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 Post subject: Fixtures TW3 - TW4
PostPosted: 13 Dec 2011, 22:23 
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FISOhead
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Joined: Thu Jul 29 2010
Posts: 503
Location: Reading
FS Record: Coming for that number 1 spot ;)
Just been doing some analysis of the fixtures for the top 6 teams, trying to put an number to the difficulty level of each run of fixtures. Basically I took the number of points that the opposition teams had dropped at the respective location (i.e. Home or Away) then adjusted that based on how many points the team in question had picked up per game at home relative to how many they had away, depending on where that fixture would be played.

Whether anyone else will find this useful I dont know but it helped me get my thoughts straight and compare fixtures.

Team..........Standardized score............SD
Arsenel...............100..........................100
Spurs................92.92.......................87.06
Man City.........90.28 (108.68)............47.13 (47.08)
Liverpool........83.24 (90.07)............87.41 (93.43)
Chelsea.............82.83........................70.95
Man Utd............80.69........................70.89

Note that this includes the rescheduled spurs vs everton game but none of the FA cup games. The scored in brackets are if you count the carling cup game between Liverpool and City and expect them to put out strong teams.

I included SD (standard deviation) to gauge how the varied the difficulty of their games are, thinking that a lower SD might make it easier for a team to get a run of form together, but I don't know how much faith I have in that theory.

It will need updating as more games are played, and if anyone is finding it useful let me know and I'll update it when TW3 open. Anyway hopefully it'll give some of you something to think about and be helpful :)


Last edited by WNP on 13 Dec 2011, 23:40, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Fixtures TW3 - TW4
PostPosted: 13 Dec 2011, 22:46 
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Treebeard

Joined: Sat Oct 06 2007
Posts: 289
I've been looking at the fixtures myself and picked Arsenel & Spurs as having the easiest run of games.

It makes Van Persie even more of a must have


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 Post subject: Re: Fixtures TW3 - TW4
PostPosted: 14 Dec 2011, 09:06 
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Grumpy Old Man
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FS Record: Winner of a mile in another mans shoes pre TW2. Total wins £550 SDT 2011/12.
I came to the same conclusion with Arsenal too. But I had Chelsea down as probablt 2nd easiest fixtures, but I'm happy to use your info. Interesting WNP - thx for your efforts :D


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