friedel-Dawson by £0.1m and results in one less player clash.
Full-backs: Bale and Baines are musts in my opinion: decent price, pretty decent defences and attacking points galore means I expect 40-50 points from them each. There's a similar argument for Glen Johnson but I anticipate more debate about him due to his higher price, Liverpool's declining form, and their early fixtures. Evra (MUN, 5.2) could be an alternative if
he will start the season.
Centre-backs: Vermaelen needs little introduction: no reason why he won't get close to his 7 goals of last year, should get 45-50 points if he gets a full season. Collins is a regular in Villa's usually-safe defence, and a cheaper option than Dunne with equal goal-scoring potential. Finally I picked Birmingham for a cheap defensive option, they were solid most of last year and should be again, Dann won what may as well have been a coin toss against Roger Johnson.
Chelsea slots: I've treated this as a special category, given that I identified four Chelsea players offering great scoring potential and good vfm, but can only pick two. Originally Drogba was the must-have as I thought he'd improve on last season's score with no African Cup to interfere this year, and he's the best choice for a top-end striker which I feel is needed for the balance of the team. After deciding to ditch him however, this left Lampard and Malouda to take the two Chelsea slots, with the decision going against Ashley Cole mainly because there is more value elsewhere amongst full-backs than there is in midfield.
(other)
Midfielders: Fabregas is a must. If he avoids injury problems, he will match Lampard for points (Fab was actually slightly ahead on last season's scores, going by points per game). For me, Arteta is also a must. He got 24 points in a third of a season last year, he might not continue that over a whole season but I'm expecting well past 50 points from him. He's Everton's Fabregas and is a bargain for 4.3.
Now down to the 3.9-3.6 range which I think holds a lot of good value options. Dempsey is my first pick, a point per game last season and should at least match that again, particularly if he plays second striker behind Zamora with AJ (or any other Fulham striking option) nowhere to be seen. Next comes David Dunn: nearly a point and a half per game last year, he is involved in most things Blackburn do and takes penalties, bargain! Etherington for Stoke is another point-per-game man, loads of assists from crosses and set-pieces, with a few goals too and possibly penalty-taking duties(?). Finally, it's hard to say someone at 3.6 is a must-have but Petrov comes darn close. He's always delivered goals and assists when played at Man City, at Bolton he'll be a certain first-choice and should easily deliver 30+ points. A full injury-free season and I can see him getting closer to 50.
Striker: Gone with Rooney in the expectation he will start the season, Fergie's latest news being that he's rushing his World Cup players back in time for kick-off. Rooney will also have played for England the week before, so I'm sure he'll be lining up for the opening Prem fixture. United's opening fixtures look pretty good, and the other reason I went for Rooney is as a 'placeholder' for Drogba to allow a straight transfer on his return if you wish.
Other rejected options at the top-end of strikers included Van Persie (already got two Arsenal players), Anelka (didn't want player who would very likely have a shelf life of max 3 weeks), Tevez (not keen on Man City till I see how their team will look, tough first 2 fixtures gives extra excuse to avoid for the start) or Torres (uncertain future transfer-wise and injury-wise).
I would have quite liked 2 strikers, as I believe the much-talked-about 1-3-3-7-2 formation is most suited to ISO because of the flexibility it allows for future transfers. But strikers below the very top end are just not good value compared to the top midfielders, when you consider how many points they'll return. Say if I wanted Darren Bent as a second striker, I'd have to sacrifice Lampard or Fabregas who I expect to beat Bent by around 30 points over the season. Ditching Lampard would let me upgrade elsewhere to a Chelsea slot, eg Glen Johnson to Ashley Cole, but I don't think that gain would cover Lampard's loss.
Note there's very little problem in itself with having 8 midfielders: with the selections above you'll only have to bench a midfielder on two occasions until the end of November.
So there you have it!

Sorry for rambling on rather long, but I would now like to
welcome views, criticisms, praise(?) of the above, and in particular any suggestions for changes. There's a bit of spare money at this stage to help with any required jiggery-pokery! I want to have agreed the squad
(subject to subsequent injuries) by a week on Friday: August 6th. Cheers guys!